Aidan O'Connell
QB · LV
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LV | 1 | 10 | 22 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | LV | 9 | 154 | 243 | 1,612 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 1 | not checked |
| 2023 | LV | 11 | 213 | 343 | 2,218 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 17 | 11 | 1 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Dropbacks
366
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.045
26th of 34 · lg +0.016
Success rate
41.8%
25th of 34 · lg 44.4%
Yards/play
5.59
25th of 34 · lg 6.11
Explosive rate
6.6%
31st of 34 · lg 9.2%
CPOE
-3.9
34th of 34 · lg +0.2
Completion %
62.3%
27th of 34 · lg 64.7%
Air yards/att
7.5
22nd of 34 · lg 7.8
Sack rate
6.6%
22nd of 34 · lg 6.8%
Turnover rate
3.0%
22nd of 34 · lg 2.9%
TD rate
3.3%
26th of 34 · lg 3.8%
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 192 | +0.027 | 42% | 6.2 | +0.022 | 21/34 | 0.04 |
| Away | 174 | -0.126 | 41% | 4.9 | +0.009 | 30/34 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.033 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 35 | +0.304 | 49% | 6.9 | +0.004 | 5/22 | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 272 | +0.018 | 45% | 5.9 | +0.024 | 20/34 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 23 | -0.564 | 26% | 2.1 | +0.025 | — | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 36 | -0.533 | 19% | 4.1 | -0.015 | 24/24 | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 287 | +0.007 | 43% | 5.8 | +0.025 | 18/30 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 79 | -0.235 | 37% | 4.8 | +0.012 | 32/34 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 23 | -0.564 | 26% | 2.1 | -0.049 | — | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 13 | +0.307 | 46% | 5.8 | -0.021 | — | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.054 | — | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 43 | -0.223 | 40% | 6.0 | +0.068 | 10/13 | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 56 | -0.100 | 41% | 6.0 | +0.022 | 28/34 | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 23 | -0.564 | 26% | 2.1 | -0.014 | — | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 0 | — | — | — | -0.066 | — | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 79 | -0.235 | 37% | 4.8 | +0.023 | 33/34 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | -0.083 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 86 | +0.088 | 47% | 5.1 | -0.058 | 9/33 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 98 | -0.319 | 38% | 5.7 | -0.000 | 34/34 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 84 | -0.096 | 36% | 5.0 | +0.048 | 26/34 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 39 | +0.200 | 46% | 6.4 | +0.066 | 8/32 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 59 | +0.126 | 47% | 6.5 | +0.073 | 7/19 | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 106 | +0.084 | 45% | 5.8 | -0.058 | 9/33 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 189 | -0.217 | 37% | 5.1 | +0.036 | 31/34 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 71 | +0.216 | 49% | 6.7 | +0.046 | 4/26 | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 96 | +0.122 | 46% | 7.1 | +0.028 | 14/34 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 83 | -0.096 | 42% | 5.0 | +0.058 | 27/34 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 72 | -0.068 | 43% | 4.8 | +0.013 | 24/34 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 115 | -0.134 | 37% | 5.3 | -0.037 | 26/34 | 0.05 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.072 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 53 | +0.133 | 45% | 5.6 | -0.007 | 10/33 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 313 | -0.076 | 41% | 5.6 | +0.020 | 26/34 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 132 | -0.031 | 42% | 6.1 | +0.056 | 28/34 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 119 | +0.056 | 48% | 5.7 | +0.050 | 23/34 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 107 | -0.239 | 34% | 4.7 | -0.052 | 28/34 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 8 | +0.781 | 62% | 7.6 | -0.251 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 18 | -0.159 | 44% | 4.7 | +0.009 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 39 | -0.446 | 33% | 3.2 | +0.024 | 24/25 | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 50 | -0.106 | 30% | 5.8 | -0.111 | 17/34 | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 31 | -0.276 | 29% | 4.8 | +0.028 | 24/28 | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 184 | -0.142 | 40% | 5.8 | +0.017 | 29/34 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 100 | +0.076 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.028 | 16/34 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 51 | +0.204 | 49% | 4.2 | -0.027 | 3/32 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 289 | -0.080 | 41% | 5.3 | +0.005 | 26/34 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 77 | +0.083 | 45% | 6.7 | +0.087 | 19/31 | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 327 | -0.076 | 41% | 5.6 | +0.017 | 26/34 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 39 | +0.208 | 46% | 5.1 | +0.007 | 5/26 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 32 | -0.153 | 47% | 3.8 | +0.049 | 23/29 | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 65 | -0.284 | 42% | 4.2 | +0.049 | 28/34 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 219 | +0.095 | 43% | 6.3 | +0.031 | 14/34 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 50 | -0.282 | 34% | 5.3 | -0.108 | 25/34 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 342 | +0.087 | 45% | 6.5 | +0.133 | 25/34 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 24 | -1.939 | 0% | -7.2 | -1.804 | — | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 0 | — | — | — | +0.435 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 60 | -0.342 | 30% | 3.8 | -0.199 | 30/34 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 184 | +0.164 | 51% | 6.0 | +0.099 | 12/34 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 63 | +0.272 | 49% | 8.4 | +0.390 | 26/34 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 35 | +0.089 | 31% | 9.9 | +0.356 | 25/31 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 125 | +0.050 | 41% | 6.2 | +0.102 | 26/34 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 65 | +0.106 | 49% | 6.6 | +0.265 | 25/34 | 0.10 |
| Right | 152 | +0.111 | 46% | 6.7 | +0.099 | 18/34 | 0.08 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 75 | +0.191 | 48% | 7.3 | +0.112 | 14/34 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 291 | -0.106 | 40% | 5.1 | -0.009 | 27/34 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 341 | -0.007 | 43% | 5.8 | +0.020 | 22/34 | 0.06 |
| Out of pocket | 25 | -0.567 | 32% | 2.6 | -0.003 | — | 0.06 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 95 | -0.043 | 42% | 5.1 | -0.004 | 22/34 | -0.15 |
| No blitz | 271 | -0.046 | 42% | 5.8 | +0.023 | 24/34 | -0.15 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 23 | +0.025 | 43% | 6.7 | -0.000 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 243 | -0.068 | 41% | 5.5 | +0.024 | 26/34 | -0.27 |
| 5 rushers | 72 | -0.000 | 43% | 6.1 | +0.036 | 23/34 | -0.05 |
| 6+ rushers | 28 | -0.025 | 43% | 3.9 | -0.120 | — | 0.15 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 279 | -0.011 | 42% | 5.7 | -0.000 | 22/34 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 70 | -0.226 | 41% | 5.1 | +0.074 | 30/34 | 0.11 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 17 | +0.130 | 35% | 5.4 | +0.060 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 36 | -0.399 | 22% | 3.1 | -0.086 | 30/32 | -0.11 |
| Not a screen | 330 | -0.007 | 44% | 5.9 | +0.027 | 25/34 | -0.11 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 189 | -0.082 | 42% | 5.3 | +0.039 | 27/34 | 0.02 |
| No motion | 177 | -0.006 | 42% | 5.9 | -0.001 | 20/34 | 0.02 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 7 | -0.092 | 43% | 2.7 | +0.050 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 359 | -0.045 | 42% | 5.6 | +0.015 | 26/34 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 282 | +0.191 | 48% | 7.0 | +0.225 | 24/34 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 84 | -0.839 | 23% | 0.8 | -0.483 | 33/34 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 156 | -0.150 | 37% | 4.8 | +0.006 | 28/34 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 209 | +0.050 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.028 | 20/34 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 16 | +0.436 | 56% | 5.1 | +0.021 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 115 | -0.227 | 35% | 4.8 | +0.008 | 31/34 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 25 | -0.170 | 36% | 4.4 | -0.010 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 64 | +0.126 | 47% | 6.8 | +0.055 | 17/33 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 34 | +0.043 | 41% | 5.6 | +0.064 | 22/34 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 55 | -0.101 | 44% | 6.4 | -0.023 | 24/31 | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 16 | +0.157 | 50% | 7.8 | +0.012 | — | -0.20 |
| Cover 9 | 6 | -0.351 | 33% | 1.2 | -0.111 | — | — |
| Combo | 33 | +0.176 | 48% | 5.6 | +0.006 | 6/14 | — |
| Blown coverage | 1 | +0.297 | 100% | 6.0 | +0.201 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 167 | +0.022 | 43% | 5.8 | +0.111 | 28/34 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 121 | +0.385 | 56% | 8.4 | +0.207 | 3/34 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 53 | -0.357 | 26% | 4.4 | +0.045 | 31/31 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 323 | -0.066 | 41% | 5.3 | -0.002 | 24/34 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 39 | +0.157 | 46% | 7.8 | +0.101 | 14/32 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.021 | — | -0.07 |
| 13 | 2 | -0.916 | 0% | 2.0 | +0.035 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.328 | — | — |
| 10 | 2 | +0.175 | 50% | 5.5 | +0.149 | — | — |
| Other | 0 | — | — | — | -0.031 | — | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LV | 366 | -0.045 | -16.6 | 41.8% | 5.59 | -3.9 | 62.3% | 7.5 | 6.6% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.