Aidan O'Connell
QB · LV
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LV | 1 | 10 | 22 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | LV | 9 | 154 | 243 | 1,612 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 1 | not checked |
| 2023 | LV | 11 | 213 | 343 | 2,218 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 17 | 11 | 1 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Dropbacks
255
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
+0.027
23rd of 39 · lg +0.066
Success rate
45.1%
21st of 39 · lg 45.8%
Yards/play
6.10
27th of 39 · lg 6.30
Explosive rate
8.2%
27th of 39 · lg 9.4%
CPOE
-3.6
36th of 39 · lg +0.9
Completion %
63.6%
27th of 39 · lg 65.6%
Air yards/att
7.9
18th of 39 · lg 7.7
Sack rate
3.9%
5th of 39 · lg 6.5%
Turnover rate
1.6%
4th of 39 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
3.1%
32nd of 39 · lg 4.2%
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 130 | +0.012 | 47% | 5.9 | +0.069 | 24/39 | 0.04 |
| Away | 125 | +0.043 | 43% | 6.3 | +0.063 | 25/39 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.075 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 37 | +0.250 | 41% | 8.6 | +0.101 | 6/22 | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 197 | +0.024 | 46% | 5.8 | +0.067 | 24/39 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 21 | -0.336 | 43% | 4.7 | +0.072 | — | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.066 | — | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 176 | +0.057 | 48% | 6.0 | +0.043 | 19/36 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 79 | -0.040 | 39% | 6.4 | +0.078 | 32/39 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 37 | +0.250 | 41% | 8.6 | +0.086 | 8/20 | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.071 | — | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 42 | -0.295 | 38% | 4.4 | +0.060 | 35/36 | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.111 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 79 | -0.040 | 39% | 6.4 | +0.081 | 33/38 | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.089 | — | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 0 | — | — | — | -0.024 | — | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 79 | -0.040 | 39% | 6.4 | +0.080 | 32/39 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.025 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 87 | +0.103 | 47% | 6.0 | +0.002 | 17/38 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 79 | +0.130 | 48% | 7.4 | +0.058 | 13/39 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 43 | -0.093 | 44% | 5.7 | +0.066 | 30/38 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 40 | -0.305 | 35% | 4.1 | +0.110 | 34/36 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 6 | +0.653 | 50% | 7.5 | +0.153 | — | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 80 | +0.143 | 49% | 6.3 | +0.017 | 17/37 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 158 | -0.034 | 44% | 6.1 | +0.059 | 31/39 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 17 | +0.056 | 41% | 5.3 | +0.172 | — | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 54 | -0.101 | 43% | 5.3 | +0.038 | 31/39 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 51 | +0.115 | 45% | 7.9 | +0.101 | 17/39 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 55 | -0.103 | 42% | 5.3 | +0.058 | 29/39 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 95 | +0.129 | 48% | 6.1 | +0.049 | 14/39 | 0.05 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.462 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 30 | +0.210 | 53% | 6.9 | +0.062 | 7/38 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 225 | +0.003 | 44% | 6.0 | +0.067 | 26/39 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 108 | +0.162 | 51% | 6.9 | +0.100 | 12/39 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 76 | +0.018 | 47% | 5.6 | +0.105 | 27/39 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 64 | -0.200 | 33% | 5.4 | -0.040 | 30/39 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 7 | +0.130 | 43% | 5.1 | +0.174 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 12 | +0.180 | 50% | 7.4 | -0.121 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 23 | +0.135 | 48% | 6.1 | +0.074 | — | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 29 | -0.623 | 14% | 3.9 | -0.073 | — | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 27 | -0.339 | 41% | 5.3 | +0.098 | — | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 130 | +0.054 | 43% | 6.5 | +0.050 | 20/39 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 68 | +0.144 | 50% | 6.8 | +0.083 | 16/39 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 30 | -0.023 | 47% | 3.6 | +0.060 | 21/36 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 210 | -0.004 | 46% | 6.0 | +0.048 | 26/39 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 45 | +0.173 | 40% | 6.7 | +0.165 | 16/33 | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 217 | +0.033 | 44% | 6.3 | +0.061 | 19/39 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 38 | -0.004 | 50% | 5.0 | +0.096 | 25/31 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 25 | +0.102 | 48% | 4.2 | +0.036 | — | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 45 | +0.023 | 47% | 5.8 | +0.102 | 22/38 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 151 | +0.108 | 48% | 6.8 | +0.077 | 16/39 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 34 | -0.382 | 26% | 4.8 | +0.005 | 37/38 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 242 | +0.091 | 46% | 6.7 | +0.174 | 27/39 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 10 | -1.773 | 0% | -8.2 | -1.771 | — | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 3 | +0.857 | 100% | 8.7 | +0.539 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 36 | -0.106 | 39% | 4.3 | -0.123 | 16/38 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 133 | +0.002 | 50% | 5.6 | +0.148 | 32/39 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 41 | +0.275 | 49% | 8.0 | +0.404 | 28/39 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 32 | +0.450 | 38% | 11.8 | +0.339 | 17/34 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 104 | +0.126 | 47% | 6.8 | +0.167 | 23/39 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 51 | -0.017 | 51% | 7.6 | +0.317 | 38/39 | 0.10 |
| Right | 87 | +0.113 | 43% | 5.9 | +0.102 | 23/39 | 0.08 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 60 | +0.254 | 48% | 7.4 | +0.162 | 15/39 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 195 | -0.042 | 44% | 5.7 | +0.038 | 27/39 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 212 | +0.005 | 45% | 6.3 | +0.070 | 25/39 | 0.06 |
| Out of pocket | 43 | +0.137 | 44% | 5.0 | +0.047 | 14/37 | 0.06 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 65 | +0.278 | 51% | 8.3 | +0.019 | 2/39 | -0.15 |
| No blitz | 190 | -0.059 | 43% | 5.4 | +0.085 | 32/39 | -0.15 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 5 | -0.642 | 0% | 2.0 | +0.120 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 192 | -0.054 | 44% | 5.5 | +0.065 | 31/39 | -0.27 |
| 5 rushers | 46 | +0.296 | 50% | 8.5 | +0.052 | 5/39 | -0.05 |
| 6+ rushers | 12 | +0.580 | 58% | 8.9 | +0.056 | — | 0.15 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 223 | +0.012 | 44% | 6.0 | +0.051 | 24/39 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 29 | +0.149 | 52% | 7.6 | +0.119 | — | 0.11 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 3 | -0.021 | 33% | 1.0 | +0.127 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 20 | +0.225 | 55% | 7.1 | +0.020 | — | -0.11 |
| Not a screen | 235 | +0.010 | 44% | 6.0 | +0.070 | 28/39 | -0.11 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 131 | +0.061 | 41% | 6.4 | +0.073 | 18/39 | 0.02 |
| No motion | 124 | -0.008 | 49% | 5.8 | +0.059 | 30/39 | 0.02 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 4 | -0.305 | 25% | 2.0 | +0.014 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 251 | +0.033 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.067 | 20/39 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 183 | +0.135 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.262 | 31/39 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 72 | -0.245 | 33% | 3.9 | -0.373 | 11/39 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 122 | +0.107 | 46% | 6.9 | +0.063 | 17/39 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 133 | -0.046 | 44% | 5.4 | +0.071 | 27/39 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 9 | -0.161 | 22% | 4.8 | +0.102 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 75 | +0.358 | 52% | 8.3 | +0.060 | 3/39 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 38 | -0.324 | 39% | 4.6 | +0.055 | 23/23 | — |
| Cover 2 | 58 | -0.102 | 43% | 4.4 | +0.028 | 31/39 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 42 | -0.187 | 40% | 5.2 | +0.107 | 34/39 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 5 | -0.004 | 40% | 4.2 | +0.143 | — | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 10 | +0.472 | 80% | 9.9 | +0.113 | — | -0.20 |
| Cover 9 | 7 | +0.112 | 29% | 6.0 | +0.058 | — | — |
| Combo | 11 | +0.193 | 45% | 6.9 | -0.054 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | -0.208 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 103 | +0.243 | 55% | 7.1 | +0.166 | 12/39 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 94 | -0.028 | 46% | 7.3 | +0.235 | 36/39 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 45 | -0.007 | 27% | 4.3 | +0.061 | 25/36 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 125 | +0.012 | 41% | 5.4 | +0.053 | 22/39 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 117 | +0.007 | 49% | 6.7 | +0.122 | 24/35 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.151 | — | -0.07 |
| 13 | 13 | +0.363 | 54% | 7.2 | +0.168 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.270 | — | — |
| 10 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.171 | — | — |
| Other | 0 | — | — | — | -0.063 | — | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | LV | 255 | +0.027 | +7.0 | 45.1% | 6.10 | -3.6 | 63.6% | 7.9 | 3.9% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.