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Minnesota State
Northern Michigan
2026-11-06
Minnesota State
2-3-1
T
T
W
W
L
2-1 L5
VS
Upcoming
Northern Michigan
2-5-1
L
L
O
W
L
1-3-1 L5
L3
Our Prediction
Pick
Minnesota State
Predicted Score
3 - 3
Total: 5.9
Confidence
High
Elo Edge: -341
Minnesota State
72%
Northern Michig
28%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Northern M +0.1
Total
O/U 5.9
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Minnesota State
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Win conference tournament | 17% | 17% | 16% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 22% | 23% | 20% |
| Make Frozen Four | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Win national title | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Northern Michigan
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-03: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Minnesota State | Stat | Northern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3-1 | Record | 2-5-1 |
| 1.88 | Goals/Game | 1.75 |
| 3.12 | Goals Against/Game | 4.25 |
| -10 | Goal Differential | -20 |
| 1-2 | Home Record | 2-2-1 |
| 1-2-1 | Away Record | 0-4 |
| 14.8% (4/27) | Power Play % | 10.5% (2/19) |
| 85.2% (23/27) | Penalty Kill % | 62.5% (15/24) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Northern Michigan: 0-4-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Minnesota State | L 0-3 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | @ Minnesota State | T 2-2 OT |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Minnesota State | L 2-3 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Minnesota State | L 0-4 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Minnesota State | L 1-6 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota State
2-1 L5
T
T
W
W
L
| Oct 31 | vs Lake Superior | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 30 | vs Lake Superior | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 24 | vs St. Thomas | 2-0 |
| Oct 23 | @ St. Thomas | 3-1 |
| Oct 17 | @ Merrimack | 2-8 |
Northern Michigan
1-3-1 L5
L
L
O
W
L
| Oct 31 | @ Augustana | 1-4 |
| Oct 30 | @ Augustana | 0-12 |
| Oct 17 | vs Stonehill | 1-2 OT |
| Oct 16 | vs Stonehill | 5-1 |
| Oct 11 | @ Michigan State | 1-5 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Minnesota State Size Extremes
- TallestDaimon Gardner G, Will Skahan D 6-5
- ShortestAlex Zetterberg F 5-8
- HeaviestWill Skahan D 223 lb
- LightestAlex Zetterberg F 164 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Northern Michigan Size Extremes
- TallestReilley Kotai F, Warren Clark D 6-3
- ShortestBranden Piku F 5-8
- HeaviestDarik Olson D, Owen Pitters F 198 lb
- LightestMathew Ward F 160 lb
27 players on the listed roster
Minnesota State Top Scorers
- Mason Kraft 2G / 4A / 6P
- Liam Watkins 2G / 3A / 5P
- Alex Zetterberg 1G / 4A / 5P
- Luigi Benincasa 0G / 4A / 4P
- Ean Somoza 3G / 0A / 3P
Northern Michigan Top Scorers
- Michael Burchill 2G / 2A / 4P
- Owen Pitters 1G / 3A / 4P
- Mathew Ward 1G / 2A / 3P
- Darik Olson 2G / 0A / 2P
- Branden Piku 1G / 1A / 2P
Minnesota State Goalies
- Lassi Lehti 5GP / 0.946 SV%
- Raiden LeGall 4GP / 0.876 SV%
Northern Michigan Goalies
- Oliver Auyeung-Ashton 4GP / 0.892 SV%
- Max Weilandt 2GP / 0.860 SV%