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Holy Cross
Merrimack
2026-11-06
Holy Cross
4-5-1
L
W
L
W
L
2-3 L5
VS
Upcoming
Merrimack
5-1
T
W
W
W
W
4-0 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Merrimack
Predicted Score
2 - 5
Total: 6.3
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +230
Holy Cross
21%
Merrimack
79%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Merrimack +2.8
Total
O/U 6.3
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Holy Cross
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Win conference tournament | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Win national title | <0.1% | 0.0% | <0.1% |
Merrimack
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Win conference tournament | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 51% | 54% | 40% |
| Make Frozen Four | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Win national title | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
Simulated 2026-11-03: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Holy Cross | Stat | Merrimack |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-1 |
| 2.40 | Goals/Game | 4.50 |
| 2.90 | Goals Against/Game | 3.38 |
| -5 | Goal Differential | +9 |
| 3-3 | Home Record | 3-0 |
| 1-3-1 | Away Record | 2-1 |
| 16.0% (4/25) | Power Play % | 19.0% (4/21) |
| 71.0% (22/31) | Penalty Kill % | 70.6% (12/17) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Merrimack: 4-0
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Holy Cross | W 5-2 |
| Jan 02, 2024 | @ Holy Cross | W 4-3 OT |
| Nov 22, 2022 | vs Holy Cross | W 5-1 |
| Nov 23, 2021 | @ Holy Cross | W 3-2 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Holy Cross
2-3 L5
L
W
L
W
L
| Oct 31 | @ Bentley | 3-4 |
| Oct 30 | vs Bentley | 2-0 |
| Oct 24 | @ Sacred Heart | 3-4 |
| Oct 23 | vs Sacred Heart | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | vs Army | 1-3 |
Merrimack
4-0 L5
T
W
W
W
W
| Oct 31 | vs Connecticut | 5-5 OT |
| Oct 30 | vs Connecticut | 5-4 |
| Oct 24 | @ Notre Dame | 6-3 |
| Oct 23 | @ Notre Dame | 2-1 OT |
| Oct 17 | vs Minnesota State | 8-2 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Holy Cross Size Extremes
- TallestWilliam Reardon F 6-6
- ShortestDaniel D'Alessandro D, Owen Kim F 5-9
- HeaviestWilliam Troutwine D 225 lb
- LightestOwen Kim F 165 lb
30 players on the listed roster
Merrimack Size Extremes
- TallestJacob Frasca F 6-5
- ShortestAustin Oravetz D, Nick Pierre F, Nolan Flamand F, Tristen Doyle D 5-9
- HeaviestJacob Frasca F 225 lb
- LightestTy Daneault F 161 lb
28 players on the listed roster
Holy Cross Top Scorers
- Owen Kim 6G / 4A / 10P
- Matthew Kursonis 3G / 4A / 7P
- William Elias 0G / 6A / 6P
- David Hymovitch 3G / 1A / 4P
- Ben Riche 2G / 2A / 4P
Merrimack Top Scorers
- Trevor Hoskin 2G / 10A / 12P
- Nick Pierre 8G / 2A / 10P
- Ty Daneault 4G / 5A / 9P
- Justin Gill 3G / 4A / 7P
- Seamus Powell 2G / 5A / 7P
Holy Cross Goalies
- Danick Leroux 7GP / 0.918 SV%
- Connor Towle 1GP / 0.857 SV%
Merrimack Goalies
- Linards Feldbergs 5GP / 0.897 SV%
- Ryan Keyes 2GP / 0.885 SV%