Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.0 +1.5 1–1 —
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.0 +1.1 3–3 —
3 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 7.0 +4.9 4–14 -5.2
4 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 7.5 +18.6 5–14 -5.6
5 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 9.3 -0.1 4–18 -4.6
6 James Cook III RB BUF 9.8 +6.1 4–15 -5.2
7 Chase Brown RB CIN 13.0 +4.9 10–18 -6.8
8 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 15.7 +10.7 10–19 -6.5
9 Derrick Henry RB BAL 18.8 +18.9 15–23 -7.5
10 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 19.8 +4.5 15–28 -5.3
11 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 22.8 +2.7 21–28 -7.5
12 De'Von Achane RB MIA 24.8 -3.8 11–39 +0.4
13 Javonte Williams RB DAL 29.7 +14.9 15–42 -0.6
14 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 33.8 +20.9 23–42 -2.9
15 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 40.8 +0.6 21–47 -1.7
16 Breece Hall RB NYJ 41.3 -1.4 39–51 -6.6
17 Kyren Williams RB LAR 46.7 -5.1 41–52 -7.2
18 Bucky Irving RB TB 48.0 +10.7 41–55 -6.2
19 David Montgomery RB HOU 53.7 +7.7 52–56 -9.9
20 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 55.0 +2.4 51–57 -9.8
21 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 55.5 +11.7 52–57 -10.0
22 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 64.0 -16.4 51–95 +3.0
23 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 70.5 +0.5 57–95 +4.9
24 Jadarian Price RB SEA 79.3 -6.1 62–96 -1.6
25 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 80.8 -3.6 62–96 +1.3
26 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 81.5 -19.5 69–96 -2.2
27 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 84.7 -7.3 69–95 -5.4
28 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 97.5 +1.4 62–149 +17.9 CONTENTIOUS
29 Blake Corum RB LAR 112.8 -0.8 85–150 +4.6
30 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 114.2 +1.6 85–165 +16.6 CONTENTIOUS
31 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 119.3 -30.5 89–173 +14.9 CONTENTIOUS
32 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 133.0 -16.0 115–156 -0.8
33 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 136.7 -23.0 115–150 -2.6
34 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 141.7 -41.2 106–174 +4.3
35 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 142.2 -51.3 89–199 +23.9 CONTENTIOUS
36 Tony Pollard RB TEN 142.5 -57.5 120–165 -2.3
37 RJ Harvey RB DEN 143.3 -45.9 120–175 +2.0
38 Josh Jacobs RB GB 145.0 -98.1 106–164 +5.0 CONTENTIOUS
39 Rachaad White RB WAS 145.8 -34.0 120–173 -1.1
40 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 146.0 -45.9 115–181 +8.8 CONTENTIOUS
41 MarShawn Lloyd RB GB 154.2 +24.9 120–222 +17.1 CONTENTIOUS
42 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 157.7 -1.3 127–184 +1.8
43 Jordan Mason RB MIN 167.8 -52.2 127–230 +14.2 CONTENTIOUS
44 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 170.8 -32.1 130–223 +9.9 CONTENTIOUS
45 Kaelon Black RB SF 173.3 +64.4 146–230 +9.0 CONTENTIOUS
46 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 180.0 -14.6 165–224 +1.6
47 Woody Marks RB HOU 189.2 -51.9 164–228 +2.1
48 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 190.0 -50.6 175–203 -7.6
49 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 194.7 -43.2 174–228 +3.1
50 Emmett Johnson RB KC 199.5 -9.8 170–224 +4.5
51 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 200.0 -28.5 170–222 -4.1
52 Alvin Kamara RB NO 208.2 -42.0 181–224 -4.0
53 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 210.2 -70.1 184–238 +0.0
54 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 220.0 -65.8 174–248 +1.9

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.