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Yale
Dartmouth
2026-11-06
Yale
1-0
W
1-0 L5
VS
Upcoming
Dartmouth
2-0
W
W
2-0 L5
W2
Our Prediction
Pick
Dartmouth
Predicted Score
1 - 4
Total: 5.3
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +353
Yale
16%
Dartmouth
84%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Dartmouth +2.6
Total
O/U 5.3
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Yale
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dartmouth
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 21% | 23% | 14% |
| Win conference tournament | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 67% | 69% | 57% |
| Make Frozen Four | 12% | 12% | 9.8% |
| Win national title | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Simulated 2026-11-03: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Yale | Stat | Dartmouth |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2.00 | Goals/Game | 5.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals Against/Game | 0.00 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | +10 |
| 1-0 | Home Record | 2-0 |
| 0-0 | Away Record | 0-0 |
| 33.3% (1/3) | Power Play % | 50.0% (5/10) |
| 100.0% (2/2) | Penalty Kill % | 100.0% (5/5) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Dartmouth: 3-1-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | @ Yale | T 4-4 OT |
| Dec 06, 2025 | vs Yale | W 6-1 |
| Nov 02, 2025 | vs Yale | W 6-1 |
| Mar 01, 2025 | @ Yale | W 5-1 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | vs Yale | L 2-3 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Yale
1-0 L5
W
| Oct 30 | vs Brown | 2-1 |
Dartmouth
2-0 L5
W
W
| Nov 1 | vs Alaska | 4-0 |
| Oct 31 | vs Alaska | 6-0 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Yale Size Extremes
- TallestJulian Frias F 6-5
- ShortestHughie Hooker D 5-7
- HeaviestJulian Frias F 210 lb
- LightestTom Molson F 154 lb
30 players on the listed roster
Dartmouth Size Extremes
- TallestHank Cleaves F 6-5
- ShortestDrew Stewart C, Jack Silverberg F, Oskari Vuorio F 5-9
- HeaviestMatthew Desiderio D 209 lb
- LightestNathan Morin F 160 lb
31 players on the listed roster
Yale Top Scorers
- Ronan O'Donnell 0G / 2A / 2P
- Kyle O'Leary 1G / 0A / 1P
- Will Richter 1G / 0A / 1P
- Dylan Hunt 0G / 1A / 1P
- Micah Berger 0G / 1A / 1P
Dartmouth Top Scorers
- Drew Stewart 3G / 3A / 6P
- Nikita Nikora 1G / 4A / 5P
- Hank Cleaves 2G / 2A / 4P
- Hayden Stavroff 2G / 2A / 4P
- CJ Foley 1G / 1A / 2P
Yale Goalies
- Jack Stark 1GP / 0.969 SV%
Dartmouth Goalies
- Emmett Croteau 2GP / 1.000 SV%