Track Record
Full transparency on all alerts, CLV tracking, and performance metrics.
Polling regime
Showing only picks made under burst_2026_09 — 4-hourly baseline plus 1-minute polling in the hour before kickoff. 1,889 settled so far. The previous era's 12,821 settled picks are kept but excluded — at 30–60 minute resolution, 70% of them quoted a price that had already vanished by the next poll, which is not a price a real tool could have taken. Show all regimes.
How to read this
Current ruleset (would-have-been) view. These numbers retroactively exclude picks that today's selection rules would have suppressed — that removes 50.9% of the picks that were actually shown to users in this window. It is a hypothetical, not our record. See the default as-shown record for what a user betting every displayed pick actually experienced.
Recent Performance
Last 7 Days
CLV+ Rate
93.10%
Avg Edge
+1.88%
ROI
+37.04%
Record
1-0
Win Rate
100.00%
Last 30 Days
CLV+ Rate
81.40%
Avg Edge
+1.09%
ROI
+3.76%
Record
174-110
Win Rate
61.30%
CLV+ Rate
78.30%
Beat the closing line (no-vig devig CLV, reliable closes only)
Average CLV
+1.00%
Edge vs closing line
ROI (90d)
+5.88%
95% CI [-2.8, +14.6]%
All-time +5.88% (n=368, not significant)
Total Alerts
724
368 settled
Win Rate
62.20%
229W - 139L
Track Record
Verified
Over 700+ alerts tracked
CLV Distribution
Distribution of no-vig (devig) Closing Line Value across alerts with a reliably captured close — the same CLV definition as every other number on this page. Positive CLV indicates we got a better price than the fair closing line.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nfl | 374 | 76.80% | +1.10% | 65.20% | 15-8 | +1.75% |
| nba | 12 | 58.30% | +0.07% | 58.30% | 7-5 | +2.75% |
| nhl | 329 | 81.50% | +1.00% | 62.80% | 204-121 | +7.54% |
| tennis_wta | 3 | 66.70% | -4.03% | 100.00% | 2-0 | +22.91% |
| mlb | 6 | 0.00% | -2.09% | 16.70% | 1-5 | -67.46% |
Performance by Bet Type
| Bet Type | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Yds | 44 | 81.80% | +1.41% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Receptions | 191 | 83.80% | +1.30% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Reception Yds | 72 | 73.60% | +1.13% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Moneyline | 23 | 43.50% | -0.92% | 77.30% | 17-5 | +9.58% |
| Pass Yds | 14 | 42.90% | -0.10% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Pass Tds | 30 | 76.70% | +0.83% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Total | 15 | 0.00% | -1.95% | 35.70% | 5-9 | -30.01% |
| Points | 262 | 81.30% | +0.81% | 62.90% | 163-96 | +5.65% |
| h2h | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Detector Source
Compares alerts produced by each detector. market_consensus
is the live line-shopping detector. nhl_stacking_v3 is the
NHL regular-season stacking model — it is in observation mode with
no live alerts and no live record yet (it starts
emitting when the NHL regular season opens); any performance figure
attached to it elsewhere is a backtest, not live results, and it will
only appear in this table once it has real settled alerts. Other model
sources visible here (e.g. nba_model_v2,
nhl_model_v1) are sunset — historical alerts only, no new
picks since 2026-05-30.
| Source | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| market_consensus | 651 | 78.10% | +0.93% | 62.70% | 185-110 | +4.25% |
| nhl_stacking_v3 | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Movement Signal
| Movement Class | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| toward_pick | 48-26 | 64.90% | +4.90% |
| away_small | 14-24 | 36.80% | -24.25% |
| away_large | 9-10 | 47.40% | -16.34% |
| stable | 157-272 | 36.60% | -25.90% |
| RLM Status | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| No RLM | 208-296 | 41.30% | -20.36% |
| RLM | 20-36 | 35.70% | -30.32% |
Alert Log
Showing 724 most recent alerts| Date | Sport | Type | Selection | Book | Alert Odds | Close Odds | CLV | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Luther Burden III Under 3.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -109 | -125 | +2.41% | +1.68% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Rachaad White Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
DraftKings | -125 | -141 | +2.41% | +0.87% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Antonio Williams Under 3.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -155 | -178 | +2.34% | +1.31% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Antonio Williams Over 37.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.46% | +1.04% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Saquon Barkley Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -158 | -207 | +5.24% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dallas Goedert Over 4.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -140 | -151 | +0.54% | +1.94% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Los Angeles Rams ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
|
DraftKings | -270 | -294 | +0.21% | +0.8% | WIN |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 10.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -125 | +1.24% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Bijan Robinson Over 80.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -130 | +2.41% | +1.75% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dalton Kincaid Under 46.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -113 | -143 | +4.33% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Mike Gesicki Under 2.5
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +1.44% | +2.48% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Jared Goff Under 259.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -112 | -136 | +1.72% | +5.13% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Under 29.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -110 | -141 | +4.40% | +2.9% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Sam LaPorta Under 45.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.34% | +1.24% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Geno Smith Under 1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
Fanatics | -110 | -122 | +1.91% | +1.12% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Josh Cuevas Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -174 | -199 | +2.37% | +0.96% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ja'Kobi Lane Under 2.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
BetMGM | +100 | -113 | +2.37% | +1.2% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -140 | -147 | +0.22% | +1.44% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 0.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -113 | +0.67% | +1.58% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -142 | -158 | +1.55% | +1.52% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Mayer Over 25.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -112 | -129 | +2.01% | +2.47% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Wilson Over 56.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -110 | -2.14% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ryan Flournoy Under 3.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
DraftKings | -123 | -141 | +2.41% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Michael Wilson Over 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -118 | -134 | +2.54% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -106 | -121 | +2.60% | +1.18% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
George Pickens Under 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
BetMGM | -110 | -126 | +2.38% | +1.65% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tez Johnson Under 2.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
DraftKings | -128 | -154 | +2.34% | +3.37% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Lamar Jackson Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -110 | -120 | +1.40% | +1.28% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 41.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.49% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Savion Williams Under 3.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
DraftKings | -104 | -120 | +2.31% | +2.17% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mitchell Evans Under 6.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | +100 | -114 | +2.80% | +0.84% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Bryce Young Under 252.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.57% | +2.24% | NONE |
| 10/26/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Saquon Barkley Under 68.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
|
FanDuel | -113 | -121 | +0.79% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Patrick Mahomes Under 17.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -112 | -126 | +2.24% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Emanuel Wilson Under 7.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
BetMGM | -115 | -131 | +2.21% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tyler Allgeier Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -157 | -183 | +1.74% | +2.64% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Under 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -114 | -130 | +2.24% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Kendrick Bourne Under 34.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -113 | -126 | +2.01% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Kyle Juszczyk Under 1.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
BetMGM | -120 | -133 | +1.84% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Denzel Boston Under 51.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -115 | -138 | +2.11% | +3.91% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Carnell Tate Under 4.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -111 | -128 | +2.18% | +2.26% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dalton Schultz Under 3.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -152 | -171 | +1.93% | +1.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jordan Addison Under 3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -140 | -158 | +1.98% | +1.39% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Seattle Seahawks ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -142 | -151 | +0.21% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
RJ Harvey Over 24.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
FanDuel | -106 | -123 | +1.88% | +3.12% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Elijah Higgins Over 12.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -109 | -116 | -0.80% | +3.96% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Kyler Murray Under 25.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +2.15% | +1.87% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Seth McGowan Under 13.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -106 | -128 | +2.30% | +4.08% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mason Taylor Over 17.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Garrett Wilson Over 62.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -113 | -132 | +3.16% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jordan Mason Under 49.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +1.83% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Brock Purdy Over 19.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
DraftKings | -113 | -132 | +2.18% | +2.76% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Woody Marks Under 2.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
Bovada | -110 | -135 | +4.40% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
Fanatics | -120 | -135 | +0.49% | +3.89% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Justin Jefferson Over 72.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.40% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +2.14% | +1.41% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyler Allgeier Under 10.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -127 | +2.21% | +3.07% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
J.K. Dobbins Under 4.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -107 | -126 | +2.13% | +3.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Evan Engram Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -142 | +5.97% | +1.34% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Over 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
BetMGM | -111 | +107 | -5.20% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tank Dell Over 0.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -212 | -268 | +3.14% | +2.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
John Metchie III Under 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -136 | -141 | +0.23% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dylan Sampson Over 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
DraftKings | -126 | -141 | +1.89% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
DK Metcalf Over 4.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -123 | -140 | +2.16% | +1.61% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
New York Jets ML
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -190 | -195 | -0.78% | +1.48% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Devin Singletary Under 6.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -127 | +0.29% | +5.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Chris Godwin Over 4.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -122 | +2.25% | +2.15% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dylan Sampson Over 10.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -104 | -2.67% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tony Pollard Under 6.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -102 | -3.25% | +2.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 23.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -113 | -109 | -1.81% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 9.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Nico Collins Over 4.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -129 | -144 | +2.06% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Over 38.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -119 | -0.38% | +2.76% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Josh Downs Over 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
BetMGM | -105 | -120 | +2.31% | +1.75% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Ollie Gordon II Under 8.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -113 | -133 | +2.15% | +3.12% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Omar Cooper Jr. Under 2.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | +100 | -111 | +1.43% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Michael Penix Jr. Over 229.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
FanDuel | -113 | -108 | -2.04% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Drake London Over 83.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
FanDuel | -113 | -107 | -2.05% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Drake London Over 5.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
DraftKings | -148 | -164 | +1.51% | +1.37% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Tyler Huntley Over 25.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
|
FanDuel | -113 | -126 | +2.10% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Derrick Henry Under 6.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
|
DraftKings | -108 | -126 | +2.24% | +2.69% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Baker Mayfield Under 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
Bovada | -170 | -193 | +1.82% | +1.52% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Sean Tucker Under 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
DraftKings | -106 | -121 | +2.27% | +1.74% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Bucky Irving Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -140 | -160 | +2.46% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Total |
Over 43.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
Bovada | -105 | -116 | N/A | +1.43% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Rico Dowdle Under 7.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -110 | -126 | +2.24% | +1.9% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Juwan Johnson Under 3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
BetMGM | -105 | -121 | +2.27% | +2.16% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Jaylen Warren Under 25.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -110 | -123 | +2.22% | +0.95% | NONE |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Moneyline |
Los Angeles Clippers ML
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers
|
FanDuel | -180 | -185 | -0.47% | +1.5% | WIN |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Points |
Dylan Harper Under 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -119 | +0.10% | +2.09% | LOSS |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Moneyline |
Toronto Raptors ML
Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors
|
FanDuel | -360 | -437 | +1.45% | +1.87% | WIN |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Points |
Jared McCain Over 9.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -122 | +0.65% | +1.11% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Ajay Mitchell Over 11.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -117 | -0.35% | +2.68% | LOSS |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Dylan Harper Over 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | +100 | -105 | -1.56% | +1.23% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Dmitry Orlov Under 0.5
San Jose Sharks @ Montréal Canadiens
|
DraftKings | -145 | -170 | +0.28% | +1.23% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Stephon Castle Over 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
BetMGM | -111 | -127 | +0.49% | +1.08% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
John Carlson Under 0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
|
BetMGM | -135 | -158 | +0.34% | +1.36% | LOSS |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Jake Guentzel Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
|
BetMGM | -150 | -185 | +1.18% | +2.75% | LOSS |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Shea Theodore Under 0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
|
BetMGM | -190 | -224 | +0.11% | +2.16% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Cam Fowler Under 0.5
Winnipeg Jets @ St Louis Blues
|
BetMGM | -185 | -247 | +2.76% | +5.04% | WIN |
How We Calculate EV
We use Pinnacle as our sharp benchmark and calculate true probabilities through multiplicative devigging. Our edge is the difference between our calculated true probability and the implied probability at soft books.
Read Full Methodology