Pick'em Mode
Week 4Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants *
ATL -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Houston Texans *
Buffalo Bills
BUF -10.4
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears *
CLE -9.2
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets *
SEA -8.6
Clear favorite
Pending
12
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers *
JAC -7.7
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals *
TAM -6.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
10
pts
Denver Broncos *
Los Angeles Chargers
LOS -5.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
9
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Washington Commanders
WAS -4.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
Cincinnati Bengals *
Baltimore Ravens
BAL -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots *
MIA -4.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Philadelphia Eagles
PHI -3.9
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints *
LOS -3.6
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions *
DAL -3.3
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers *
PIT -2.4
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Green Bay Packers *
San Francisco 49ers
GRE -2.6
Slight favorite
Pending
1
pts
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts *
IND -1.9
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.