Bailey Zappe

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG CmpAttPass ydsTDIntSacked RushRush ydsTD TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2024 CLE1 1631170121 220 0000 not checked
2023 NE10 1272121,2726925 17831 0000 not checked
2022 NE4 6592781536 1000 11-60 not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play.

Advanced

Role PassingRushingReceiving Seasons to Weeks to
Dropbacks
33
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.519
not ranked · lg +0.066
Success rate
30.3%
not ranked · lg 45.8%
Yards/play
5.09
not ranked · lg 6.30
Explosive rate
9.1%
not ranked · lg 9.4%
CPOE
-13.6
not ranked · lg +0.9
Completion %
51.6%
not ranked · lg 65.6%
Air yards/att
7.1
not ranked · lg 7.7
Sack rate
3.0%
not ranked · lg 6.5%
Turnover rate
6.1%
not ranked · lg 2.6%
TD rate
3.0%
not ranked · lg 4.2%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Every split

EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.

SituationDropbacksEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 0——— +0.069 — 0.04
Away 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.063 40/40 0.01
Neutral site 0——— +0.075 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 0——— +0.101 — 0.09
Normal (6–8 days) 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.067 40/40 0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days) 0——— +0.072 — -0.00
Off a bye (13+ days) 0——— +0.066 — -0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 0——— +0.043 — 0.01
Outdoors 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.078 40/40 0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.086 21/21 0.00
40–59°F 0——— +0.071 — 0.00
60–79°F 0——— +0.060 — -0.13
80°F+ 0——— +0.111 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 0——— +0.081 — -0.06
10–14 mph 0——— +0.089 — -0.12
15+ mph 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 -0.024 17/18 -0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.080 40/40 0.01
Rain or snow 0——— +0.025 — 0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 30 -0.275 30% 4.9 +0.002 37/39 0.06
Trailing 1–8 1 -3.364 0% 0.0 +0.058 — 0.05
Tied 2 -2.763 50% 10.5 +0.066 — 0.09
Leading 1–8 0——— +0.110 — -0.21
Leading 9+ 0——— +0.153 — 0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 30 -0.275 30% 4.9 +0.017 35/38 0.05
Win prob 20–80% 3 -2.963 33% 7.0 +0.059 — 0.08
Win prob over 80% 0——— +0.172 — 0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 3 -2.963 33% 7.0 +0.038 — -0.05
Q2 9 -0.325 11% 4.1 +0.101 — -0.06
Q3 8 -0.424 38% 2.4 +0.058 — -0.06
Q4 13 -0.149 38% 7.0 +0.049 — 0.05
OT 0——— +0.462 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 0——— +0.062 — 0.03
Rest of game 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.067 40/40 0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 13 +0.289 46% 8.5 +0.100 — 0.19
2nd down 10 -1.632 10% 1.1 +0.105 — 0.04
3rd down 8 +0.164 38% 5.9 -0.040 — 0.11
4th down 2 -2.949 0% 0.0 +0.174 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 1 -1.704 0% 0.0 -0.121 — -0.29
3rd & 4–6 2 +1.509 100% 9.0 +0.074 — -0.12
3rd & 7+ 5 -0.000 20% 5.8 -0.073 — -0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 2 -0.643 0% 4.0 +0.098 — -0.02
Own 50–21 17 -0.584 41% 6.5 +0.050 — 0.11
Opp 21–49 8 -0.220 25% 3.9 +0.083 — 0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in) 6 -0.696 17% 3.0 +0.060 — 0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 28 -0.412 36% 6.0 +0.048 — -0.00
Under center 5 -1.120 0% 0.2 +0.165 — -0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 31 -0.397 32% 5.3 +0.061 40/40 -0.09
No huddle 2 -2.417 0% 2.0 +0.096 — -0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 2 -2.534 0% 0.0 +0.036 — -0.07
4–6 to go 5 -1.029 40% 3.6 +0.102 — -0.02
7–10 to go 24 -0.235 33% 5.9 +0.077 — -0.01
11+ to go 2 -0.643 0% 4.0 +0.005 — 0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass 31 -0.492 32% 5.5 +0.174 40/40 0.66
Sack 1 -1.608 0% -5.0 -1.771 — 0.21
Scramble 1 -0.290 0% 3.0 +0.539 — 0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 6 +0.081 50% 8.0 -0.123 — 0.19
Short (0–9) 15 -0.930 27% 4.1 +0.148 — 0.01
Intermediate (10–19) 8 -0.041 38% 7.5 +0.404 — 0.16
Deep (20+) 2 -0.725 0% 0.0 +0.339 — 0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 13 +0.090 31% 5.0 +0.167 — 0.11
Middle 7 -1.459 29% 4.1 +0.317 — 0.10
Right 11 -0.563 36% 6.9 +0.102 — 0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 7 +0.032 43% 5.7 +0.162 — -0.03
No play action 26 -0.668 27% 4.9 +0.038 — -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 29 -0.558 31% 5.0 +0.070 — 0.06
Out of pocket 4 -0.241 25% 5.5 +0.047 — 0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 14 -1.063 29% 4.4 +0.019 — -0.15
No blitz 19 -0.119 32% 5.6 +0.085 — -0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 0——— +0.120 — —
4 rushers 27 -0.548 30% 5.4 +0.065 — -0.27
5 rushers 4 +0.264 50% 4.5 +0.052 — -0.05
6+ rushers 2 -1.705 0% 2.5 +0.056 — 0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 26 -0.408 35% 5.9 +0.051 — 0.13
7 in the box 6 -0.526 17% 2.3 +0.119 — 0.11
Stacked box (8+) 1 -3.364 0% 0.0 +0.127 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 2 -0.756 0% 1.0 +0.020 — -0.11
Not a screen 31 -0.504 32% 5.4 +0.070 40/40 -0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 18 -0.055 39% 5.8 +0.073 — 0.02
No motion 15 -1.076 20% 4.3 +0.059 — 0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 0——— +0.014 — —
Not an RPO 33 -0.519 30% 5.1 +0.067 40/40 —
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket 26 -0.631 27% 5.0 +0.262 — 0.04
Pressured 7 -0.105 43% 5.4 -0.373 — 0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man 16 -0.570 31% 3.6 +0.063 — 0.01
Zone 17 -0.472 29% 6.5 +0.071 — 0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0 0——— +0.102 — —
Cover 1 14 -0.074 36% 3.9 +0.060 — -0.05
2-Man 2 -4.043 0% 1.0 +0.055 — —
Cover 2 7 -0.424 14% 3.0 +0.028 — -0.18
Cover 3 5 -0.013 40% 6.4 +0.107 — -0.07
Cover 4 3 -1.016 33% 11.7 +0.143 — -0.01
Cover 6 0——— +0.113 — -0.20
Cover 9 0——— +0.058 — —
Combo 2 -0.969 50% 11.5 -0.054 — —
Blown coverage 0——— -0.208 — —
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s) 13 -0.350 46% 7.5 +0.166 — 0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s) 13 -0.570 15% 3.1 +0.235 — 0.07
Long (3.5s+) 5 -0.657 40% 6.6 +0.061 — 0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11 25 -0.654 32% 5.4 +0.053 — 0.07
12 7 +0.031 29% 4.6 +0.122 — 0.04
21 0——— +0.151 — -0.07
13 0——— +0.168 — —
22 0——— +0.270 — —
10 0——— -0.171 — —
Other 1 -0.999 0% 0.0 -0.063 — -0.08

By season

SeasonTeamDropbacksEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play CPOEComp %aDOTSack rate
2024CLE 33-0.519 -17.130.3%5.09 -13.651.6%7.13.0%

Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.