Bailey Zappe

Box score by season

SeasonTeamG CmpAttPass ydsTDIntSacked RushRush ydsTD TgtRecRec ydsTD vs ESPN
2024 CLE1 1631170121 220 0000 not checked
2023 NE10 1272121,2726925 17831 0000 not checked
2022 NE4 6592781536 1000 11-60 not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play.

Advanced

Role PassingRushingReceiving Seasons to Weeks to
Dropbacks
246
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.309
34th of 34 · lg +0.016
Success rate
33.7%
34th of 34 · lg 44.4%
Yards/play
4.70
33rd of 34 · lg 6.11
Explosive rate
8.1%
26th of 34 · lg 9.2%
CPOE
-4.4
34th of 34 · lg +0.2
Completion %
60.2%
32nd of 34 · lg 64.7%
Air yards/att
8.0
12th of 34 · lg 7.8
Sack rate
10.2%
32nd of 34 · lg 6.8%
Turnover rate
4.5%
34th of 34 · lg 2.9%
TD rate
2.8%
27th of 34 · lg 3.8%

Every split

EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.

SituationDropbacksEPA/playSuccessYds/playLeague EPARankRepeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home 116 -0.536 28% 2.9 +0.022 34/34 0.04
Away 123 -0.106 40% 6.4 +0.009 28/34 0.01
Neutral site 7 -0.118 29% 3.6 +0.033 — —
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days) 32 +0.086 44% 7.3 +0.004 12/22 0.09
Normal (6–8 days) 164 -0.363 32% 4.4 +0.024 34/34 0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days) 35 -0.369 34% 4.4 +0.025 19/20 -0.00
Off a bye (13+ days) 15 -0.428 33% 3.1 -0.015 — -0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors 10 -0.300 30% 5.0 +0.025 — 0.01
Outdoors 236 -0.310 34% 4.7 +0.012 34/34 0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F 105 -0.341 31% 4.8 -0.049 12/12 0.00
40–59°F 115 -0.251 37% 4.9 -0.021 30/30 0.00
60–79°F 9 -0.841 22% 2.4 +0.054 — -0.13
80°F+ 0——— +0.068 — 0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph 181 -0.195 39% 5.6 +0.022 32/34 -0.06
10–14 mph 48 -0.770 17% 1.4 -0.014 26/26 -0.12
15+ mph 0——— -0.066 — -0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry 164 -0.191 38% 5.7 +0.023 30/34 0.01
Rain or snow 72 -0.579 25% 2.3 -0.083 16/17 0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+ 51 -0.261 35% 5.2 -0.058 31/33 0.06
Trailing 1–8 112 -0.259 35% 4.3 -0.000 32/34 0.05
Tied 42 -0.423 31% 4.3 +0.048 34/34 0.09
Leading 1–8 24 -0.393 29% 5.2 +0.066 — -0.21
Leading 9+ 17 -0.385 35% 5.9 +0.073 — 0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20% 61 -0.354 33% 4.5 -0.058 33/33 0.05
Win prob 20–80% 168 -0.275 35% 4.7 +0.036 34/34 0.08
Win prob over 80% 17 -0.487 29% 4.9 +0.046 — 0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1 55 -0.513 31% 3.7 +0.028 34/34 -0.05
Q2 55 +0.243 42% 7.4 +0.058 7/34 -0.06
Q3 57 -0.254 42% 5.1 +0.013 33/34 -0.06
Q4 79 -0.592 24% 3.2 -0.037 34/34 0.05
OT 0——— +0.072 — —
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half 32 -0.199 31% 3.3 -0.007 28/33 0.03
Rest of game 214 -0.326 34% 4.9 +0.020 34/34 0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down 83 -0.390 36% 5.1 +0.056 34/34 0.19
2nd down 81 +0.103 43% 5.6 +0.050 16/34 0.04
3rd down 72 -0.607 21% 3.6 -0.052 34/34 0.11
4th down 10 -0.833 30% 2.1 -0.251 — —
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3 8 -0.436 38% 7.2 +0.009 — -0.29
3rd & 4–6 19 -0.309 32% 4.5 +0.024 — -0.12
3rd & 7+ 45 -0.763 13% 2.6 -0.111 34/34 -0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in 35 -0.602 31% 5.1 +0.028 28/28 -0.02
Own 50–21 145 -0.461 29% 4.4 +0.017 34/34 0.11
Opp 21–49 54 -0.028 44% 4.6 +0.028 24/34 0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in) 12 +1.116 50% 7.6 -0.027 — 0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun 194 -0.331 31% 4.2 +0.005 34/34 -0.00
Under center 52 -0.227 42% 6.6 +0.087 27/31 -0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle 235 -0.296 35% 5.0 +0.017 34/34 -0.09
No huddle 11 -0.599 9% -0.6 +0.007 — -0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go 16 -0.102 38% 5.4 +0.049 — -0.07
4–6 to go 40 -0.446 35% 3.8 +0.049 34/34 -0.02
7–10 to go 155 -0.285 34% 4.9 +0.031 34/34 -0.01
11+ to go 35 -0.355 29% 4.5 -0.108 29/34 0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass 211 -0.163 36% 6.0 +0.133 34/34 0.66
Sack 25 -1.908 0% -7.6 -1.804 — 0.21
Scramble 10 +0.597 60% 7.6 +0.435 — 0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line 42 -0.067 33% 5.7 -0.199 7/34 0.19
Short (0–9) 99 -0.382 35% 4.5 +0.099 34/34 0.01
Intermediate (10–19) 40 -0.155 42% 7.0 +0.390 34/34 0.16
Deep (20+) 30 +0.415 37% 10.3 +0.356 13/31 0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left 88 -0.321 34% 6.2 +0.102 34/34 0.11
Middle 39 +0.196 46% 6.6 +0.265 20/34 0.10
Right 84 -0.164 35% 5.6 +0.099 32/34 0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action 38 -0.189 53% 8.3 +0.112 31/34 -0.03
No play action 208 -0.331 30% 4.0 -0.009 34/34 -0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket 208 -0.301 35% 4.8 +0.020 34/34 0.06
Out of pocket 38 -0.356 29% 4.1 -0.003 29/32 0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed 74 -0.462 34% 3.5 -0.004 34/34 -0.15
No blitz 172 -0.244 34% 5.2 +0.023 33/34 -0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers 6 -0.728 17% 1.2 -0.000 — —
4 rushers 178 -0.243 34% 5.3 +0.024 33/34 -0.27
5 rushers 45 -0.752 31% 2.4 +0.036 34/34 -0.05
6+ rushers 14 +0.347 43% 5.6 -0.120 — 0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer) 203 -0.232 33% 4.7 -0.000 33/34 0.13
7 in the box 39 -0.777 33% 4.6 +0.074 34/34 0.11
Stacked box (8+) 4 +0.318 75% 4.0 +0.060 — —
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen 28 -0.181 32% 6.7 -0.086 — -0.11
Not a screen 218 -0.326 34% 4.4 +0.027 34/34 -0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion 119 -0.431 38% 4.5 +0.039 34/34 0.02
No motion 127 -0.195 30% 4.9 -0.001 33/34 0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO 4 -0.193 25% 4.5 +0.050 — —
Not an RPO 242 -0.311 34% 4.7 +0.015 34/34 —
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket 172 -0.111 37% 5.7 +0.225 34/34 0.04
Pressured 74 -0.770 26% 2.4 -0.483 32/34 0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man 138 -0.375 34% 5.0 +0.006 34/34 0.01
Zone 104 -0.234 34% 4.3 +0.028 33/34 0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0 8 -0.417 38% 1.9 +0.021 — —
Cover 1 114 -0.493 30% 5.1 +0.008 34/34 -0.05
2-Man 16 +0.491 62% 6.1 -0.010 — —
Cover 2 25 -0.172 24% 5.0 +0.055 — -0.18
Cover 3 32 -0.275 44% 4.3 +0.064 31/34 -0.07
Cover 4 29 -0.201 38% 3.9 -0.023 — -0.01
Cover 6 12 -0.313 25% 3.8 +0.012 — -0.20
Cover 9 0——— -0.111 — —
Combo 6 -0.275 17% 4.3 +0.006 — —
Blown coverage 0——— +0.201 — —
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s) 105 -0.164 39% 6.0 +0.111 34/34 0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s) 62 -0.066 35% 6.7 +0.207 31/34 0.07
Long (3.5s+) 42 -0.355 31% 4.7 +0.045 30/31 0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11 164 -0.265 32% 4.8 -0.002 33/34 0.07
12 67 -0.587 34% 4.0 +0.101 32/32 0.04
21 2 +1.246 100% 8.5 -0.021 — -0.07
13 6 +0.487 50% 4.3 +0.035 — —
22 0——— -0.328 — —
10 0——— +0.149 — —
Other 7 +0.188 29% 8.9 -0.031 — -0.08

By season

SeasonTeamDropbacksEPA/playTotal EPASuccessYds/play CPOEComp %aDOTSack rate
2023NE 246-0.309 -76.133.7%4.70 -4.460.2%8.010.2%

Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.