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Alaska-Anchorage
St. Thomas
2026-11-07
Alaska-Anchorage
1-6-1
O
L
L
W
L
1-3-1 L5
L3
VS
Upcoming
St. Thomas
2-4
W
L
L
L
W
2-3 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
St. Thomas
Predicted Score
2 - 4
Total: 5.8
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +317
Alaska-Anchorag
15%
St. Thomas
85%
Model Line Projections
Spread
St. Thomas +2.6
Total
O/U 5.8
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Alaska-Anchorage
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
St. Thomas
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Make Frozen Four | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-03: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Alaska-Anchorage | Stat | St. Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6-1 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2.00 | Goals/Game | 1.83 |
| 5.12 | Goals Against/Game | 2.50 |
| -25 | Goal Differential | -4 |
| 1-3 | Home Record | 1-2 |
| 0-4-1 | Away Record | 1-2 |
| 15.8% (3/19) | Power Play % | 16.0% (4/25) |
| 79.2% (19/24) | Penalty Kill % | 73.9% (17/23) |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Alaska-Anchorage
1-3-1 L5
O
L
L
W
L
| Oct 24 | @ Miami | 2-3 OT |
| Oct 23 | @ Miami | 1-5 |
| Oct 17 | vs Lake Superior | 2-4 |
| Oct 16 | vs Lake Superior | 5-2 |
| Oct 10 | @ Michigan | 2-7 |
St. Thomas
2-3 L5
W
L
L
L
W
| Oct 31 | @ Miami | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | @ Miami | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | @ Minnesota State | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | vs Minnesota State | 1-3 |
| Oct 10 | vs Air Force | 4-2 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Alaska-Anchorage Size Extremes
- TallestMatthew Martin-Gaudreault F 6-6
- ShortestDylan Contreras F 5-7
- HeaviestMatthew Martin-Gaudreault F 216 lb
- LightestTye Spencer F 143 lb
29 players on the listed roster
St. Thomas Size Extremes
- TallestBauer Berry D, Carsen Musser G, Justin Kipkie D, Kade Stengrim F, Nathan Pilling F, Winter Wallace F 6-4
- ShortestAttila Lippai F 5-9
- HeaviestWinter Wallace F 222 lb
- LightestJakub Altrichter F 165 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Alaska-Anchorage Top Scorers
- Karter McNarland 1G / 5A / 6P
- Oren Shtrom 1G / 4A / 5P
- Jacob Terpstra 2G / 2A / 4P
- Ethan Warrener 2G / 1A / 3P
- Jalen Bianchet 1G / 2A / 3P
St. Thomas Top Scorers
- Nathan Pilling 3G / 2A / 5P
- Chase Cheslock 2G / 3A / 5P
- Lucas Van Vliet 3G / 1A / 4P
- Justin Kipkie 0G / 4A / 4P
- Jakub Altrichter 1G / 2A / 3P
Alaska-Anchorage Goalies
- Joey Rocha 5GP / 0.868 SV%
- William Gramme 1GP / 0.787 SV%
St. Thomas Goalies
- William Ingemann 3GP / 0.957 SV%
- Ajay White 2GP / 0.894 SV%