Wong Teasers
Underdogs of +1.5 to +2.5, teased 6 points to +7.5 to +8.5 across 3 and 7, three to a teaser. At +140 a leg has to win 74.7% of the time; these legs won 77.3% over 2015-25.
This week
Scanned every 4 hours from cached odds; last qualifying sighting 2026-10-20 04:35 UTC. Bet close to kickoff, not when a leg first appears. Through week 5 of 2026, more than half the dogs that reached +1.5 to +2.5 at DraftKings or FanDuel had left the range by kickoff, mostly out to +3. Betting every leg on first sight was worth about 75% a leg, roughly break-even; the legs still in range at kickoff were worth about 77%. Until the last day, a leg is a heads-up. Check each line is still +1.5 to +2.5 at your book when you bet. A +3 is not a leg.
| Leg | Game | Kickoff (UTC) | Line | Teased | Total | Best line at | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | @ Chicago Bears | 2026-10-23 00:15 | +1.5 | +7.5 | 49 | betrivers | no longer a leg — line moved |
| New Orleans Saints | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 2026-10-25 13:30 | +2.5 | +8.5 | 44 | pinnacle | no longer a leg — line moved |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Cleveland Browns | 2026-10-25 17:00 | +2.0 | +8.0 | 38.5 | williamhill_us | heads-up — recheck near kickoff |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Seattle Seahawks | 2026-10-26 00:20 | +2.5 | +8.5 | 42.5 | betonlineag | heads-up — recheck near kickoff |
2 legs so far — a teaser needs three.
Expected value at +140
| Leg win rate | p | EV per teaser |
|---|---|---|
| Historical 2015-25 | 77.3% | +10.9% |
| Out-of-sample | 75.6% | +3.7% |
| Planning (cautious) | 75.0% | +1.2% |
| CI low end | 73.6% | -4.3% |
Season record
Each week's legs as they stood at the last scan before kickoff, at that line, every three-leg combination for 1 unit at the 3-team price. A push reduces a teaser to a 2-teamer (paid at -135); two pushes are no action.
| Week of | Closing legs (teased line, how the game ended) | 3-leg teasers | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Denver Broncos +8.5 (won by 3), Houston Texans +8.5 (won by 3), Atlanta Falcons +7.5 (lost by 8), New York Giants +7.5 (lost by 7), Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (lost by 7), Dallas Cowboys +7.5 (lost by 10) | 20 | -10.40 |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints +8.5 (lost by 10), Green Bay Packers +7.5 (won by 24) | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 (won by 5), New York Giants +8.5 (won by 12), Atlanta Falcons +7.5 (won by 21) | 1 | +1.40 |
| 2026-09-22 | Cleveland Browns +8.5 (won by 3), Indianapolis Colts +7.5 (won by 2), Tennessee Titans +8.5 (lost by 5), Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 (lost by 7), Denver Broncos +8.0 (won by 4) | 10 | +14.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | Atlanta Falcons +8.5 (lost by 31) | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Houston Texans +7.5 (lost by 5), New York Jets +7.5 (won by 13), Green Bay Packers +8.0 (lost by 17) | 1 | -1.00 |
Favorite legs (−7.5 to −8.5 teased down) won only 72.2% in 2020-25 and are left out. Legs in the same week are independent (tested), so a round robin is just more teasers, not a correlated bet. A Thursday leg combined with Sunday legs is recorded at the Sunday legs' closing lines. Games before 9 October 2026 are rebuilt from the scanner's own log, written at the time; everything after is recorded live. Small samples swing hard: one good week can carry a season.