Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 36 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-04 00:00 (23 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.4 +0.3 1–2 -0.6
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 1.6 -0.1 1–2 -0.6
3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 3.2 -0.0 3–4 -0.9
4 Puka Nacua WR LAR 3.8 +0.0 3–4 -0.9
5 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 6.0 -0.3 5–8 -0.4
6 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 6.4 +1.4 5–9 -0.2
7 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 7.2 -0.0 6–8 -0.9
8 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 7.6 +2.1 7–8 -1.2
9 James Cook III RB BUF 9.4 +0.9 7–13 +0.4
10 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 11.0 +1.0 10–14 -0.5
11 Chase Brown RB CIN 12.4 -0.2 9–16 +0.5
12 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 13.4 +1.1 11–16 -0.4
13 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 14.8 +8.4 12–22 +1.4
14 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 14.8 +1.4 9–23 +2.5
15 De'Von Achane RB MIA 15.0 +1.0 13–18 -0.3
16 A.J. Brown WR NE 16.8 +4.5 11–24 +1.8
17 Drake London WR ATL 17.6 -0.6 15–22 -0.1
18 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 17.6 -2.9 16–19 -1.6
19 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 18.2 +3.0 14–20 -0.6
20 Derrick Henry RB BAL 18.8 +7.0 14–23 +0.7
21 Brock Bowers TE LV 19.6 -1.3 17–24 -0.2
22 Nico Collins WR HOU 21.0 -0.3 20–22 -2.3
23 George Pickens WR DAL 23.4 -0.7 17–27 +0.5
24 Chris Olave WR NO 24.6 +7.7 18–32 +1.5
25 Trey McBride TE ARI 26.6 +0.9 24–29 -1.9
26 Javonte Williams RB DAL 28.8 -0.6 24–37 +1.6
27 Breece Hall RB NYJ 28.8 -1.6 25–32 -0.5
28 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 29.0 -1.8 27–30 -2.6
29 Zay Flowers WR BAL 29.0 +1.0 28–30 -2.8
30 Malik Nabers WR NYG 29.2 +8.5 23–32 -0.5
31 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 32.2 +4.8 26–41 +2.4
32 Rashee Rice WR KC 32.4 -4.1 24–48 +4.6
33 Josh Allen QB BUF 32.8 +0.5 29–38 -0.9
34 Kyren Williams RB LAR 36.2 -3.5 32–39 -1.9
35 Tee Higgins WR CIN 36.6 +1.4 31–44 +0.3
36 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 36.6 +2.7 33–42 -1.2
37 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 37.8 -3.1 33–43 -0.8
38 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 38.4 +2.1 36–43 -2.2
39 Colston Loveland TE CHI 38.4 +12.6 31–42 -0.5
40 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 38.4 +3.1 32–48 +1.1
41 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 39.0 -2.3 35–44 -1.0
42 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 39.2 +5.8 36–43 -1.9
43 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 46.4 -3.9 44–51 -2.8
44 Mike Evans WR SF 47.8 +2.0 46–54 -2.4
45 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 48.4 +1.6 39–54 +1.0
46 DJ Moore WR BUF 48.4 +1.3 43–52 -2.4
47 Christian Watson WR GB 50.0 +8.5 45–56 -1.5
48 Davante Adams WR LAR 51.2 +4.5 47–55 -3.2
49 Luther Burden III WR CHI 52.0 -5.7 44–69 +2.9
50 Jameson Williams WR DET 52.2 -1.0 33–64 +4.8
51 Bucky Irving RB TB 53.6 +5.6 51–58 -3.4
52 Carnell Tate WR TEN 54.2 +1.6 48–63 -0.2
53 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 54.6 +4.1 45–62 +0.4
54 David Montgomery RB HOU 55.6 -0.3 48–63 -1.3
55 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 55.6 +0.4 53–60 -3.8
56 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 56.0 +5.2 52–60 -2.8
57 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 56.8 -0.5 47–64 +1.0
58 Drake Maye QB NE 57.8 -3.6 44–72 +3.9
59 Joe Burrow QB CIN 58.8 -7.1 53–63 -3.2
60 Josh Jacobs RB GB 59.0 -17.3 42–100 +14.8 CONTENTIOUS
61 Tyler Warren TE IND 59.8 +2.9 56–66 -1.9
62 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 60.6 +4.1 50–68 -0.6
63 Rome Odunze WR CHI 62.2 +10.3 50–75 +1.2
64 Parker Washington WR JAC 63.2 +11.5 57–69 -2.3
65 Jadarian Price RB SEA 65.0 -1.3 60–69 -4.2
66 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 66.0 -4.8 61–71 -3.0
67 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 67.4 -14.2 49–86 +4.9
68 Tucker Kraft TE GB 67.4 -1.9 64–73 -4.2
69 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 68.6 +8.7 65–71 -5.1
70 Caleb Williams QB CHI 70.4 +5.9 62–80 -1.3
71 Justin Herbert QB LAC 70.6 +6.4 63–76 -2.5
72 DK Metcalf WR PIT 76.8 +0.9 72–80 -4.9
73 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 77.0 -0.8 70–82 -3.9
74 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 78.8 +6.7 74–85 -4.3
75 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 78.8 -0.1 74–86 -4.4
76 Dak Prescott QB DAL 79.8 -3.0 71–86 -2.4
77 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 79.8 -1.0 59–108 +10.3
78 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 82.0 +2.0 65–97 +3.5
79 Sam LaPorta TE DET 82.0 +2.8 77–86 -5.3
80 Alec Pierce WR IND 83.0 -8.5 70–101 +2.2
81 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 84.0 +2.8 78–93 -2.6
82 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 85.2 +4.8 67–104 +4.0
83 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 85.4 +6.8 76–97 -0.9
84 Brock Purdy QB SF 85.8 +6.9 77–92 -3.5
85 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 86.6 +10.7 76–93 -2.3
86 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 87.4 +7.8 79–99 -1.1
87 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 89.6 +4.4 85–98 -5.0
88 Makai Lemon WR PHI 89.8 -1.3 77–116 +4.3
89 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 90.6 +2.6 85–99 -4.8
90 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 91.0 +4.5 78–103 -0.6
91 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 92.2 +0.8 88–96 -6.5
92 Tony Pollard RB TEN 94.8 -16.6 82–109 +1.2
93 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 95.4 -6.7 76–117 +5.1
94 RJ Harvey RB DEN 95.4 -1.9 81–111 +2.3
95 Jordan Addison WR MIN 98.4 -0.2 86–116 +0.8
96 George Kittle TE SF 98.8 +1.2 87–110 -1.5
97 Bo Nix QB DEN 99.0 -1.2 91–110 -3.6
98 Blake Corum RB LAR 99.8 +10.7 88–117 -0.7
99 KC Concepcion WR CLE 100.4 +1.6 91–109 -4.2
100 Josh Downs WR IND 100.6 -7.1 83–118 +1.6
101 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 100.6 -33.6 71–136 +13.1
102 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 100.8 +3.0 90–110 -3.6
103 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 103.6 +8.4 89–137 +6.5 CONTENTIOUS
104 Michael Wilson WR ARI 105.2 -8.5 84–133 +7.9
105 Jared Goff QB DET 105.8 +0.4 99–113 -6.1
106 Kyler Murray QB MIN 108.4 +7.4 104–115 -7.5
107 Travis Kelce TE KC 109.2 -11.7 97–122 -2.9
108 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 110.0 +23.0 92–131 +3.9
109 Malik Willis QB MIA 110.6 +18.2 103–120 -5.5
110 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 110.8 +1.7 101–118 -5.8
111 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 111.6 -17.3 91–130 +2.7
112 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 111.6 -3.9 99–120 -4.6
113 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 111.6 -2.9 98–121 -2.5
114 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 111.8 +19.0 96–140 +5.0
115 Jordan Mason RB MIN 112.4 +15.1 93–127 +1.0
116 Jayden Reed WR GB 113.6 -0.4 94–127 +1.3
117 Xavier Worthy WR KC 113.8 -8.5 97–139 +6.6
118 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 114.6 +9.7 105–130 -3.1
119 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 116.0 -10.3 107–122 -6.5
120 Jordan Love QB GB 116.4 +1.9 112–120 -8.7
121 Rachaad White RB WAS 116.4 -2.9 106–133 -2.8
122 Tyler Shough QB NO 118.4 +5.4 108–132 -4.0
123 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 118.6 +1.1 110–125 -5.5
124 Baker Mayfield QB TB 119.8 -2.1 114–123 -8.3
125 Jalen Coker WR CAR 120.8 +3.2 115–131 -7.0
126 Romeo Doubs WR NE 122.0 -4.5 109–128 -4.7
127 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 122.2 +2.6 106–136 +0.3
128 Juwan Johnson TE NO 124.8 +21.9 107–137 -2.6
129 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 125.2 +9.0 110–151 +1.3
130 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 130.4 -12.9 119–136 -6.9
131 Denzel Boston WR CLE 132.2 +12.5 124–140 -6.5
132 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 132.4 -0.9 127–142 -7.8
133 Matthew Golden WR GB 133.0 +2.3 114–160 +3.1
134 Mark Andrews TE BAL 135.2 -7.4 121–155 -1.3
135 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 137.0 +5.5 133–141 -10.7
136 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 139.4 +19.9 125–154 -3.0
137 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 139.6 +12.0 123–175 +6.0 CONTENTIOUS
138 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 140.8 -0.3 129–154 -5.4
139 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 142.4 +12.1 130–164 -2.8
140 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 144.0 +20.0 133–156 -6.5
141 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 145.0 +10.6 132–171 -1.1
142 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 146.6 +18.2 141–154 -10.0
143 Sam Darnold QB SEA 146.8 -7.0 132–168 -2.7
144 Woody Marks RB HOU 148.6 +3.4 139–158 -7.7
145 MarShawn Lloyd RB GB 150.6 +44.6 131–165 -2.5
146 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 151.2 +4.3 129–176 +2.2
147 Cam Ward QB TEN 151.4 +10.1 145–156 -11.0
148 Brenton Strange TE JAC 151.4 +4.3 144–159 -10.3
149 Daniel Jones QB IND 151.8 -7.8 138–176 -1.2
150 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 154.6 -5.9 147–164 -8.8
151 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 154.8 -2.6 143–173 -5.1
152 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 155.6 +2.1 143–190 +2.1
153 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 159.0 +15.8 131–196 +5.4
154 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 160.2 +14.3 137–174 -3.1
155 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 160.6 -23.0 131–186 +7.0
156 Bryce Young QB CAR 162.4 +14.8 148–188 -1.3
157 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 163.4 -3.6 150–194 -0.5
158 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 164.2 +0.5 156–174 -8.6
159 Jalen Nailor WR LV 164.6 -4.2 153–178 -7.9
160 Hunter Henry TE NE 169.2 -6.5 153–184 -5.7
161 Alvin Kamara RB NO 169.2 -11.7 154–183 -4.3
162 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 169.2 +15.0 161–178 -9.8
163 AJ Barner TE SEA 170.6 +8.4 157–189 -3.3
164 Tre' Harris WR LAC 172.6 +12.0 152–204 +0.3
165 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 173.2 -4.4 160–190 -6.7
166 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 174.0 -4.8 149–205 +0.8
167 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 175.4 +19.8 163–202 -3.5
168 Travis Hunter WR JAC 176.4 +0.0 151–209 +1.8
169 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 178.0 +26.3 159–185 -7.6
170 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 178.8 +17.0 148–222 +6.6 CONTENTIOUS
171 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 179.2 +2.0 156–211 +3.2
172 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 179.8 -16.0 147–225 +12.0
173 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 180.4 -6.2 157–198 -1.4
174 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 184.2 -14.2 152–201 -0.0
175 Tre Tucker WR LV 184.6 -8.8 150–209 +3.3
176 Keenan Allen WR IND 184.8 +66.7 146–227 +8.9
177 Geno Smith QB NYJ 186.0 -20.4 166–215 -1.1
178 Emmett Johnson RB KC 186.0 +6.0 157–244 +14.7 CONTENTIOUS
179 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 187.0 +9.8 163–213 +0.9
180 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 187.0 +9.2 163–212 +0.7
181 Pat Bryant WR DEN 189.0 +23.6 181–203 -11.3
182 Germie Bernard WR PIT 189.4 -3.6 169–220 -0.6
183 Jalen McMillan WR TB 190.0 -7.2 162–233 +6.5
184 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 190.6 +33.4 171–211 -2.2
185 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 193.0 +12.0 178–214 -5.8
186 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 193.4 +6.4 175–223 -2.4
187 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 193.8 +5.2 161–225 +2.8
188 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 196.2 +19.1 180–217 -4.4
189 Ted Hurst III WR TB 196.4 +15.2 190–207 -13.5
190 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 196.8 -13.8 160–216 +0.5
191 Cade Otton TE TB 198.2 -4.7 187–221 -6.5
192 Kaelon Black RB SF 198.4 +14.3 153–232 +8.1 CONTENTIOUS
193 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 198.8 -8.6 179–228 -0.0
194 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 199.4 -12.2 174–212 -6.5
195 Malik Washington WR MIA 201.0 +1.2 189–231 -3.7
196 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 205.0 +4.8 169–270 +16.0 CONTENTIOUS
197 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 210.8 +55.5 152–259 +15.6
198 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 211.6 -0.8 195–240 -5.4
199 Antonio Williams WR WAS 212.0 -48.8 173–253 +11.8
200 Isiah Pacheco RB DET 212.8 -45.5 160–295 +24.7 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 0.98 + 0.094 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.