Pick'em Mode

Week 19
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
8
pts
New York Giants New York Giants
@
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons *
2026-09-15 Favorite
NEW -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
7
pts
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
@
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams *
2026-09-15 Favorite
CHI -10.6
Strong favorite
Pending
6
pts
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens *
@
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
2026-09-15 Favorite
CAR -8.1
Clear favorite
Pending
5
pts
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
@
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers *
2026-09-15 Favorite
ARI -7.4
Clear favorite
Pending
4
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints *
2026-09-15 Favorite
TAM -3.2
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions *
@
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
2026-09-15 Model
DET -2.1
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers *
@
New York Jets New York Jets
2026-09-15 Model
LOS -1.4
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders *
@
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
2026-09-15 Model
LAS -0.6
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 8 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.