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Brown
Dartmouth
2026-11-07
Brown
0-1
L
0-1 L5
VS
Upcoming
Dartmouth
2-0
W
W
2-0 L5
W2
Our Prediction
Pick
Dartmouth
Predicted Score
2 - 4
Total: 5.8
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +393
Brown
14%
Dartmouth
86%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Dartmouth +2.7
Total
O/U 5.8
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Brown
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Make NCAA tournament | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Dartmouth
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 21% | 22% | 14% |
| Win conference tournament | 23% | 23% | 21% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 67% | 69% | 56% |
| Make Frozen Four | 12% | 12% | 9.9% |
| Win national title | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Simulated 2026-11-03: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Brown | Stat | Dartmouth |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1.00 | Goals/Game | 5.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals Against/Game | 0.00 |
| -1 | Goal Differential | +10 |
| 0-0 | Home Record | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | Away Record | 0-0 |
| 0.0% (0/2) | Power Play % | 50.0% (5/10) |
| 66.7% (2/3) | Penalty Kill % | 100.0% (5/5) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Dartmouth: 4-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | @ Brown | L 3-4 |
| Dec 05, 2025 | vs Brown | W 7-3 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | @ Brown | W 4-2 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Brown | W 5-2 |
| Mar 01, 2024 | vs Brown | W 5-3 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Brown
0-1 L5
L
| Oct 30 | @ Yale | 1-2 |
Dartmouth
2-0 L5
W
W
| Nov 1 | vs Alaska | 4-0 |
| Oct 31 | vs Alaska | 6-0 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
| Player | Pos | Now | Formerly | Seasons there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Desiderio | D | Dartmouth | Brown | 2025-26 |
Brown Size Extremes
- TallestFred Halyk G 6-6
- ShortestMarco Senerchia D 5-9
- HeaviestFred Halyk G, Owen Dyer D, Tristan Zarsky D 225 lb
- LightestMarco Senerchia D 160 lb
28 players on the listed roster
Dartmouth Size Extremes
- TallestHank Cleaves F 6-5
- ShortestDrew Stewart C, Jack Silverberg F, Oskari Vuorio F 5-9
- HeaviestMatthew Desiderio D 209 lb
- LightestNathan Morin F 160 lb
31 players on the listed roster
Brown Top Scorers
- Matteo Danis 1G / 0A / 1P
- Ben Poitras 0G / 1A / 1P
- Griffin Erdman 0G / 1A / 1P
Dartmouth Top Scorers
- Drew Stewart 3G / 3A / 6P
- Nikita Nikora 1G / 4A / 5P
- Hank Cleaves 2G / 2A / 4P
- Hayden Stavroff 2G / 2A / 4P
- CJ Foley 1G / 1A / 2P
Brown Goalies
- Fred Halyk 1GP / 0.909 SV%
Dartmouth Goalies
- Emmett Croteau 2GP / 1.000 SV%