Track Record
Full transparency on all alerts, CLV tracking, and performance metrics.
Polling regime
Showing only picks made under burst_2026_09 — 4-hourly baseline plus 1-minute polling in the hour before kickoff. 1,889 settled so far. The previous era's 12,821 settled picks are kept but excluded — at 30–60 minute resolution, 70% of them quoted a price that had already vanished by the next poll, which is not a price a real tool could have taken. Show all regimes.
How to read this
This is the as-shown record: every pick displayed to users (deduped to one bet per pick at the best available price), with no retroactive filtering. It covers a single, mostly-playoff regime and is not a proven edge — recent windows have run around break-even to slightly negative, and the ROI confidence intervals span zero. All CLV figures use the fixed no-vig (devig) CLV; the legacy price-based CLV was discredited and no longer appears anywhere on this page. Judge us on forward results, not any single window. A current-ruleset (would-have-been) view is available, clearly labeled — it excludes picks that were shown, so it is not the record.
Recent Performance
Last 7 Days
CLV+ Rate
92.30%
Avg Edge
+1.86%
ROI
-33.54%
Record
2-3
Win Rate
40.00%
Last 30 Days
CLV+ Rate
78.50%
Avg Edge
+1.00%
ROI
+2.59%
Record
454-361
Win Rate
55.70%
CLV+ Rate
76.70%
Beat the closing line (no-vig devig CLV, reliable closes only)
Average CLV
+0.98%
Edge vs closing line
ROI (90d)
+1.25%
95% CI [-4.5, +7.0]%
All-time +1.25% (n=1007, not significant)
Total Alerts
1,474
1,007 settled
Win Rate
55.00%
554W - 453L
Track Record
Verified
Over 1,400+ alerts tracked
CLV Distribution
Distribution of no-vig (devig) Closing Line Value across alerts with a reliably captured close — the same CLV definition as every other number on this page. Positive CLV indicates we got a better price than the fair closing line.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nfl | 513 | 78.10% | +1.25% | 47.30% | 26-29 | -17.96% |
| nba | 17 | 58.80% | +0.02% | 47.10% | 8-9 | -15.41% |
| nhl | 930 | 76.90% | +0.80% | 56.00% | 517-406 | +3.54% |
| tennis_wta | 3 | 66.70% | -4.03% | 100.00% | 2-0 | +22.91% |
| tennis_atp | 1 | 0.00% | -0.78% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| mlb | 10 | 16.70% | -1.50% | 10.00% | 1-9 | -80.48% |
Performance by Bet Type
| Bet Type | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 282 | 85.10% | +1.51% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Pass Tds | 41 | 80.50% | +1.19% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Rush Yds | 47 | 83.00% | +1.46% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Reception Yds | 72 | 73.60% | +1.13% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Spread | 63 | 47.80% | -0.17% | 42.60% | 26-35 | -25.00% |
| Moneyline | 24 | 41.70% | -0.92% | 77.30% | 17-5 | +9.58% |
| Pass Yds | 14 | 42.90% | -0.10% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Total | 75 | 14.30% | -1.40% | 35.60% | 26-47 | -25.75% |
| Shots on Goal | 434 | 0.00% | +0.00% | 54.40% | 235-197 | +3.31% |
| Points | 349 | 82.70% | +0.87% | 59.50% | 206-140 | +6.10% |
| h2h | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Detector Source
Compares alerts produced by each detector. market_consensus
is the live line-shopping detector. nhl_stacking_v3 is the
NHL regular-season stacking model — it is in observation mode with
no live alerts and no live record yet (it starts
emitting when the NHL regular season opens); any performance figure
attached to it elsewhere is a backtest, not live results, and it will
only appear in this table once it has real settled alerts. Other model
sources visible here (e.g. nba_model_v2,
nhl_model_v1) are sunset — historical alerts only, no new
picks since 2026-05-30.
| Source | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| market_consensus | 1,401 | 76.50% | +0.93% | 54.60% | 510-424 | +0.37% |
| nhl_stacking_v3 | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Movement Signal
| Movement Class | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| toward_pick | 48-26 | 64.90% | +4.90% |
| away_small | 14-24 | 36.80% | -24.25% |
| away_large | 9-10 | 47.40% | -16.34% |
| stable | 157-272 | 36.60% | -25.90% |
| RLM Status | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| No RLM | 208-296 | 41.30% | -20.36% |
| RLM | 20-36 | 35.70% | -30.32% |
Alert Log
Showing 1474 most recent alerts| Date | Sport | Type | Selection | Book | Alert Odds | Close Odds | CLV | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Kalif Raymond Over 2.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | +147 | +130 | +2.36% | +1.37% | NONE |
| 11/03/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Caleb Williams Over 1.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | +131 | +111 | +2.42% | +3.42% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Luther Burden III Over 4.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
Bovada | +130 | +108 | +2.40% | +4.46% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
D'Andre Swift Over 3.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | +127 | +109 | +2.58% | +2.43% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Luther Burden III Under 3.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -109 | -125 | +2.41% | +1.68% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Rachaad White Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
DraftKings | -125 | -141 | +2.41% | +0.87% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Antonio Williams Under 3.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -155 | -178 | +2.34% | +1.31% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Antonio Williams Over 37.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.46% | +1.04% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Spread |
New England Patriots -7
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
|
BetMGM | -102 | -110 | N/A | +2.09% | LOSS |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Saquon Barkley Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -158 | -207 | +5.24% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dallas Goedert Over 4.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -140 | -151 | +0.54% | +1.94% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Spread |
Philadelphia Eagles +5.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | +100 | -108 | -0.45% | +0.66% | LOSS |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Aaron Jones Under 1.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | +132 | +117 | +2.38% | +1.22% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Brenton Strange Under 3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
|
DraftKings | +126 | +110 | +2.35% | +2.03% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Los Angeles Rams ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
|
DraftKings | -270 | -294 | +0.21% | +0.8% | WIN |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 10.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -125 | +1.24% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Bijan Robinson Over 80.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -130 | +2.41% | +1.75% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dalton Kincaid Under 46.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -113 | -143 | +4.33% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Mike Gesicki Under 2.5
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +1.44% | +2.48% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Jared Goff Under 259.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -112 | -136 | +1.72% | +5.13% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Under 29.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -110 | -141 | +4.40% | +2.9% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Sam LaPorta Under 45.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.34% | +1.24% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Geno Smith Under 1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
Fanatics | -110 | -122 | +1.91% | +1.12% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Josh Allen Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
BetMGM | +120 | +103 | +2.09% | +3.33% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Josh Cuevas Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -174 | -199 | +2.37% | +0.96% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ja'Kobi Lane Under 2.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
BetMGM | +100 | -113 | +2.37% | +1.2% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -140 | -147 | +0.22% | +1.44% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 0.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -113 | +0.67% | +1.58% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -142 | -158 | +1.55% | +1.52% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jakobi Meyers Over 3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
|
FanDuel | +144 | +134 | +1.27% | +1.03% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Parker Washington Under 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
|
Bovada | +110 | +105 | +0.37% | +1.46% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Mayer Over 25.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -112 | -129 | +2.01% | +2.47% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Wilson Over 56.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -110 | -2.14% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ryan Flournoy Under 3.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
DraftKings | -123 | -141 | +2.41% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Michael Wilson Over 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -118 | -134 | +2.54% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -106 | -121 | +2.60% | +1.18% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
George Pickens Under 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
BetMGM | -110 | -126 | +2.38% | +1.65% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tez Johnson Under 2.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
DraftKings | -128 | -154 | +2.34% | +3.37% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Lamar Jackson Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -110 | -120 | +1.40% | +1.28% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 41.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.49% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Spread |
Arizona Cardinals +7
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
Fanatics | -105 | -105 | N/A | +1.99% | WIN |
| 10/31/26 | nfl | Spread |
Indianapolis Colts +10
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
|
Bovada | -108 | -118 | N/A | +1.01% | LOSS |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Matthew Golden Over 4.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
BetMGM | +105 | -109 | +2.39% | +1.78% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Savion Williams Under 3.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
DraftKings | -104 | -120 | +2.31% | +2.17% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Matthew Golden Under 4.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
DraftKings | +102 | -111 | +2.61% | +0.88% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mitchell Evans Under 6.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | +100 | -114 | +2.80% | +0.84% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Christian Watson Under 4.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
DraftKings | +111 | +105 | +0.78% | +1.12% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Bryce Young Under 252.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.57% | +2.24% | NONE |
| 10/26/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Saquon Barkley Under 68.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
|
FanDuel | -113 | -121 | +0.79% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Patrick Mahomes Under 17.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -112 | -126 | +2.24% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Emanuel Wilson Under 7.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
BetMGM | -115 | -131 | +2.21% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tyler Allgeier Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -157 | -183 | +1.74% | +2.64% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Under 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -114 | -130 | +2.24% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Kendrick Bourne Under 34.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -113 | -126 | +2.01% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Kyle Juszczyk Under 1.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
BetMGM | -120 | -133 | +1.84% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Denzel Boston Under 51.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -115 | -138 | +2.11% | +3.91% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Carnell Tate Under 4.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -111 | -128 | +2.18% | +2.26% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dalton Schultz Under 3.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -152 | -171 | +1.93% | +1.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jordan Addison Under 3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -140 | -158 | +1.98% | +1.39% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Omar Cooper Jr. Under 2.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
Bovada | +105 | -111 | +2.37% | +2.62% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Seattle Seahawks ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -142 | -151 | +0.21% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
RJ Harvey Over 24.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
FanDuel | -106 | -123 | +1.88% | +3.12% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Evan Engram Over 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | +124 | +117 | +0.58% | +1.69% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Elijah Higgins Over 12.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -109 | -116 | -0.80% | +3.96% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Kyler Murray Under 25.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +2.15% | +1.87% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Seth McGowan Under 13.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -106 | -128 | +2.30% | +4.08% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mason Taylor Over 17.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Garrett Wilson Over 62.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -113 | -132 | +3.16% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Malik Washington Over 4.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | +124 | +109 | +2.57% | +1.26% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jordan Mason Under 49.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +1.83% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Brock Purdy Over 19.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
DraftKings | -113 | -132 | +2.18% | +2.76% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Zachariah Branch Over 1.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
Bovada | +110 | -114 | +3.27% | +4.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dohnte Meyers Under 1.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
|
DraftKings | +102 | -109 | +2.15% | +0.88% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tyjae Spears Over 2.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
DraftKings | +129 | +112 | +2.62% | +1.77% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Woody Marks Under 2.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
Bovada | -110 | -135 | +4.40% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
Fanatics | -120 | -135 | +0.49% | +3.89% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Justin Jefferson Over 72.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.40% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +2.14% | +1.41% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Brock Purdy Under 1.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
Fanatics | +130 | +113 | +2.61% | +1.74% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyler Allgeier Under 10.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -127 | +2.21% | +3.07% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
J.K. Dobbins Under 4.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -107 | -126 | +2.13% | +3.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Evan Engram Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -142 | +5.97% | +1.34% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Over 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
BetMGM | -111 | +107 | -5.20% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Troy Franklin Over 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
FanDuel | +102 | -104 | +0.74% | +1.3% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Spread |
Indianapolis Colts +7
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
Bovada | -110 | -112 | -1.93% | +2.13% | WIN |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tank Dell Over 0.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -212 | -268 | +3.14% | +2.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Garrett Wilson Under 5.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | +102 | -110 | +2.38% | +0.88% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Spread |
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
Fanatics | +100 | -107 | -1.91% | +1.02% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
John Metchie III Under 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -136 | -141 | +0.23% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dylan Sampson Over 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
DraftKings | -126 | -141 | +1.89% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
DK Metcalf Over 4.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -123 | -140 | +2.16% | +1.61% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
New York Jets ML
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -190 | -195 | -0.78% | +1.48% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Devin Singletary Under 6.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -127 | +0.29% | +5.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Chris Godwin Over 4.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -122 | +2.25% | +2.15% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dylan Sampson Over 10.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -104 | -2.67% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tony Pollard Under 6.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -102 | -3.25% | +2.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 23.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -113 | -109 | -1.81% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 9.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Nico Collins Over 4.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -129 | -144 | +2.06% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Over 38.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -119 | -0.38% | +2.76% | NONE |
How We Calculate EV
We use Pinnacle as our sharp benchmark and calculate true probabilities through multiplicative devigging. Our edge is the difference between our calculated true probability and the implied probability at soft books.
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