MLB Slate
2026-10-07 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
4
First pitch
4:00 PM
Final
4
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
4 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4:00 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 85-77
@ Chicago White Sox 84-78
|
Daniel Espino
· 6.75 · 11.2
Sean Newcomb
· 0.84 · 11.0
|
Final
9–3
|
+112 / -121 | 8 | 54% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:00 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 100-62
@ Atlanta Braves 94-68
|
Tyler Glasnow
· 3.53 · 11.9
Tyler Mahle
· 3.99 · 8.3
|
Final
4–1
|
-146 / +134 | 7.5 | 42% | 46% | model leans home |
| 8:00 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 98-64
@ New York Yankees 93-68
|
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
Max Fried
· 2.80 · 8.3
|
Final
4–3
|
+149 / -162 | 7 | 61% | 56% | model leans away |
| 10:00 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 103-59
@ San Diego Padres 91-71
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
3–1
|
-103 / -105 | 7.5 | 50% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |