Davis Mills
QB · HOU
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 6 | 91 | 159 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 60 | 1 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | HOU | 4 | 20 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 | HOU | 5 | 18 | 39 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | HOU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 292 | 479 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 108 | 2 | not checked |
| 2021 | HOU | 13 | 263 | 394 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 18 | 44 | 0 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Dropbacks
526
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.134
33rd of 33 · lg +0.034
Success rate
37.5%
32nd of 33 · lg 45.0%
Yards/play
5.67
27th of 33 · lg 6.19
Explosive rate
10.1%
10th of 33 · lg 8.9%
CPOE
-3.8
31st of 33 · lg -0.3
Completion %
61.1%
28th of 33 · lg 64.4%
Air yards/att
7.8
17th of 33 · lg 7.8
Sack rate
5.9%
14th of 33 · lg 6.4%
Turnover rate
3.4%
27th of 33 · lg 2.9%
TD rate
3.6%
20th of 33 · lg 3.8%
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 252 | -0.287 | 33% | 4.8 | +0.041 | 33/33 | 0.04 |
| Away | 274 | +0.008 | 42% | 6.4 | +0.022 | 17/33 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.162 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 28 | -0.260 | 39% | 5.5 | +0.036 | — | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 375 | -0.173 | 34% | 5.4 | +0.039 | 33/33 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 41 | +0.127 | 46% | 7.0 | -0.024 | 8/22 | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 42 | +0.073 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.042 | 10/24 | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 355 | -0.162 | 37% | 5.6 | +0.033 | 28/29 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 171 | -0.075 | 39% | 5.8 | +0.035 | 27/33 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 31 | +0.055 | 42% | 5.9 | +0.025 | 10/24 | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 41 | +0.127 | 46% | 7.0 | +0.050 | 10/25 | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.016 | — | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.057 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.034 | — | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 31 | +0.055 | 42% | 5.9 | +0.029 | 12/21 | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 41 | +0.127 | 46% | 7.0 | +0.060 | 6/13 | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 171 | -0.075 | 39% | 5.8 | +0.042 | 26/33 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | -0.045 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 171 | -0.108 | 39% | 6.3 | +0.006 | 27/30 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 164 | -0.045 | 37% | 5.1 | +0.052 | 31/33 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 126 | -0.267 | 37% | 5.3 | +0.003 | 28/32 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 45 | +0.051 | 36% | 7.0 | +0.065 | 17/31 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 20 | -0.652 | 40% | 4.1 | +0.061 | — | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 191 | -0.103 | 38% | 6.2 | -0.014 | 27/30 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 316 | -0.114 | 37% | 5.4 | +0.049 | 31/33 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 19 | -0.774 | 37% | 4.2 | +0.048 | — | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 107 | -0.238 | 33% | 5.4 | +0.045 | 30/33 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 108 | -0.200 | 39% | 4.2 | +0.080 | 32/33 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 119 | +0.117 | 44% | 7.5 | +0.036 | 13/33 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 184 | -0.166 | 35% | 5.7 | -0.018 | 31/33 | 0.05 |
| OT | 8 | -0.841 | 38% | 2.1 | -0.109 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 75 | -0.070 | 39% | 5.9 | +0.063 | 26/33 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 451 | -0.144 | 37% | 5.6 | +0.029 | 33/33 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 186 | +0.077 | 46% | 6.9 | +0.083 | 19/33 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 168 | -0.141 | 36% | 5.3 | +0.092 | 32/33 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 156 | -0.436 | 28% | 4.3 | -0.081 | 32/33 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 16 | +0.441 | 50% | 8.7 | -0.214 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 20 | -0.090 | 50% | 7.4 | -0.020 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 39 | -0.508 | 36% | 3.5 | +0.014 | 24/24 | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 97 | -0.479 | 20% | 4.0 | -0.151 | 31/33 | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 51 | -0.298 | 35% | 4.8 | +0.024 | 29/31 | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 279 | -0.117 | 39% | 6.5 | +0.031 | 30/33 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 130 | -0.132 | 37% | 5.8 | +0.050 | 30/33 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 66 | -0.079 | 32% | 2.5 | +0.020 | 26/32 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 403 | -0.211 | 36% | 5.1 | +0.014 | 33/33 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 123 | +0.119 | 41% | 7.6 | +0.137 | 21/30 | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 464 | -0.076 | 39% | 5.9 | +0.031 | 28/33 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 62 | -0.565 | 29% | 3.8 | +0.056 | 26/26 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 45 | +0.078 | 47% | 7.1 | +0.007 | 13/29 | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 80 | -0.226 | 41% | 4.3 | +0.089 | 31/33 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 329 | -0.085 | 40% | 6.1 | +0.050 | 30/33 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 72 | -0.385 | 14% | 4.4 | -0.069 | 30/33 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 478 | -0.025 | 40% | 6.5 | +0.140 | 33/33 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 31 | -2.006 | 0% | -7.9 | -1.755 | 14/15 | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 17 | +0.232 | 41% | 6.2 | +0.501 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 90 | -0.179 | 31% | 4.8 | -0.175 | 20/33 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 226 | -0.066 | 43% | 4.9 | +0.102 | 32/33 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 108 | -0.068 | 39% | 7.5 | +0.394 | 33/33 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 54 | +0.485 | 43% | 14.3 | +0.311 | 12/30 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 196 | -0.124 | 37% | 5.3 | +0.125 | 32/33 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 90 | +0.059 | 46% | 9.1 | +0.240 | 29/33 | 0.10 |
| Right | 192 | +0.036 | 40% | 6.6 | +0.101 | 25/33 | 0.08 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 118 | +0.075 | 42% | 7.0 | +0.116 | 19/33 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 408 | -0.194 | 36% | 5.3 | +0.013 | 33/33 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 458 | -0.132 | 39% | 5.8 | +0.042 | 32/33 | 0.06 |
| Out of pocket | 68 | -0.145 | 29% | 4.5 | -0.005 | 22/30 | 0.06 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 121 | -0.092 | 37% | 5.4 | -0.007 | 24/33 | -0.15 |
| No blitz | 405 | -0.146 | 38% | 5.8 | +0.048 | 33/33 | -0.15 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 20 | -0.204 | 30% | 4.1 | +0.070 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 402 | -0.120 | 38% | 5.9 | +0.035 | 33/33 | -0.27 |
| 5 rushers | 78 | -0.166 | 33% | 4.5 | +0.022 | 25/33 | -0.05 |
| 6+ rushers | 22 | -0.144 | 41% | 6.5 | -0.016 | — | 0.15 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 406 | -0.211 | 36% | 5.3 | +0.032 | 33/33 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 98 | +0.087 | 41% | 6.4 | +0.041 | 16/33 | 0.11 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 20 | +0.152 | 45% | 6.8 | +0.046 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 58 | -0.042 | 40% | 6.3 | -0.045 | 14/24 | -0.11 |
| Not a screen | 468 | -0.145 | 37% | 5.6 | +0.042 | 33/33 | -0.11 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 157 | -0.109 | 39% | 5.5 | +0.029 | 27/33 | 0.02 |
| No motion | 369 | -0.144 | 37% | 5.7 | +0.037 | 33/33 | 0.02 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 7 | -0.463 | 29% | 3.4 | +0.167 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 519 | -0.129 | 38% | 5.7 | +0.029 | 32/33 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 299 | +0.009 | 44% | 6.9 | +0.214 | 33/33 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 179 | -0.083 | 32% | 5.9 | -0.040 | 24/33 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 145 | -0.016 | 39% | 7.1 | +0.136 | 27/33 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 330 | -0.033 | 40% | 6.3 | +0.141 | 33/33 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 6 | +1.397 | 83% | 11.8 | -0.018 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 128 | -0.027 | 38% | 7.1 | +0.164 | 28/33 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 11 | -0.654 | 27% | 4.5 | +0.140 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 62 | +0.227 | 44% | 7.9 | +0.098 | 10/30 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 150 | +0.030 | 41% | 6.6 | +0.171 | 28/33 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 93 | -0.295 | 35% | 4.7 | +0.108 | 32/32 | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 24 | -0.070 | 42% | 6.2 | +0.170 | — | -0.20 |
| Prevent | 1 | -0.472 | 0% | 0.0 | -0.038 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 188 | -0.022 | 45% | 6.4 | +0.140 | 31/33 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 222 | -0.067 | 37% | 6.4 | +0.177 | 33/33 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 68 | +0.101 | 35% | 7.4 | +0.057 | 17/32 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 321 | -0.184 | 36% | 5.2 | +0.018 | 33/33 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 103 | -0.026 | 40% | 7.1 | +0.096 | 22/28 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 37 | +0.085 | 46% | 7.1 | +0.070 | 7/12 | -0.07 |
| 13 | 37 | -0.069 | 32% | 5.2 | +0.092 | 3/3 | — |
| 22 | 11 | -0.901 | 36% | 2.7 | -0.005 | — | — |
| 10 | 7 | +0.161 | 57% | 5.4 | +0.011 | — | — |
| Other | 10 | -0.050 | 30% | 4.4 | +0.000 | — | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | HOU | 526 | -0.134 | -70.3 | 37.5% | 5.67 | -3.8 | 61.1% | 7.8 | 5.9% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.