Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 1.0 | +1.5 | 1–1 | — | |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3.0 | +1.1 | 3–3 | — | |
| 3 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3.5 | -1.9 | 2–7 | -6.8 | |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 5.0 | -0.3 | 2–7 | -6.9 | |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 6.8 | -1.4 | 6–8 | -8.5 | |
| 6 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 7.0 | +4.9 | 4–14 | -5.2 | |
| 7 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 7.5 | +18.6 | 5–14 | -5.6 | |
| 8 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 9.3 | -0.1 | 4–18 | -4.6 | |
| 9 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 9.7 | -0.7 | 9–13 | -7.8 | |
| 10 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 9.8 | +6.1 | 4–15 | -5.2 | |
| 11 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 10.2 | -7.0 | 6–13 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 12.0 | -2.6 | 8–22 | -4.6 | |
| 13 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 12.0 | +6.0 | 8–16 | -7.1 | |
| 14 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 13.0 | +4.9 | 10–18 | -6.8 | |
| 15 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 15.7 | +10.7 | 10–19 | -6.5 | |
| 16 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 18.8 | +18.9 | 15–23 | -7.5 | |
| 17 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 19.8 | +4.5 | 15–28 | -5.3 | |
| 18 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 19.8 | +0.6 | 16–26 | -5.5 | |
| 19 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 21.3 | +2.7 | 16–29 | -5.2 | |
| 20 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 21.8 | +8.5 | 16–29 | -5.2 | |
| 21 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 22.0 | -6.0 | 13–31 | -3.6 | |
| 22 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 22.8 | +2.7 | 21–28 | -7.5 | |
| 23 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 24.8 | -3.8 | 11–39 | +0.4 | |
| 24 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 25.0 | +0.8 | 25–25 | — | |
| 25 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 26.3 | -5.3 | 24–38 | -5.0 | |
| 26 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 26.7 | -13.8 | 20–45 | -0.8 | |
| 27 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 27.5 | +4.6 | 27–30 | -9.1 | |
| 28 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 29.2 | +5.6 | 12–35 | -2.5 | |
| 29 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 29.7 | +14.9 | 15–42 | -0.6 | |
| 30 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 29.7 | +33.6 | 16–49 | +3.4 | |
| 31 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 30.0 | -5.5 | 26–34 | -7.9 | |
| 32 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 33.2 | -3.6 | 31–40 | -7.5 | |
| 33 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 33.8 | +20.9 | 23–42 | -2.9 | |
| 34 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 34.3 | +22.2 | 27–59 | +0.5 | |
| 35 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 36.3 | +0.6 | 33–40 | -8.0 | |
| 36 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 36.5 | -17.5 | 24–43 | -4.8 | |
| 37 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 36.8 | +20.8 | 29–45 | -5.0 | |
| 38 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 38.2 | -2.6 | 33–44 | -6.6 | |
| 39 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 39.8 | +1.0 | 35–46 | -6.0 | |
| 40 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 40.8 | +0.6 | 21–47 | -1.7 | |
| 41 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 41.3 | -1.4 | 39–51 | -6.6 | |
| 42 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 43.2 | -8.3 | 36–50 | -6.2 | |
| 43 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 43.7 | -19.0 | 33–58 | -2.3 | |
| 44 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 45.0 | +7.1 | 33–49 | -5.6 | |
| 45 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 46.7 | +9.5 | 36–58 | -4.8 | |
| 46 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 46.7 | -5.1 | 41–52 | -7.2 | |
| 47 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 48.0 | +10.7 | 41–55 | -6.2 | |
| 48 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 49.5 | +0.6 | 32–61 | -0.4 | |
| 49 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 51.2 | -13.5 | 30–79 | +6.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 50 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAC | 51.5 | +26.3 | 37–63 | -0.9 | |
| 51 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 53.7 | +7.7 | 52–56 | -9.9 | |
| 52 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 54.0 | -39.8 | 34–72 | +0.7 | |
| 53 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 55.0 | +2.4 | 51–57 | -9.8 | |
| 54 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 55.5 | +11.7 | 52–57 | -10.0 | |
| 55 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 56.2 | -10.4 | 37–74 | -0.9 | |
| 56 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 56.7 | -9.7 | 50–60 | -7.1 | |
| 57 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 57.3 | -10.2 | 50–67 | -6.0 | |
| 58 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 59.0 | -4.3 | 48–65 | -6.3 | |
| 59 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 62.7 | +62.0 | 50–84 | +0.1 | |
| 60 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 64.0 | -16.4 | 51–95 | +3.0 | |
| 61 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 64.3 | +22.9 | 48–83 | +0.5 | |
| 62 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 65.2 | +31.3 | 37–79 | +1.9 | |
| 63 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 66.2 | -8.7 | 61–77 | -7.2 | |
| 64 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 66.7 | +29.8 | 49–76 | -3.3 | |
| 65 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 67.3 | +9.2 | 53–77 | -4.6 | |
| 66 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 70.0 | +8.9 | 64–82 | -5.6 | |
| 67 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 70.2 | +42.2 | 38–109 | +17.0 | |
| 68 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 70.5 | +0.5 | 57–95 | +4.9 | |
| 69 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 71.2 | -33.7 | 43–109 | +10.7 | |
| 70 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 71.3 | +6.9 | 54–92 | -0.0 | |
| 71 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 72.3 | -19.2 | 43–86 | +1.7 | |
| 72 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 74.0 | -5.7 | 53–103 | +3.6 | |
| 73 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 74.5 | +54.3 | 61–91 | -0.7 | |
| 74 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 77.8 | +60.7 | 68–87 | -7.0 | |
| 75 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 78.8 | +4.5 | 67–102 | -0.2 | |
| 76 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 79.0 | +22.5 | 63–98 | +0.2 | |
| 77 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 79.3 | -6.1 | 62–96 | -1.6 | |
| 78 | KC Concepcion Jr. | WR | CLE | 80.7 | — | 71–97 | -3.9 | |
| 79 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 80.8 | -3.6 | 62–96 | +1.3 | |
| 80 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 81.5 | -19.5 | 69–96 | -2.2 | |
| 81 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 83.3 | +67.3 | 65–116 | +5.8 | |
| 82 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 84.2 | -17.1 | 54–114 | +9.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 83 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 84.7 | -7.3 | 69–95 | -5.4 | |
| 84 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 86.0 | -6.0 | 72–112 | -0.4 | |
| 85 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 86.7 | -1.1 | 76–97 | -6.1 | |
| 86 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 87.3 | +19.1 | 70–98 | -2.2 | |
| 87 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 88.5 | +7.2 | 75–112 | -1.9 | |
| 88 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 89.3 | +38.0 | 77–112 | -0.2 | |
| 89 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 89.7 | -18.0 | 70–104 | +0.8 | |
| 90 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 89.8 | -1.5 | 68–110 | +1.5 | |
| 91 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 92.8 | -7.0 | 86–107 | -6.7 | |
| 92 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 93.7 | +10.8 | 90–99 | -9.9 | |
| 93 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 93.7 | +16.0 | 71–117 | +4.2 | |
| 94 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 96.8 | -16.4 | 88–111 | -5.9 | |
| 95 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 97.5 | +1.4 | 62–149 | +17.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 96 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 99.5 | +6.1 | 84–117 | -4.3 | |
| 97 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 101.5 | +21.9 | 83–110 | -5.2 | |
| 98 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 101.7 | -28.2 | 86–135 | +2.0 | |
| 99 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 103.0 | -4.1 | 73–111 | -0.7 | |
| 100 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 103.5 | -5.0 | 86–118 | -1.1 | |
| 101 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 103.7 | -35.1 | 68–169 | +21.6 | |
| 102 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 104.5 | +14.5 | 98–108 | -11.0 | |
| 103 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 104.5 | -24.1 | 71–140 | +12.1 | |
| 104 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 104.5 | +62.3 | 81–132 | +6.8 | |
| 105 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 104.8 | +19.5 | 98–113 | -9.5 | |
| 106 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 105.3 | -1.0 | 98–114 | -8.2 | |
| 107 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 106.3 | +23.0 | 78–138 | +6.5 | |
| 108 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 108.8 | -8.5 | 81–155 | +13.8 | |
| 109 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 109.2 | +77.6 | 76–131 | +7.0 | |
| 110 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 110.7 | -11.4 | 101–119 | -7.7 | |
| 111 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 112.5 | +10.6 | 100–121 | -7.4 | |
| 112 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 112.8 | -0.8 | 85–150 | +4.6 | |
| 113 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 114.2 | +1.6 | 85–165 | +16.6 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 114 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 115.0 | +57.1 | 105–139 | -3.5 | |
| 115 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 115.5 | +14.5 | 105–129 | -7.0 | |
| 116 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | ATL | 117.0 | -38.1 | 100–128 | -5.3 | |
| 117 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 118.3 | +16.8 | 93–142 | +0.6 | |
| 118 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 119.3 | -30.5 | 89–173 | +14.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 119 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 119.8 | +14.4 | 107–135 | -5.6 | |
| 120 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 124.2 | -11.4 | 114–139 | -7.2 | |
| 121 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 126.3 | -7.9 | 125–129 | -13.6 | |
| 122 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 128.7 | -11.4 | 109–168 | +4.3 | |
| 123 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 128.7 | +35.0 | 118–145 | -4.6 | |
| 124 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | HOU | 130.3 | +49.1 | 116–138 | -8.9 | |
| 125 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 131.0 | +0.7 | 121–158 | -2.5 | |
| 126 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 131.2 | -12.7 | 121–152 | -5.4 | |
| 127 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 133.0 | -16.0 | 115–156 | -0.8 | |
| 128 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 133.2 | +78.0 | 110–169 | +3.2 | |
| 129 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 134.5 | +10.8 | 129–147 | -9.9 | |
| 130 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 135.3 | +27.6 | 90–247 | +37.1 | |
| 131 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAC | 136.5 | +22.5 | 128–145 | -11.1 | |
| 132 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 136.7 | -23.0 | 115–150 | -2.6 | |
| 133 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 138.7 | +26.0 | 124–148 | -8.2 | |
| 134 | Keenan Allen | WR | IND | 140.2 | +53.5 | 112–182 | +9.5 | |
| 135 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 141.7 | -41.2 | 106–174 | +4.3 | |
| 136 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 142.2 | -51.3 | 89–199 | +23.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 137 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 142.5 | -57.5 | 120–165 | -2.3 | |
| 138 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 143.3 | +4.7 | 134–159 | -7.6 | |
| 139 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 143.3 | -45.9 | 120–175 | +2.0 | |
| 140 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 144.0 | +4.8 | 122–210 | +13.7 | |
| 141 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 145.0 | -98.1 | 106–164 | +5.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 142 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 145.8 | -34.0 | 120–173 | -1.1 | |
| 143 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 146.0 | -45.9 | 115–181 | +8.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 144 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 146.0 | +35.2 | 131–195 | +5.7 | |
| 145 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 147.5 | +101.1 | 87–238 | +43.2 | |
| 146 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 148.2 | +64.5 | 128–160 | -6.3 | |
| 147 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 148.7 | +41.6 | 143–157 | -11.5 | |
| 148 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 149.8 | -96.6 | 104–281 | +44.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 149 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 151.8 | -47.6 | 93–208 | +31.2 | |
| 150 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 152.2 | +38.5 | 99–221 | +19.2 | |
| 151 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 152.7 | +73.4 | 110–208 | +15.0 | |
| 152 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 154.2 | +24.9 | 120–222 | +17.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 153 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 154.7 | +57.1 | 135–163 | -7.4 | |
| 154 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 155.0 | +5.4 | 145–168 | -9.3 | |
| 155 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 156.3 | +66.3 | 143–163 | -10.5 | |
| 156 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 157.3 | +51.2 | 148–176 | -7.3 | |
| 157 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 157.7 | -1.3 | 127–184 | +1.8 | |
| 158 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 160.3 | +47.9 | 154–180 | -7.9 | |
| 159 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 164.8 | +71.2 | 138–210 | +6.8 | |
| 160 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 167.8 | -52.2 | 127–230 | +14.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 161 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 169.0 | -36.0 | 102–257 | +34.5 | |
| 162 | Cade Otton | TE | TB | 169.2 | +70.8 | 158–189 | -5.8 | |
| 163 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 170.8 | -32.1 | 130–223 | +9.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 164 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 171.7 | -31.7 | 139–285 | +33.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 165 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 173.2 | +49.2 | 139–241 | +21.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 166 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 173.3 | +64.4 | 146–230 | +9.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 167 | Darren Waller | TE | CAR | 173.5 | +94.4 | 143–205 | +6.8 | |
| 168 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 174.8 | +45.6 | 168–189 | -10.2 | |
| 169 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 178.0 | +12.6 | 162–209 | +0.1 | |
| 170 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 179.2 | +59.3 | 128–277 | +28.4 | |
| 171 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 180.0 | -14.6 | 165–224 | +1.6 | |
| 172 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 183.3 | -26.8 | 147–242 | +15.4 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 173 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 186.0 | +68.0 | 176–205 | -8.7 | |
| 174 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 187.0 | +13.4 | 166–202 | -6.8 | |
| 175 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 188.0 | +56.0 | 132–234 | +12.7 | |
| 176 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 188.8 | +45.1 | 141–210 | +6.9 | |
| 177 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 189.2 | -51.9 | 164–228 | +2.1 | |
| 178 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 190.0 | -50.6 | 175–203 | -7.6 | |
| 179 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 190.7 | -22.7 | 142–234 | +8.6 | |
| 180 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 190.7 | -0.4 | 141–246 | +14.2 | |
| 181 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | 192.3 | +50.6 | 138–226 | +19.0 | |
| 182 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 194.7 | -43.2 | 174–228 | +3.1 | |
| 183 | Charlie Kolar | TE | LAC | 195.3 | +88.7 | 177–232 | -0.5 | |
| 184 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 197.8 | +18.9 | 159–242 | +8.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 185 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 199.5 | -9.8 | 170–224 | +4.5 | |
| 186 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | 200.0 | -28.5 | 170–222 | -4.1 | |
| 187 | David Njoku | TE | LAC | 201.6 | +48.7 | 177–244 | +8.8 | |
| 188 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 205.2 | -24.3 | 162–243 | +5.7 | |
| 189 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 206.3 | -39.8 | 182–241 | +2.2 | |
| 190 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 206.8 | +66.3 | 168–232 | +6.3 | |
| 191 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 208.2 | -42.0 | 181–224 | -4.0 | |
| 192 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 210.2 | -70.1 | 184–238 | +0.0 | |
| 193 | Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 213.3 | +9.6 | 178–226 | -3.3 | |
| 194 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 213.3 | -40.7 | 178–246 | +4.0 | |
| 195 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 216.3 | -31.5 | 142–322 | +34.8 | |
| 196 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 216.8 | +5.8 | 195–231 | -8.1 | |
| 197 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 218.0 | -23.6 | 179–242 | +2.7 | |
| 198 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 220.0 | -65.8 | 174–248 | +1.9 | |
| 199 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 220.2 | +69.5 | 126–240 | +21.7 | |
| 200 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 224.5 | +74.8 | 160–274 | +20.3 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.