Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3.3 | -0.4 | 1–7 | -7.1 | |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 3.3 | +0.7 | 1–7 | -6.9 | |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 8.6 | -0.0 | 2–31 | -4.2 | |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 11.8 | -0.5 | 7–33 | -4.6 | |
| 5 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 16.8 | -1.1 | 7–39 | -3.6 | |
| 6 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 18.6 | +3.0 | 10–39 | -4.0 | |
| 7 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 19.1 | -1.1 | 7–34 | -3.3 | |
| 8 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 21.0 | -2.2 | 10–33 | -3.6 | |
| 9 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 24.7 | +1.9 | 11–47 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 25.2 | +1.3 | 10–41 | -3.1 | |
| 11 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 29.6 | +2.0 | 14–53 | -2.2 | |
| 12 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 37.6 | +2.0 | 10–50 | -2.8 | |
| 13 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 38.4 | -3.9 | 26–65 | -4.1 | |
| 14 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 40.1 | +1.3 | 24–58 | -6.4 | |
| 15 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 42.0 | +0.9 | 23–54 | -4.8 | |
| 16 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 43.9 | +0.9 | 24–65 | -4.1 | |
| 17 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 45.7 | +2.3 | 25–58 | -5.8 | |
| 18 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 49.7 | -2.9 | 24–75 | -2.9 | |
| 19 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 53.6 | +2.7 | 36–78 | -4.4 | |
| 20 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 60.0 | -1.6 | 35–80 | -4.2 | |
| 21 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 60.1 | +2.1 | 46–77 | -6.2 | |
| 22 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 60.8 | +0.5 | 37–80 | -4.9 | |
| 23 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 62.5 | +5.4 | 43–102 | -3.6 | |
| 24 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 64.1 | -2.5 | 39–99 | -3.8 | |
| 25 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 69.9 | +4.2 | 47–127 | -0.5 | |
| 26 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 75.3 | -2.5 | 59–99 | -7.3 | |
| 27 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 76.7 | +1.0 | 50–117 | -5.1 | |
| 28 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 82.4 | +0.7 | 65–118 | -5.8 | |
| 29 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 83.7 | +0.9 | 65–117 | -5.9 | |
| 30 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 85.8 | -3.1 | 64–130 | -2.1 | |
| 31 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 88.8 | -2.8 | 66–127 | -3.9 | |
| 32 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 94.4 | -7.6 | 61–145 | +3.1 | |
| 33 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 100.3 | -0.6 | 75–146 | -1.2 | |
| 34 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 101.4 | +4.4 | 72–143 | -1.4 | |
| 35 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 104.3 | -4.6 | 78–135 | -4.8 | |
| 36 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 106.2 | +6.4 | 72–141 | -2.4 | |
| 37 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 110.1 | -0.8 | 84–143 | -4.7 | |
| 38 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 111.1 | -2.4 | 77–141 | -2.5 | |
| 39 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 115.4 | +21.2 | 67–347 | +20.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 40 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 123.4 | +2.5 | 91–148 | -6.6 | |
| 41 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 124.9 | +5.5 | 89–162 | -5.0 | |
| 42 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 134.1 | -3.9 | 109–162 | -9.5 | |
| 43 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 139.2 | -2.1 | 99–182 | -6.0 | |
| 44 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 140.5 | +0.1 | 102–201 | -5.0 | |
| 45 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 143.2 | +0.9 | 110–210 | -5.1 | |
| 46 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 143.7 | +3.3 | 116–231 | -2.6 | |
| 47 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 144.3 | -4.6 | 86–238 | +4.4 | |
| 48 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 145.7 | +7.6 | 99–201 | -3.8 | |
| 49 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 148.3 | -0.4 | 127–222 | -5.9 | |
| 50 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | 151.2 | -1.9 | 118–219 | -6.8 | |
| 51 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 155.8 | +10.2 | 117–243 | +2.9 | |
| 52 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 165.6 | -2.6 | 120–352 | +15.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 53 | Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | ATL | 169.3 | +2.9 | 135–238 | -4.2 | |
| 54 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | 171.2 | +8.2 | 133–238 | +2.7 | |
| 55 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 181.0 | -6.9 | 132–278 | +7.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 56 | James Conner | RB | ARI | 186.7 | -1.7 | 99–318 | +17.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 57 | Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 196.0 | +3.2 | 148–284 | +8.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 58 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 197.0 | -9.0 | 148–363 | +16.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 59 | Sean Tucker | RB | TB | 198.9 | +9.9 | 145–358 | +12.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 60 | Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 199.4 | +7.8 | 145–311 | +9.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 61 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 209.4 | -9.2 | 152–366 | +13.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 62 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 210.9 | -17.3 | 141–298 | +9.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 63 | Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | 214.8 | +4.0 | 143–348 | +16.6 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 64 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 222.2 | -3.5 | 155–322 | +11.5 | CONTENTIOUS |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.