Dashboard Schedule Standings Penalties Goalie Pulls Projections Shot Maps

Projected Final Standings

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of 1100 remaining games

1100 Games Remaining
2026-09-20 06:00:39 Last Updated
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Atlantic Hockey Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Air Force
0 0 0 0 0 43% 28% 15% 7% 92%
2
Army
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 2% 4%
3
Bentley
0 0 0 0 0 35% 31% 17% 8% 91%
4
Canisius
0 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 4% 7% 14%
5
Holy Cross
0 0 0 0 0 1% 4% 7% 12% 24%
6
Long Island
0 0 0 0 0 1% 4% 8% 12% 25%
7
Niagara
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%
8
RIT
0 0 0 0 0 0% 1% 2% 4% 8%
9
Robert Morris
0 0 0 0 0 2% 4% 7% 12% 24%
10
Sacred Heart
0 0 0 0 0 16% 23% 25% 14% 78%
11
Stonehill
0 0 0 0 0 2% 5% 13% 20% 39%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Big Ten Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Michigan
0 0 0 0 0 18% 64% 17% 1% 100%
2
Michigan State
0 0 0 0 0 78% 18% 3% 0% 100%
3
Minnesota
0 0 0 0 0 0% 1% 10% 70% 81%
4
Notre Dame
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 2% 2%
5
Ohio State
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 5% 6%
6
Penn State
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 12% 13%
7
Wisconsin
0 0 0 0 0 3% 17% 69% 10% 99%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
CCHA Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Alaska
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 3% 4%
2
Alaska-Anchorage
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3
Augustana
0 0 0 0 0 4% 12% 24% 22% 62%
4
Bemidji State
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 5% 8% 15%
5
Bowling Green
0 0 0 0 0 46% 31% 13% 6% 95%
6
Ferris State
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%
7
Lake Superior
0 0 0 0 0 6% 14% 25% 23% 68%
8
Lindenwood
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9
Michigan Tech
0 0 0 0 0 40% 33% 14% 7% 95%
10
Minnesota State
0 0 0 0 0 2% 5% 10% 17% 34%
11
Northern Michigan
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12
St. Thomas
0 0 0 0 0 1% 3% 8% 14% 25%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
ECAC Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Brown
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 6% 9% 17%
2
Clarkson
0 0 0 0 0 1% 13% 22% 20% 56%
3
Colgate
0 0 0 0 0 0% 5% 10% 14% 30%
4
Cornell
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 6% 9% 17%
5
Dartmouth
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 6% 9% 17%
6
Harvard
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%
7
Princeton
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 5% 7% 14%
8
Quinnipiac
0 0 0 0 0 87% 10% 2% 0% 100%
9
RPI
0 0 0 0 0 2% 18% 23% 17% 61%
10
St. Lawrence
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11
Union
0 0 0 0 0 8% 45% 21% 11% 86%
12
Yale
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 2% 3%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Hockey East Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Boston College
0 0 0 0 0 34% 29% 17% 10% 90%
2
Boston University
0 0 0 0 0 7% 14% 20% 21% 63%
3
Connecticut
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 2% 4%
4
Maine
0 0 0 0 0 6% 14% 22% 21% 64%
5
Mass.-Lowell
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 2% 4%
6
Massachusetts
0 0 0 0 0 46% 28% 13% 7% 94%
7
Merrimack
0 0 0 0 0 2% 5% 10% 14% 31%
8
New Hampshire
0 0 0 0 0 5% 8% 12% 16% 41%
9
Northeastern
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10
Providence
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 2% 3% 5%
11
Vermont
0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 1% 2% 2%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
NCHC Projected Standings
# Team RW RL OW OL Conf Pts P(1st) P(2nd) P(3rd) P(4th) P(Top 4) Position Distribution
1
Arizona State
0 0 0 0 0 0% 3% 6% 9% 18%
2
Colorado College
0 0 0 0 0 2% 37% 24% 16% 79%
3
Denver
0 0 0 0 0 96% 4% 0% 0% 100%
4
Miami
0 0 0 0 0 0% 9% 16% 19% 44%
5
Minnesota Duluth
0 0 0 0 0 0% 23% 22% 17% 63%
6
North Dakota
0 0 0 0 0 0% 3% 6% 9% 18%
7
Omaha
0 0 0 0 0 0% 2% 4% 6% 12%
8
St. Cloud State
0 0 0 0 0 1% 19% 21% 19% 60%
9
Western Michigan
0 0 0 0 0 0% 1% 2% 4% 7%
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
National Tournament Probabilities
# Team Conference Proj. Wins Elo NPI P(Tournament)
1
Denver
NCHC 27.6 1776 58.63 100%
2
Michigan State
Big Ten 27.8 1807 58.72 100%
3
Michigan
Big Ten 25.2 1792 58.22 99%
4
Quinnipiac
ECAC 25.3 1726 57.23 98%
5
Boston College
Hockey East 23.8 1706 56.97 97%
6
Wisconsin
Big Ten 22.2 1716 56.00 91%
7
Massachusetts
Hockey East 24.9 1665 55.26 85%
8
Maine
Hockey East 21.4 1637 54.76 78%
9
Boston University
Hockey East 21.5 1630 54.34 72%
10
Michigan Tech
CCHA 22.1 1603 54.30 72%
11
Minnesota
Big Ten 17.9 1607 53.09 50%
12
Colorado College
NCHC 20.3 1573 52.98 47%
13
Minnesota Duluth
NCHC 18.6 1582 52.93 47%
14
St. Cloud State
NCHC 18.5 1574 52.63 42%
15
Bowling Green
CCHA 22.7 1539 52.45 38%
16
Merrimack
Hockey East 19.4 1558 52.17 33%
17
Air Force
Atlantic Hockey 20.6 1500 51.91 29%
18
Bentley
Atlantic Hockey 20.5 1500 51.80 28%
19
Lake Superior
CCHA 19.1 1500 51.81 28%
20
Miami
NCHC 17.8 1544 51.51 23%
21
Union
ECAC 20.5 1521 51.50 22%
22
Stonehill
Atlantic Hockey 16.1 1500 51.21 21%
23
Alaska
CCHA 14.1 1495 51.12 19%
24
Augustana
CCHA 18.5 1500 51.08 18%
25
Minnesota State
CCHA 17.0 1500 50.99 17%
26
Yale
ECAC 13.4 1500 50.72 17%
27
Brown
ECAC 15.0 1500 50.62 15%
28
Arizona State
NCHC 15.9 1522 50.84 15%
29
Princeton
ECAC 15.2 1500 50.62 15%
30
Dartmouth
ECAC 15.4 1500 50.56 14%
31
Clarkson
ECAC 17.9 1500 50.73 13%
32
Cornell
ECAC 15.3 1500 50.53 13%
33
RPI
ECAC 18.9 1500 50.74 13%
34
Northeastern
Hockey East 12.7 1500 50.56 12%
35
Colgate
ECAC 16.3 1500 50.36 11%
36
New Hampshire
Hockey East 20.3 1527 50.62 10%
37
Sacred Heart
Atlantic Hockey 19.1 1461 50.26 9%
38
St. Thomas
CCHA 16.6 1500 50.21 9%
39
Omaha
NCHC 15.2 1500 50.09 9%
40
North Dakota
NCHC 15.8 1500 50.07 8%
41
Vermont
Hockey East 15.3 1500 49.96 7%
42
Bemidji State
CCHA 15.5 1466 49.86 7%
43
Western Michigan
NCHC 14.4 1500 49.90 7%
44
Mass.-Lowell
Hockey East 16.0 1500 49.83 6%
45
Connecticut
Hockey East 15.6 1500 49.82 6%
46
Providence
Hockey East 16.3 1500 49.83 6%
47
Penn State
Big Ten 14.2 1500 49.71 6%
48
Ohio State
Big Ten 12.5 1500 49.34 4%
49
Notre Dame
Big Ten 11.1 1500 49.08 4%
50
Holy Cross
Atlantic Hockey 15.2 1432 49.11 4%
51
Long Island
Atlantic Hockey 15.4 1412 48.75 2%
52
Robert Morris
Atlantic Hockey 15.4 1391 48.11 1%
53
Harvard
ECAC 12.0 1435 48.04 1%
54
Canisius
Atlantic Hockey 14.3 1389 47.97 1%
55
Lindenwood
CCHA 10.7 1372 47.04 0%
56
Ferris State
CCHA 12.3 1366 47.02 0%
57
RIT
Atlantic Hockey 13.5 1370 47.14 0%
58
Army
Atlantic Hockey 12.5 1365 47.04 0%
59
Alaska-Anchorage
CCHA 5.4 1236 43.45 0%
60
Niagara
Atlantic Hockey 11.1 1321 45.56 0%
61
Northern Michigan
CCHA 5.9 1206 43.04 0%
62
St. Lawrence
ECAC 8.7 1297 44.17 0%