Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 1.4 | -0.2 | 1–2 | -6.1 | |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 1.6 | +1.3 | 1–2 | -6.1 | |
| 3 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 4.2 | +0.1 | 3–6 | -5.7 | |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 4.2 | -0.4 | 3–5 | -6.1 | |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 4.8 | -1.1 | 3–7 | -5.6 | |
| 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 6.0 | +0.3 | 3–8 | -5.3 | |
| 7 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 8.8 | +0.8 | 4–12 | -4.0 | |
| 8 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 9.4 | +0.7 | 8–11 | -6.0 | |
| 9 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 11.4 | +0.2 | 9–14 | -5.4 | |
| 10 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 11.4 | +0.0 | 7–18 | -3.9 | |
| 11 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 12.2 | -3.8 | 7–23 | -1.9 | |
| 12 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 14.2 | +1.4 | 9–18 | -4.8 | |
| 13 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 14.8 | -2.9 | 7–35 | +2.4 | |
| 14 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 15.2 | +0.0 | 8–20 | -3.8 | |
| 15 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 16.4 | +1.5 | 6–31 | +0.2 | |
| 16 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 17.6 | +1.0 | 13–22 | -5.0 | |
| 17 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 19.6 | -1.6 | 16–22 | -5.7 | |
| 18 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 20.2 | +4.4 | 9–33 | -0.5 | |
| 19 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 21.6 | -0.3 | 19–25 | -6.0 | |
| 20 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 21.8 | +3.4 | 12–30 | -2.5 | |
| 21 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 22.0 | -3.6 | 14–30 | -2.3 | |
| 22 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 22.0 | -1.1 | 15–30 | -3.2 | |
| 23 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 22.4 | -3.9 | 12–40 | +1.4 | |
| 24 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 22.8 | +5.8 | 16–29 | -4.3 | |
| 25 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 23.2 | +0.7 | 13–34 | -0.6 | |
| 26 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 27.2 | +4.2 | 13–37 | -1.1 | |
| 27 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 30.0 | -1.1 | 24–41 | -2.6 | |
| 28 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 32.6 | -4.5 | 25–49 | -0.4 | |
| 29 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 32.8 | +3.1 | 21–54 | +2.2 | |
| 30 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 33.8 | +0.8 | 24–41 | -3.8 | |
| 31 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 34.0 | -0.6 | 25–51 | -0.5 | |
| 32 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 34.2 | +1.7 | 18–47 | +3.6 | |
| 33 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 36.4 | -4.0 | 26–59 | +2.3 | |
| 34 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 38.4 | +3.7 | 26–51 | -0.3 | |
| 35 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 39.4 | +2.0 | 37–43 | -8.1 | |
| 36 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 41.8 | -5.9 | 36–51 | -4.7 | |
| 37 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 43.0 | -8.4 | 29–69 | +3.5 | |
| 38 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 43.0 | -1.0 | 28–63 | +1.5 | |
| 39 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 43.4 | +1.7 | 22–85 | +12.1 | |
| 40 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 43.8 | -5.2 | 32–59 | -0.1 | |
| 41 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 43.8 | -8.1 | 32–64 | +0.8 | |
| 42 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 44.8 | -9.3 | 20–71 | +11.3 | |
| 43 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 45.2 | -2.7 | 32–60 | +0.9 | |
| 44 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 45.8 | -1.8 | 34–57 | -2.9 | |
| 45 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 47.0 | +5.1 | 28–60 | +0.3 | |
| 46 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 47.8 | -0.0 | 33–76 | +5.7 | |
| 47 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 48.6 | +6.4 | 42–59 | -5.0 | |
| 48 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 49.0 | +0.0 | 43–58 | -5.4 | |
| 49 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 49.4 | -0.3 | 45–60 | -5.5 | |
| 50 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 51.8 | -2.4 | 37–76 | +2.5 | |
| 51 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 52.0 | -0.6 | 30–96 | +12.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 52 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 52.2 | -0.8 | 23–65 | +4.0 | |
| 53 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 53.4 | +1.2 | 37–64 | -2.4 | |
| 54 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 55.8 | -2.0 | 35–73 | +0.9 | |
| 55 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 55.8 | -0.3 | 41–80 | +3.0 | |
| 56 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 56.8 | +5.3 | 36–76 | +4.8 | |
| 57 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAC | 57.0 | +1.4 | 54–61 | -8.8 | |
| 58 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 57.8 | +30.5 | 44–75 | +0.6 | |
| 59 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 58.2 | -1.5 | 50–67 | -5.6 | |
| 60 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 58.2 | -2.1 | 52–67 | -5.8 | |
| 61 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | TE | ATL | 59.2 | +2.2 | 39–75 | +1.7 | |
| 62 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 60.8 | -1.6 | 40–92 | +7.2 | |
| 63 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 62.0 | +5.1 | 54–72 | -5.5 | |
| 64 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 62.4 | +10.3 | 49–72 | -3.4 | |
| 65 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 64.6 | -3.4 | 59–70 | -8.2 | |
| 66 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 65.0 | +0.1 | 48–82 | -1.2 | |
| 67 | KC Concepcion Jr. | WR | CLE | 66.0 | — | 34–94 | +6.8 | |
| 68 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 67.8 | +8.6 | 43–93 | +6.2 | |
| 69 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 68.0 | +0.9 | 52–86 | -1.9 | |
| 70 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 68.4 | -12.3 | 58–89 | -2.0 | |
| 71 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 73.6 | -3.2 | 40–92 | +4.8 | |
| 72 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 73.6 | +2.5 | 56–91 | -2.1 | |
| 73 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 73.6 | +0.8 | 52–100 | +3.9 | |
| 74 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 73.8 | -9.9 | 62–90 | -3.4 | |
| 75 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 74.0 | -4.4 | 66–88 | -5.5 | |
| 76 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 75.2 | +8.4 | 62–82 | -6.2 | |
| 77 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 75.2 | +4.5 | 66–80 | -8.5 | |
| 78 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 75.4 | +8.0 | 60–96 | -0.4 | |
| 79 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 75.8 | -7.2 | 56–110 | +7.6 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 80 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 77.4 | -1.0 | 70–92 | -6.0 | |
| 81 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 80.0 | -1.2 | 64–89 | -5.1 | |
| 82 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 81.4 | -10.3 | 67–90 | -5.6 | |
| 83 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 83.8 | -1.7 | 66–97 | -4.2 | |
| 84 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 84.2 | +0.1 | 71–97 | -4.9 | |
| 85 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 87.0 | -4.2 | 75–96 | -7.3 | |
| 86 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 87.2 | +1.2 | 77–101 | -6.3 | |
| 87 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 88.2 | +6.5 | 39–125 | +14.2 | |
| 88 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 89.6 | +15.9 | 61–109 | +0.9 | |
| 89 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 90.4 | +0.6 | 42–122 | +12.3 | |
| 90 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 93.2 | -0.9 | 84–109 | -5.5 | |
| 91 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 94.2 | -15.4 | 71–129 | +4.1 | |
| 92 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 96.4 | +0.5 | 83–109 | -7.1 | |
| 93 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 96.6 | -2.4 | 83–131 | +2.1 | |
| 94 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 97.6 | -2.9 | 68–177 | +24.5 | |
| 95 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 100.6 | -0.5 | 85–107 | -7.7 | |
| 96 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 101.0 | +3.3 | 90–108 | -9.9 | |
| 97 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 103.8 | -1.9 | 95–122 | -6.5 | |
| 98 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 105.0 | -5.4 | 95–112 | -9.3 | |
| 99 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 105.4 | -7.0 | 99–117 | -10.0 | |
| 100 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 106.0 | -4.6 | 85–138 | +1.4 | |
| 101 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 107.2 | -9.2 | 75–145 | +11.2 | |
| 102 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 108.6 | +3.0 | 96–121 | -7.9 | |
| 103 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 108.6 | +9.7 | 84–127 | -2.7 | |
| 104 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 108.8 | -2.4 | 88–131 | +1.5 | |
| 105 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 109.8 | -9.8 | 73–152 | +8.8 | |
| 106 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 110.8 | -3.0 | 82–135 | +1.5 | |
| 107 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 111.4 | -13.0 | 79–143 | +6.5 | |
| 108 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 111.6 | +0.3 | 93–121 | -7.2 | |
| 109 | Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 112.4 | -5.6 | 81–155 | +8.8 | |
| 110 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 113.8 | +1.8 | 95–136 | +0.3 | |
| 111 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 114.0 | +10.7 | 94–119 | -7.1 | |
| 112 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 114.2 | +9.3 | 81–124 | -0.4 | |
| 113 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 116.6 | -7.6 | 100–145 | -2.0 | |
| 114 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 116.6 | -4.2 | 101–128 | -7.8 | |
| 115 | Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 118.4 | -1.5 | 109–153 | -0.2 | |
| 116 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 118.8 | +1.1 | 91–170 | +14.2 | |
| 117 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAC | 120.2 | -6.6 | 113–133 | -10.8 | |
| 118 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 122.0 | +6.6 | 108–139 | -5.9 | |
| 119 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 122.6 | +16.0 | 79–180 | +15.6 | |
| 120 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 123.0 | -3.1 | 100–149 | +0.5 | |
| 121 | Ricky Pearsall | WR | SF | 123.2 | +3.5 | 99–176 | +13.5 | |
| 122 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 125.2 | -2.8 | 95–152 | +0.7 | |
| 123 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 126.8 | -2.3 | 93–146 | +1.0 | |
| 124 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 127.6 | +6.8 | 101–181 | +10.3 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 125 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 128.4 | +6.5 | 112–142 | -8.2 | |
| 126 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 129.0 | +6.4 | 100–190 | +12.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 127 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 130.0 | -12.7 | 107–149 | -4.9 | |
| 128 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 130.4 | +8.4 | 113–171 | +2.8 | |
| 129 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 131.4 | +8.0 | 87–154 | +4.3 | |
| 130 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 133.6 | +7.1 | 125–142 | -12.4 | |
| 131 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 133.6 | -6.6 | 111–142 | -7.3 | |
| 132 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 134.0 | -14.3 | 104–207 | +18.2 | |
| 133 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 135.0 | -7.2 | 111–147 | -6.6 | |
| 134 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 135.2 | -0.6 | 129–140 | -14.8 | |
| 135 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 135.4 | -3.3 | 120–146 | -9.5 | |
| 136 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 135.7 | +8.4 | 116–148 | -5.0 | |
| 137 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 135.8 | -0.2 | 126–147 | -10.5 | |
| 138 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 136.0 | +18.6 | 96–167 | +4.9 | |
| 139 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 139.2 | +9.0 | 115–161 | -1.2 | |
| 140 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 139.4 | +8.8 | 105–238 | +30.3 | |
| 141 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | 142.0 | +26.5 | 105–196 | +19.4 | |
| 142 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 143.0 | +18.8 | 122–155 | -4.9 | |
| 143 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 143.2 | -11.9 | 87–170 | +11.3 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 144 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 144.6 | +8.3 | 79–199 | +24.4 | |
| 145 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 145.0 | +1.4 | 141–150 | -16.7 | |
| 146 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 145.4 | +8.0 | 131–173 | -4.4 | |
| 147 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 146.0 | +8.4 | 89–177 | +9.8 | |
| 148 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 146.6 | +0.5 | 113–181 | +2.8 | |
| 149 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 146.6 | -12.1 | 129–186 | +0.6 | |
| 150 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 148.0 | +43.4 | 116–187 | +9.2 | |
| 151 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 149.2 | -1.1 | 123–168 | -5.1 | |
| 152 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 154.0 | -12.5 | 106–174 | +7.0 | |
| 153 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 154.4 | -25.7 | 133–197 | +2.0 | |
| 154 | Matt Hibner | TE | BAL | 157.0 | +116.5 | 157–157 | — | |
| 155 | Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | 157.2 | -1.1 | 147–166 | -12.3 | |
| 156 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | 157.5 | +78.8 | 103–212 | +33.4 | |
| 157 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 157.7 | +6.5 | 145–169 | -11.3 | |
| 158 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 157.8 | +11.1 | 125–180 | +0.7 | |
| 159 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 157.8 | -5.5 | 140–178 | -9.0 | |
| 160 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 158.0 | +13.6 | 125–235 | +23.5 | |
| 161 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 159.2 | +16.2 | 134–172 | -5.8 | |
| 162 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 160.0 | -3.4 | 146–185 | -7.4 | |
| 163 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 160.2 | +2.2 | 136–190 | -3.7 | |
| 164 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 161.2 | +7.2 | 153–186 | -8.8 | |
| 165 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 161.5 | +6.1 | 135–194 | +2.3 | |
| 166 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 161.8 | +24.3 | 116–184 | +6.3 | |
| 167 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 162.5 | +0.6 | 145–183 | -6.3 | |
| 168 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAC | 162.8 | -12.5 | 114–209 | +13.4 | |
| 169 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 163.6 | +1.2 | 158–181 | -12.9 | |
| 170 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 164.0 | +11.9 | 144–184 | -9.0 | |
| 171 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 164.4 | +4.6 | 108–193 | +7.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 172 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 165.8 | -6.3 | 138–192 | -2.4 | |
| 173 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | HOU | 167.8 | +13.2 | 135–183 | -2.8 | |
| 174 | Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 167.8 | +8.2 | 148–201 | -0.1 | |
| 175 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 168.0 | +37.5 | 124–212 | +21.9 | |
| 176 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 169.5 | +36.1 | 133–209 | +13.4 | |
| 177 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 172.8 | -1.7 | 144–197 | -1.5 | |
| 178 | Oscar Delp | TE | NO | 173.3 | +23.6 | 114–218 | +21.1 | |
| 179 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 174.4 | -20.4 | 157–187 | -10.6 | |
| 180 | Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 177.3 | +25.4 | 151–211 | +2.1 | |
| 181 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 177.4 | -8.0 | 146–219 | +1.2 | |
| 182 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 179.2 | -2.8 | 154–215 | +1.9 | |
| 183 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 179.5 | -22.9 | 134–225 | +9.0 | |
| 184 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 181.0 | +22.1 | 171–193 | -14.2 | |
| 185 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 181.2 | -8.0 | 153–200 | -5.5 | |
| 186 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 181.8 | +6.1 | 160–241 | +10.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 187 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 182.2 | +16.9 | 122–227 | +16.6 | |
| 188 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 183.6 | -2.7 | 164–219 | -3.3 | |
| 189 | Max Klare | TE | LAR | 183.8 | +18.3 | 150–218 | +5.3 | |
| 190 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 184.0 | +3.6 | 163–207 | -7.1 | |
| 191 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 184.2 | +34.7 | 147–235 | +9.3 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 192 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 186.4 | -3.0 | 164–216 | -1.8 | |
| 193 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 186.6 | +4.5 | 156–210 | -1.4 | |
| 194 | Elijah Arroyo | TE | SEA | 188.0 | +14.1 | 188–188 | — | |
| 195 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | 188.7 | +10.6 | 148–226 | +7.9 | |
| 196 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | BAL | 190.7 | -13.1 | 170–226 | +0.9 | |
| 197 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 191.0 | +1.2 | 189–195 | -21.4 | |
| 198 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 192.6 | +2.7 | 162–233 | +2.9 | |
| 199 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 195.4 | +8.7 | 167–222 | -5.2 | |
| 200 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 196.0 | -12.8 | 161–231 | +0.1 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.46 + 0.0931 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.