Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.4 -0.2 1–2 -6.1
2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 1.6 +1.3 1–2 -6.1
3 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 4.2 +0.1 3–6 -5.7
4 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 4.2 -0.4 3–5 -6.1
5 Puka Nacua WR LAR 4.8 -1.1 3–7 -5.6
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.0 +0.3 3–8 -5.3
7 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 8.8 +0.8 4–12 -4.0
8 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 9.4 +0.7 8–11 -6.0
9 Drake London WR ATL 11.4 +0.2 9–14 -5.4
10 Malik Nabers WR NYG 11.4 +0.0 7–18 -3.9
11 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 12.2 -3.8 7–23 -1.9
12 De'Von Achane RB MIA 14.2 +1.4 9–18 -4.8
13 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 14.8 -2.9 7–35 +2.4
14 James Cook III RB BUF 15.2 +0.0 8–20 -3.8
15 Brock Bowers TE LV 16.4 +1.5 6–31 +0.2
16 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 17.6 +1.0 13–22 -5.0
17 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 19.6 -1.6 16–22 -5.7
18 Trey McBride TE ARI 20.2 +4.4 9–33 -0.5
19 Josh Allen QB BUF 21.6 -0.3 19–25 -6.0
20 Chris Olave WR NO 21.8 +3.4 12–30 -2.5
21 Nico Collins WR HOU 22.0 -3.6 14–30 -2.3
22 George Pickens WR DAL 22.0 -1.1 15–30 -3.2
23 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 22.4 -3.9 12–40 +1.4
24 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 22.8 +5.8 16–29 -4.3
25 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 23.2 +0.7 13–34 -0.6
26 Carnell Tate WR TEN 27.2 +4.2 13–37 -1.1
27 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 30.0 -1.1 24–41 -2.6
28 Drake Maye QB NE 32.6 -4.5 25–49 -0.4
29 Breece Hall RB NYJ 32.8 +3.1 21–54 +2.2
30 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 33.8 +0.8 24–41 -3.8
31 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 34.0 -0.6 25–51 -0.5
32 Colston Loveland TE CHI 34.2 +1.7 18–47 +3.6
33 Zay Flowers WR BAL 36.4 -4.0 26–59 +2.3
34 Joe Burrow QB CIN 38.4 +3.7 26–51 -0.3
35 Chase Brown RB CIN 39.4 +2.0 37–43 -8.1
36 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 41.8 -5.9 36–51 -4.7
37 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 43.0 -8.4 29–69 +3.5
38 Tyler Warren TE IND 43.0 -1.0 28–63 +1.5
39 Rashee Rice WR KC 43.4 +1.7 22–85 +12.1
40 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.8 -5.2 32–59 -0.1
41 Luther Burden III WR CHI 43.8 -8.1 32–64 +0.8
42 A.J. Brown WR NE 44.8 -9.3 20–71 +11.3
43 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 45.2 -2.7 32–60 +0.9
44 Makai Lemon WR PHI 45.8 -1.8 34–57 -2.9
45 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 47.0 +5.1 28–60 +0.3
46 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 47.8 -0.0 33–76 +5.7
47 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 48.6 +6.4 42–59 -5.0
48 Tucker Kraft TE GB 49.0 +0.0 43–58 -5.4
49 Justin Herbert QB LAC 49.4 -0.3 45–60 -5.5
50 Rome Odunze WR CHI 51.8 -2.4 37–76 +2.5
51 Caleb Williams QB CHI 52.0 -0.6 30–96 +12.0 CONTENTIOUS
52 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 52.2 -0.8 23–65 +4.0
53 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 53.4 +1.2 37–64 -2.4
54 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.8 -2.0 35–73 +0.9
55 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 55.8 -0.3 41–80 +3.0
56 Christian Watson WR GB 56.8 +5.3 36–76 +4.8
57 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 57.0 +1.4 54–61 -8.8
58 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 57.8 +30.5 44–75 +0.6
59 Kyren Williams RB LAR 58.2 -1.5 50–67 -5.6
60 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 58.2 -2.1 52–67 -5.8
61 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 59.2 +2.2 39–75 +1.7
62 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 60.8 -1.6 40–92 +7.2
63 Brock Purdy QB SF 62.0 +5.1 54–72 -5.5
64 Jadarian Price RB SEA 62.4 +10.3 49–72 -3.4
65 Sam LaPorta TE DET 64.6 -3.4 59–70 -8.2
66 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 65.0 +0.1 48–82 -1.2
67 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 66.0 — 34–94 +6.8
68 Parker Washington WR JAC 67.8 +8.6 43–93 +6.2
69 Javonte Williams RB DAL 68.0 +0.9 52–86 -1.9
70 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 68.4 -12.3 58–89 -2.0
71 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 73.6 -3.2 40–92 +4.8
72 Bo Nix QB DEN 73.6 +2.5 56–91 -2.1
73 Alec Pierce WR IND 73.6 +0.8 52–100 +3.9
74 Bucky Irving RB TB 73.8 -9.9 62–90 -3.4
75 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 74.0 -4.4 66–88 -5.5
76 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 75.2 +8.4 62–82 -6.2
77 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 75.2 +4.5 66–80 -8.5
78 Dak Prescott QB DAL 75.4 +8.0 60–96 -0.4
79 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 75.8 -7.2 56–110 +7.6 CONTENTIOUS
80 DJ Moore WR BUF 77.4 -1.0 70–92 -6.0
81 Derrick Henry RB BAL 80.0 -1.2 64–89 -5.1
82 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 81.4 -10.3 67–90 -5.6
83 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 83.8 -1.7 66–97 -4.2
84 Jordan Addison WR MIN 84.2 +0.1 71–97 -4.9
85 DK Metcalf WR PIT 87.0 -4.2 75–96 -7.3
86 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 87.2 +1.2 77–101 -6.3
87 Denzel Boston WR CLE 88.2 +6.5 39–125 +14.2
88 Jared Goff QB DET 89.6 +15.9 61–109 +0.9
89 Davante Adams WR LAR 90.4 +0.6 42–122 +12.3
90 Jordan Love QB GB 93.2 -0.9 84–109 -5.5
91 Josh Jacobs RB GB 94.2 -15.4 71–129 +4.1
92 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 96.4 +0.5 83–109 -7.1
93 Michael Wilson WR ARI 96.6 -2.4 83–131 +2.1
94 George Kittle TE SF 97.6 -2.9 68–177 +24.5
95 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 100.6 -0.5 85–107 -7.7
96 David Montgomery RB HOU 101.0 +3.3 90–108 -9.9
97 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 103.8 -1.9 95–122 -6.5
98 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 105.0 -5.4 95–112 -9.3
99 Mike Evans WR SF 105.4 -7.0 99–117 -10.0
100 Josh Downs WR IND 106.0 -4.6 85–138 +1.4
101 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 107.2 -9.2 75–145 +11.2
102 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 108.6 +3.0 96–121 -7.9
103 Baker Mayfield QB TB 108.6 +9.7 84–127 -2.7
104 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 108.8 -2.4 88–131 +1.5
105 Xavier Worthy WR KC 109.8 -9.8 73–152 +8.8
106 Jayden Reed WR GB 110.8 -3.0 82–135 +1.5
107 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 111.4 -13.0 79–143 +6.5
108 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 111.6 +0.3 93–121 -7.2
109 Eli Stowers TE PHI 112.4 -5.6 81–155 +8.8
110 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 113.8 +1.8 95–136 +0.3
111 Jalen Coker WR CAR 114.0 +10.7 94–119 -7.1
112 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 114.2 +9.3 81–124 -0.4
113 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 116.6 -7.6 100–145 -2.0
114 Matthew Golden WR GB 116.6 -4.2 101–128 -7.8
115 Fernando Mendoza QB LV 118.4 -1.5 109–153 -0.2
116 Romeo Doubs WR NE 118.8 +1.1 91–170 +14.2
117 Brenton Strange TE JAC 120.2 -6.6 113–133 -10.8
118 Tyler Shough QB NO 122.0 +6.6 108–139 -5.9
119 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 122.6 +16.0 79–180 +15.6
120 RJ Harvey RB DEN 123.0 -3.1 100–149 +0.5
121 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 123.2 +3.5 99–176 +13.5
122 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 125.2 -2.8 95–152 +0.7
123 Mark Andrews TE BAL 126.8 -2.3 93–146 +1.0
124 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 127.6 +6.8 101–181 +10.3 CONTENTIOUS
125 Kyler Murray QB MIN 128.4 +6.5 112–142 -8.2
126 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 129.0 +6.4 100–190 +12.9 CONTENTIOUS
127 Blake Corum RB LAR 130.0 -12.7 107–149 -4.9
128 Antonio Williams WR WAS 130.4 +8.4 113–171 +2.8
129 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 131.4 +8.0 87–154 +4.3
130 Sam Darnold QB SEA 133.6 +7.1 125–142 -12.4
131 Cam Ward QB TEN 133.6 -6.6 111–142 -7.3
132 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 134.0 -14.3 104–207 +18.2
133 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 135.0 -7.2 111–147 -6.6
134 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 135.2 -0.6 129–140 -14.8
135 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 135.4 -3.3 120–146 -9.5
136 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 135.7 +8.4 116–148 -5.0
137 Malik Willis QB MIA 135.8 -0.2 126–147 -10.5
138 Bryce Young QB CAR 136.0 +18.6 96–167 +4.9
139 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 139.2 +9.0 115–161 -1.2
140 Chris Bell WR MIA 139.4 +8.8 105–238 +30.3
141 Ted Hurst III WR TB 142.0 +26.5 105–196 +19.4
142 Juwan Johnson TE NO 143.0 +18.8 122–155 -4.9
143 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 143.2 -11.9 87–170 +11.3 CONTENTIOUS
144 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 144.6 +8.3 79–199 +24.4
145 Daniel Jones QB IND 145.0 +1.4 141–150 -16.7
146 Jalen McMillan WR TB 145.4 +8.0 131–173 -4.4
147 Travis Kelce TE KC 146.0 +8.4 89–177 +9.8
148 Tony Pollard RB TEN 146.6 +0.5 113–181 +2.8
149 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 146.6 -12.1 129–186 +0.6
150 Eli Raridon TE NE 148.0 +43.4 116–187 +9.2
151 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 149.2 -1.1 123–168 -5.1
152 Tre' Harris WR LAC 154.0 -12.5 106–174 +7.0
153 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 154.4 -25.7 133–197 +2.0
154 Matt Hibner TE BAL 157.0 +116.5 157–157 —
155 Ty Simpson QB LAR 157.2 -1.1 147–166 -12.3
156 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 157.5 +78.8 103–212 +33.4
157 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 157.7 +6.5 145–169 -11.3
158 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 157.8 +11.1 125–180 +0.7
159 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 157.8 -5.5 140–178 -9.0
160 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 158.0 +13.6 125–235 +23.5
161 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 159.2 +16.2 134–172 -5.8
162 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 160.0 -3.4 146–185 -7.4
163 Rachaad White RB WAS 160.2 +2.2 136–190 -3.7
164 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 161.2 +7.2 153–186 -8.8
165 Pat Bryant WR DEN 161.5 +6.1 135–194 +2.3
166 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 161.8 +24.3 116–184 +6.3
167 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 162.5 +0.6 145–183 -6.3
168 Travis Hunter WR JAC 162.8 -12.5 114–209 +13.4
169 Jordan Mason RB MIN 163.6 +1.2 158–181 -12.9
170 Hunter Henry TE NE 164.0 +11.9 144–184 -9.0
171 Woody Marks RB HOU 164.4 +4.6 108–193 +7.8 CONTENTIOUS
172 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 165.8 -6.3 138–192 -2.4
173 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 167.8 +13.2 135–183 -2.8
174 Troy Franklin WR DEN 167.8 +8.2 148–201 -0.1
175 Bryce Lance WR NO 168.0 +37.5 124–212 +21.9
176 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 169.5 +36.1 133–209 +13.4
177 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 172.8 -1.7 144–197 -1.5
178 Oscar Delp TE NO 173.3 +23.6 114–218 +21.1
179 AJ Barner TE SEA 174.4 -20.4 157–187 -10.6
180 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 177.3 +25.4 151–211 +2.1
181 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 177.4 -8.0 146–219 +1.2
182 Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL 179.2 -2.8 154–215 +1.9
183 Germie Bernard WR PIT 179.5 -22.9 134–225 +9.0
184 Jalen Nailor WR LV 181.0 +22.1 171–193 -14.2
185 Emmett Johnson RB KC 181.2 -8.0 153–200 -5.5
186 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 181.8 +6.1 160–241 +10.9 CONTENTIOUS
187 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 182.2 +16.9 122–227 +16.6
188 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 183.6 -2.7 164–219 -3.3
189 Max Klare TE LAR 183.8 +18.3 150–218 +5.3
190 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 184.0 +3.6 163–207 -7.1
191 J.J. McCarthy QB MIN 184.2 +34.7 147–235 +9.3 CONTENTIOUS
192 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 186.4 -3.0 164–216 -1.8
193 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 186.6 +4.5 156–210 -1.4
194 Elijah Arroyo TE SEA 188.0 +14.1 188–188 —
195 Chris Brazzell II WR CAR 188.7 +10.6 148–226 +7.9
196 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 190.7 -13.1 170–226 +0.9
197 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 191.0 +1.2 189–195 -21.4
198 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 192.6 +2.7 162–233 +2.9
199 Shedeur Sanders QB CLE 195.4 +8.7 167–222 -5.2
200 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 196.0 -12.8 161–231 +0.1

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.46 + 0.0931 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.