Pick'em Mode

Week 6
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 →
Full Predictions
16
pts
Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
@
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders *
2026-09-15 Favorite
BAL -11.5
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans *
@
Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
2026-09-15 Favorite
CLE -10.5
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams *
@
Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
2026-09-15 Favorite
IND -10.5
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
@
Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers *
2026-09-15 Favorite
DEN -10.2
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers *
@
Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
2026-09-15 Favorite
DAL -9.5
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
@
Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars *
2026-09-15 Favorite
CAR -9.4
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
@
Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals *
2026-09-15 Favorite
ATL -7.4
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
New York Jets New York Jets *
@
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
2026-09-15 Favorite
BUF -6.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks *
@
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
2026-09-15 Favorite
KAN -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
@
Chicago Bears Chicago Bears *
2026-09-15 Model
CHI -2.8
Slight favorite
Pending
6
pts
Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
@
New England Patriots New England Patriots *
2026-09-15 Model
NEW -2.3
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers *
@
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
2026-09-15 Model
PIT -2.7
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
@
New York Giants New York Giants *
2026-09-15 Model
NEW -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints *
@
Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
2026-09-15 Model
NEW -1.9
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Houston Texans Houston Texans
@
Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals *
2026-09-15 Model
CIN -0.6
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
@
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
2026-09-15 Model
TAM -0.7
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.