Davis Mills
QB · HOU
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 6 | 91 | 159 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 60 | 1 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | HOU | 4 | 20 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 | HOU | 5 | 18 | 39 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | HOU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 292 | 479 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 108 | 2 | not checked |
| 2021 | HOU | 13 | 263 | 394 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 18 | 44 | 0 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Dropbacks
433
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.117
30th of 33 · lg +0.054
Success rate
42.5%
28th of 33 · lg 46.2%
Yards/play
5.77
25th of 33 · lg 6.30
Explosive rate
7.4%
27th of 33 · lg 9.1%
CPOE
-0.2
23rd of 33 · lg +0.0
Completion %
67.1%
13th of 33 · lg 65.0%
Air yards/att
7.3
27th of 33 · lg 7.8
Sack rate
7.2%
24th of 33 · lg 6.0%
Turnover rate
3.0%
19th of 33 · lg 2.9%
TD rate
3.7%
19th of 33 · lg 4.2%
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 242 | +0.046 | 48% | 6.8 | +0.052 | 19/33 | 0.04 |
| Away | 191 | -0.323 | 36% | 4.5 | +0.054 | 32/33 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.175 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 31 | -0.233 | 42% | 4.9 | +0.104 | 23/25 | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 377 | -0.053 | 44% | 6.1 | +0.051 | 25/33 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 25 | -0.938 | 24% | 2.5 | +0.035 | — | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | -0.022 | — | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 224 | -0.002 | 44% | 6.4 | +0.072 | 22/30 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 209 | -0.239 | 41% | 5.1 | +0.047 | 33/33 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 0 | — | — | — | -0.048 | — | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 36 | -0.451 | 31% | 3.9 | +0.062 | 27/27 | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 44 | -0.523 | 30% | 3.6 | +0.053 | 31/31 | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 31 | +0.113 | 39% | 6.6 | +0.074 | 11/22 | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 36 | -0.451 | 31% | 3.9 | +0.068 | 33/33 | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 75 | -0.260 | 33% | 4.9 | +0.029 | 24/26 | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 0 | — | — | — | -0.019 | — | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 184 | -0.145 | 43% | 5.4 | +0.051 | 30/33 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 25 | -0.938 | 24% | 2.5 | -0.042 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 208 | -0.206 | 42% | 5.6 | -0.045 | 29/33 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 86 | -0.178 | 43% | 5.2 | +0.065 | 31/33 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 71 | +0.013 | 46% | 5.8 | +0.082 | 22/32 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 50 | +0.277 | 44% | 7.6 | +0.115 | 5/33 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 18 | -0.395 | 28% | 5.1 | +0.118 | — | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 200 | -0.230 | 40% | 5.7 | -0.057 | 28/33 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 201 | -0.031 | 47% | 5.7 | +0.081 | 26/33 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 32 | +0.056 | 31% | 7.2 | +0.136 | 18/29 | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 76 | -0.175 | 43% | 4.7 | +0.013 | 28/33 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 100 | +0.154 | 48% | 6.7 | +0.119 | 11/33 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 97 | -0.208 | 38% | 5.3 | +0.015 | 29/33 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 160 | -0.203 | 41% | 6.0 | +0.048 | 30/33 | 0.05 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.119 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 67 | +0.039 | 48% | 6.9 | +0.076 | 20/33 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 366 | -0.145 | 42% | 5.6 | +0.050 | 31/33 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 154 | -0.033 | 47% | 6.1 | +0.104 | 29/33 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 136 | +0.061 | 43% | 6.0 | +0.079 | 20/33 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 128 | -0.293 | 38% | 5.2 | -0.026 | 28/33 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 15 | -1.077 | 27% | 5.6 | -0.151 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 28 | +0.151 | 57% | 8.1 | +0.029 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 27 | -0.475 | 33% | 2.8 | -0.005 | — | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 73 | -0.397 | 32% | 4.9 | -0.058 | 28/32 | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 45 | -0.033 | 42% | 6.9 | +0.079 | 22/29 | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 228 | -0.136 | 43% | 5.6 | +0.037 | 30/33 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 128 | -0.167 | 40% | 6.3 | +0.070 | 29/33 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 32 | +0.104 | 53% | 3.2 | +0.061 | 15/32 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 362 | -0.178 | 41% | 5.5 | +0.035 | 32/33 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 71 | +0.195 | 49% | 7.0 | +0.146 | 13/29 | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 382 | -0.159 | 41% | 5.4 | +0.044 | 31/33 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 51 | +0.200 | 51% | 8.3 | +0.123 | 12/30 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 52 | +0.151 | 54% | 7.9 | +0.065 | 12/29 | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 55 | -0.358 | 40% | 4.6 | +0.040 | 32/33 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 255 | -0.075 | 44% | 5.7 | +0.077 | 29/33 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 71 | -0.275 | 32% | 5.3 | -0.038 | 28/32 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 392 | +0.025 | 47% | 6.8 | +0.161 | 30/33 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 31 | -1.777 | 0% | -6.6 | -1.851 | 9/22 | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 10 | -0.528 | 10% | 4.2 | +0.477 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 74 | -0.232 | 32% | 4.4 | -0.119 | 24/32 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 208 | -0.013 | 50% | 5.3 | +0.119 | 31/33 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 69 | +0.196 | 54% | 9.8 | +0.352 | 26/33 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 41 | +0.398 | 41% | 13.6 | +0.414 | 15/29 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 148 | -0.073 | 43% | 5.9 | +0.175 | 32/33 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 72 | -0.043 | 49% | 8.0 | +0.264 | 33/33 | 0.10 |
| Right | 172 | +0.138 | 49% | 7.1 | +0.094 | 12/33 | 0.08 |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 290 | +0.154 | 52% | 7.5 | +0.232 | 25/33 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 102 | -0.341 | 31% | 4.9 | -0.018 | 33/33 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 110 | +0.231 | 50% | 7.9 | +0.159 | 13/33 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 282 | -0.055 | 45% | 6.4 | +0.161 | 32/33 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 14 | +0.843 | 57% | 8.9 | +0.123 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 76 | +0.307 | 51% | 8.6 | +0.172 | 6/32 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 20 | -0.486 | 40% | 4.5 | +0.084 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 57 | -0.068 | 51% | 6.7 | +0.162 | 29/30 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 128 | -0.013 | 48% | 6.6 | +0.167 | 30/33 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 56 | -0.024 | 38% | 5.7 | +0.175 | 27/33 | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 38 | -0.194 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.132 | 22/22 | -0.20 |
| Prevent | 3 | -0.443 | 0% | 7.0 | -0.125 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 188 | +0.025 | 52% | 6.0 | +0.149 | 28/33 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 134 | +0.006 | 41% | 7.4 | +0.217 | 30/33 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 70 | +0.064 | 44% | 7.9 | +0.065 | 20/32 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 321 | -0.084 | 43% | 6.1 | +0.052 | 27/33 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 69 | -0.059 | 43% | 5.5 | +0.032 | 22/29 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 7 | +0.122 | 71% | 4.7 | +0.081 | — | -0.07 |
| 13 | 14 | +0.587 | 64% | 7.7 | +0.270 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.090 | — | — |
| 10 | 2 | -1.061 | 0% | 1.0 | +0.098 | — | — |
| Other | 20 | -1.321 | 10% | 1.3 | +0.010 | — | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HOU | 433 | -0.117 | -50.5 | 42.5% | 5.77 | -0.2 | 67.1% | 7.3 | 7.2% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.