Pick'em Mode
Week 3Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Cleveland Browns
San Francisco 49ers *
CLE -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts *
MIA -10.9
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers
Carolina Panthers *
PIT -9.2
Clear favorite
Pending
12
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Detroit Lions *
LOS -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
New York Jets
Philadelphia Eagles *
NEW -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Denver Broncos
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
DEN -6.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
9
pts
Minnesota Vikings *
New York Giants
NEW -6.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Rams *
WAS -6.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Cincinnati Bengals *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -4.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
Arizona Cardinals
ARI -3.3
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs *
JAC -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
Atlanta Falcons
DAL -2.9
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Houston Texans *
New England Patriots
HOU -2.8
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Green Bay Packers *
Chicago Bears
GRE -2.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Buffalo Bills
SEA -1.1
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.