Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.3 -0.4 1–7 -7.1
2 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 3.3 +0.7 1–7 -6.9
3 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 8.6 -0.0 2–31 -4.2
4 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 11.8 -0.5 7–33 -4.6
5 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 16.8 -1.1 7–39 -3.6
6 Chase Brown RB CIN 18.6 +3.0 10–39 -4.0
7 James Cook III RB BUF 19.1 -1.1 7–34 -3.3
8 De'Von Achane RB MIA 21.0 -2.2 10–33 -3.6
9 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 24.7 +1.9 11–47 -2.7
10 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 25.2 +1.3 10–41 -3.1
11 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 29.6 +2.0 14–53 -2.2
12 Derrick Henry RB BAL 37.6 +2.0 10–50 -2.8
13 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 38.4 -3.9 26–65 -4.1
14 Breece Hall RB NYJ 40.1 +1.3 24–58 -6.4
15 Kyren Williams RB LAR 42.0 +0.9 23–54 -4.8
16 Josh Jacobs RB GB 43.9 +0.9 24–65 -4.1
17 Javonte Williams RB DAL 45.7 +2.3 25–58 -5.8
18 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 49.7 -2.9 24–75 -2.9
19 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 53.6 +2.7 36–78 -4.4
20 Bucky Irving RB TB 60.0 -1.6 35–80 -4.2
21 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 60.1 +2.1 46–77 -6.2
22 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 60.8 +0.5 37–80 -4.9
23 David Montgomery RB HOU 62.5 +5.4 43–102 -3.6
24 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 64.1 -2.5 39–99 -3.8
25 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 69.9 +4.2 47–127 -0.5
26 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 75.3 -2.5 59–99 -7.3
27 Jadarian Price RB SEA 76.7 +1.0 50–117 -5.1
28 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 82.4 +0.7 65–118 -5.8
29 Tony Pollard RB TEN 83.7 +0.9 65–117 -5.9
30 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 85.8 -3.1 64–130 -2.1
31 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 88.8 -2.8 66–127 -3.9
32 RJ Harvey RB DEN 94.4 -7.6 61–145 +3.1
33 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 100.3 -0.6 75–146 -1.2
34 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 101.4 +4.4 72–143 -1.4
35 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 104.3 -4.6 78–135 -4.8
36 Rachaad White RB WAS 106.2 +6.4 72–141 -2.4
37 Blake Corum RB LAR 110.1 -0.8 84–143 -4.7
38 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 111.1 -2.4 77–141 -2.5
39 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 115.4 +21.2 67–347 +20.2 CONTENTIOUS
40 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 123.4 +2.5 91–148 -6.6
41 Jordan Mason RB MIN 124.9 +5.5 89–162 -5.0
42 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 134.1 -3.9 109–162 -9.5
43 Woody Marks RB HOU 139.2 -2.1 99–182 -6.0
44 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 140.5 +0.1 102–201 -5.0
45 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 143.2 +0.9 110–210 -5.1
46 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 143.7 +3.3 116–231 -2.6
47 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 144.3 -4.6 86–238 +4.4
48 Alvin Kamara RB NO 145.7 +7.6 99–201 -3.8
49 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 148.3 -0.4 127–222 -5.9
50 Isiah Pacheco RB DET 151.2 -1.9 118–219 -6.8
51 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 155.8 +10.2 117–243 +2.9
52 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 165.6 -2.6 120–352 +15.9 CONTENTIOUS
53 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 169.3 +2.9 135–238 -4.2
54 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 171.2 +8.2 133–238 +2.7
55 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 181.0 -6.9 132–278 +7.2 CONTENTIOUS
56 James Conner RB ARI 186.7 -1.7 99–318 +17.7 CONTENTIOUS
57 Kimani Vidal RB LAC 196.0 +3.2 148–284 +8.2 CONTENTIOUS
58 Emmett Johnson RB KC 197.0 -9.0 148–363 +16.1 CONTENTIOUS
59 Sean Tucker RB TB 198.9 +9.9 145–358 +12.2 CONTENTIOUS
60 Ray Davis RB BUF 199.4 +7.8 145–311 +9.2 CONTENTIOUS
61 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 209.4 -9.2 152–366 +13.1 CONTENTIOUS
62 Emanuel Wilson RB SEA 210.9 -17.3 141–298 +9.9 CONTENTIOUS
63 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 214.8 +4.0 143–348 +16.6 CONTENTIOUS
64 Kaytron Allen RB WAS 222.2 -3.5 155–322 +11.5 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.