Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Trey McBride TE ARI 26.3 -5.3 24–38 -5.0
2 Brock Bowers TE LV 36.5 -17.5 24–43 -4.8
3 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 70.2 +42.2 38–109 +17.0
4 Colston Loveland TE CHI 71.2 -33.7 43–109 +10.7
5 Tyler Warren TE IND 72.3 -19.2 43–86 +1.7
6 Sam LaPorta TE DET 92.8 -7.0 86–107 -6.7
7 Tucker Kraft TE GB 96.8 -16.4 88–111 -5.9
8 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 101.7 -28.2 86–135 +2.0
9 George Kittle TE SF 103.0 -4.1 73–111 -0.7
10 Travis Kelce TE KC 103.5 -5.0 86–118 -1.1
11 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 112.5 +10.6 100–121 -7.4
12 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 117.0 -38.1 100–128 -5.3
13 Juwan Johnson TE NO 119.8 +14.4 107–135 -5.6
14 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 128.7 -11.4 109–168 +4.3
15 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 128.7 +35.0 118–145 -4.6
16 Mark Andrews TE BAL 131.0 +0.7 121–158 -2.5
17 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 131.2 -12.7 121–152 -5.4
18 Brenton Strange TE JAC 136.5 +22.5 128–145 -11.1
19 Hunter Henry TE NE 138.7 +26.0 124–148 -8.2
20 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 148.2 +64.5 128–160 -6.3
21 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 148.7 +41.6 143–157 -11.5
22 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 154.7 +57.1 135–163 -7.4
23 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 155.0 +5.4 145–168 -9.3
24 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 156.3 +66.3 143–163 -10.5
25 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 157.3 +51.2 148–176 -7.3
26 AJ Barner TE SEA 160.3 +47.9 154–180 -7.9
27 Cade Otton TE TB 169.2 +70.8 158–189 -5.8
28 Darren Waller TE CAR 173.5 +94.4 143–205 +6.8
29 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 174.8 +45.6 168–189 -10.2
30 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 179.2 +59.3 128–277 +28.4
31 Evan Engram TE DEN 186.0 +68.0 176–205 -8.7
32 Charlie Kolar TE LAC 195.3 +88.7 177–232 -0.5
33 David Njoku TE LAC 201.6 +48.7 177–244 +8.8
34 Mike Gesicki TE CIN 206.8 +66.3 168–232 +6.3
35 Michael Mayer TE LV 224.5 +74.8 160–274 +20.3

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.