Bailey Zappe

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG CmpAttPass ydsTDIntSacked RushRush ydsTD TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2024 CLE1 1631170121 220 0000 not checked
2023 NE10 1272121,2726925 17831 0000 not checked
2022 NE4 6592781536 1000 11-60 not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play.

Advanced

Role PassingRushingReceiving Seasons to Weeks to
Dropbacks
99
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
+0.077
not ranked · lg +0.034
Success rate
47.5%
not ranked · lg 45.0%
Yards/play
7.54
not ranked · lg 6.19
Explosive rate
14.1%
not ranked · lg 8.9%
CPOE
+5.8
not ranked · lg -0.3
Completion %
70.7%
not ranked · lg 64.4%
Air yards/att
6.8
not ranked · lg 7.8
Sack rate
6.1%
not ranked · lg 6.4%
Turnover rate
5.1%
not ranked · lg 2.9%
TD rate
5.1%
not ranked · lg 3.8%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Every split

EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.

SituationDropbacksEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 45 +0.088 51% 8.2 +0.041 15/34 0.04
Away 54 +0.068 44% 7.0 +0.022 12/34 0.01
Neutral site 0——— +0.162 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 0——— +0.036 — 0.09
Normal (6–8 days) 99 +0.077 47% 7.5 +0.039 16/34 0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days) 0——— -0.024 — -0.00
Off a bye (13+ days) 0——— +0.042 — -0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 0——— +0.033 — 0.01
Outdoors 99 +0.077 47% 7.5 +0.035 13/34 0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F 0——— +0.025 — 0.00
40–59°F 0——— +0.050 — 0.00
60–79°F 0——— +0.016 — -0.13
80°F+ 0——— +0.057 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 0——— +0.034 — -0.06
10–14 mph 0——— +0.029 — -0.12
15+ mph 0——— +0.060 — -0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 99 +0.077 47% 7.5 +0.042 15/34 0.01
Rain or snow 0——— -0.045 — 0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 20 -0.297 45% 6.1 +0.006 — 0.06
Trailing 1–8 16 +0.075 50% 7.0 +0.052 — 0.05
Tied 25 -0.007 44% 7.3 +0.003 — 0.09
Leading 1–8 10 +0.565 60% 11.2 +0.065 — -0.21
Leading 9+ 28 +0.245 46% 7.8 +0.061 — 0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 15 -0.525 47% 5.1 -0.014 — 0.05
Win prob 20–80% 56 +0.153 48% 8.1 +0.049 8/34 0.08
Win prob over 80% 28 +0.245 46% 7.8 +0.048 — 0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 14 +0.132 57% 8.9 +0.045 — -0.05
Q2 32 +0.067 47% 7.9 +0.080 20/34 -0.06
Q3 27 +0.412 52% 8.3 +0.036 — -0.06
Q4 25 -0.244 40% 5.8 -0.018 — 0.05
OT 1 -1.426 0% 0.0 -0.109 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 7 -0.142 71% 7.0 +0.063 — 0.03
Rest of game 92 +0.093 46% 7.6 +0.029 12/34 0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 34 +0.413 53% 9.5 +0.083 1/34 0.19
2nd down 38 -0.030 50% 7.3 +0.092 26/34 0.04
3rd down 26 -0.013 38% 5.7 -0.081 — 0.11
4th down 1 -4.962 0% 0.0 -0.214 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 9 +0.167 56% 6.8 -0.020 — -0.29
3rd & 4–6 5 +0.337 60% 6.0 +0.014 — -0.12
3rd & 7+ 12 -0.294 17% 4.7 -0.151 — -0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 12 +0.305 58% 7.8 +0.024 — -0.02
Own 50–21 54 -0.134 41% 6.8 +0.031 31/34 0.11
Opp 21–49 22 +0.778 68% 11.9 +0.050 — 0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in) 11 -0.542 27% 2.1 +0.020 — 0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 81 -0.089 44% 6.0 +0.014 31/34 -0.00
Under center 18 +0.821 61% 14.5 +0.137 — -0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 93 +0.095 48% 7.7 +0.031 10/34 -0.09
No huddle 6 -0.200 33% 4.8 +0.056 — -0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 12 -0.464 42% 4.9 +0.007 — -0.07
4–6 to go 12 +0.287 58% 6.2 +0.089 — -0.02
7–10 to go 57 +0.361 51% 9.1 +0.050 1/34 -0.01
11+ to go 18 -0.604 33% 5.3 -0.069 — 0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass 92 +0.236 50% 8.5 +0.140 9/34 0.66
Sack 6 -2.331 17% -6.7 -1.755 — 0.21
Scramble 1 -0.097 0% 5.0 +0.501 — 0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 19 -0.397 32% 3.3 -0.175 — 0.19
Short (0–9) 47 -0.006 47% 5.9 +0.102 30/34 0.01
Intermediate (10–19) 17 +1.001 71% 16.1 +0.394 — 0.16
Deep (20+) 9 +1.389 67% 18.7 +0.311 — 0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 35 +0.471 57% 10.7 +0.125 1/34 0.11
Middle 7 -1.384 14% 0.6 +0.240 — 0.10
Right 50 +0.297 50% 8.0 +0.101 3/34 0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 28 +0.525 57% 13.7 +0.116 — -0.03
No play action 71 -0.100 44% 5.1 +0.013 30/34 -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 87 +0.155 51% 8.2 +0.042 8/34 0.06
Out of pocket 12 -0.491 25% 3.0 -0.005 — 0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 36 +0.352 50% 9.9 -0.007 1/34 -0.15
No blitz 63 -0.081 46% 6.2 +0.048 31/34 -0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 3 -0.841 0% -0.3 +0.070 — —
4 rushers 68 +0.103 51% 7.5 +0.035 13/34 -0.27
5 rushers 21 -0.081 43% 5.7 +0.022 — -0.05
6+ rushers 7 +0.690 43% 16.6 -0.016 — 0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 75 +0.091 49% 7.2 +0.032 12/34 0.13
7 in the box 19 -0.056 42% 7.8 +0.041 — 0.11
Stacked box (8+) 5 +0.366 40% 11.2 +0.046 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 11 -0.115 45% 5.0 -0.045 — -0.11
Not a screen 88 +0.101 48% 7.9 +0.042 13/34 -0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 38 +0.314 53% 8.8 +0.029 2/34 0.02
No motion 61 -0.071 44% 6.8 +0.037 30/34 0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 2 -0.237 0% 4.5 +0.167 — —
Not an RPO 97 +0.083 48% 7.6 +0.029 13/34 —
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket 79 +0.288 51% 8.8 +0.214 9/34 0.04
Pressured 13 -0.084 46% 6.5 -0.040 — 0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man 38 +0.210 45% 8.6 +0.136 11/34 0.01
Zone 54 +0.253 54% 8.4 +0.141 8/34 0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0 3 -0.514 33% 0.7 -0.018 — —
Cover 1 34 +0.303 47% 9.5 +0.164 10/34 -0.05
2-Man 1 -0.784 0% 2.0 +0.140 — —
Cover 2 11 +0.473 55% 8.8 +0.098 — -0.18
Cover 3 27 +0.598 63% 10.4 +0.171 — -0.07
Cover 4 10 -0.764 30% 2.8 +0.108 — -0.01
Cover 6 6 -0.005 50% 7.8 +0.170 — -0.20
Prevent 0——— -0.038 — —
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s) 36 +0.271 56% 8.1 +0.140 5/34 0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s) 37 +0.182 43% 8.8 +0.177 17/34 0.07
Long (3.5s+) 19 +0.272 53% 8.6 +0.057 — 0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11 86 -0.059 44% 6.2 +0.018 25/34 0.07
12 8 +1.241 75% 18.6 +0.096 — 0.04
21 0——— +0.070 — -0.07
13 0——— +0.092 — —
22 0——— -0.005 — —
10 0——— +0.011 — —
Other 5 +0.549 60% 12.0 +0.000 — -0.08

By season

SeasonTeamDropbacksEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play CPOEComp %aDOTSack rate
2022NE 99+0.077 +7.647.5%7.54 +5.870.7%6.86.1%

Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.