Pick'em Mode
Week 4Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
 MIA
@
 MIN
|
MIN -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 15 |
 TEN
@
 BAL
|
BAL -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 14 |
 LAC
@
 SEA
|
SEA -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
 KC
@
 LV
|
KC -6.0
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
 NE
@
 BUF
|
BUF -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
 IND
@
 WAS
|
IND -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
 ATL
@
 NO
|
NO -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
 DEN
@
 SF
|
SF -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
 NYJ
@
 CHI
|
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
 JAX
@
 CIN
|
CIN -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
 DAL
@
 HOU
|
HOU -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
 DET
@
 CAR
|
DET -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
 PIT
@
 CLE
|
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
 ARI
@
 NYG
|
NYG -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
 LA
@
 PHI
|
LA -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
 GB
@
 TB
|
GB -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
Generated 2026-09-27 09:52 UTC (live — not archived yet, so it can still move with the lines). Odds as of 2026-09-27 08:00 UTC.
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.