Pick'em Mode
Week 6Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
0
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
14
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
ARI
@
LA
|
LA -13.5
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
NYJ
@
NE
|
NE -9.5
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
CAR
@
PHI
|
PHI -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
BUF
@
LV
|
BUF -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
BAL
@
CLE
|
BAL -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
WAS
@
SF
|
SF -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
TEN
@
IND
|
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
DAL
@
GB
|
GB -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
CHI
@
ATL
|
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
NO
@
NYG
|
NYG -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
LAC
@
KC
|
KC -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
SEA
@
DEN
|
SEA -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
PIT
@
TB
|
TB -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
HOU
@
JAX
|
JAX -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.
ARI
LA
NYJ
NE
CAR
PHI
BUF
LV
BAL
CLE
WAS
SF
TEN
IND
DAL
GB
CHI
ATL
NO
NYG
LAC
KC
SEA
DEN
PIT
TB
HOU
JAX