Pick'em Mode

Week 6
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
0
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
14
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 →
Full Predictions
Pts Matchup Spread Result
14
SEASEA @ DENDEN
2026-10-15 20:15 Model
SEA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
HOUHOU @ JAXJAX
2026-10-18 09:30 Model
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
CHICHI @ ATLATL
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
CHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
BALBAL @ CLECLE
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
TENTEN @ INDIND
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
NYJNYJ @ NENE
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
NONO @ NYGNYG
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
NO -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
CARCAR @ PHIPHI
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
PITPIT @ TBTB
2026-10-18 13:00 Model
PIT -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
ARIARI @ LALA
2026-10-18 16:05 Model
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
LACLAC @ KCKC
2026-10-18 16:25 Model
LAC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
BUFBUF @ LVLV
2026-10-18 16:25 Model
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
DALDAL @ GBGB
2026-10-18 20:20 Model
DAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
WASWAS @ SFSF
2026-10-19 20:15 Model
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 14 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.