Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3.5 | -1.9 | 2–7 | -6.8 | |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 5.0 | -0.3 | 2–7 | -6.9 | |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 6.8 | -1.4 | 6–8 | -8.5 | |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 9.7 | -0.7 | 9–13 | -7.8 | |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 10.2 | -7.0 | 6–13 | -6.4 | |
| 6 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 12.0 | -2.6 | 8–22 | -4.6 | |
| 7 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 12.0 | +6.0 | 8–16 | -7.1 | |
| 8 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 19.8 | +0.6 | 16–26 | -5.5 | |
| 9 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 21.3 | +2.7 | 16–29 | -5.2 | |
| 10 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 21.8 | +8.5 | 16–29 | -5.2 | |
| 11 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 22.0 | -6.0 | 13–31 | -3.6 | |
| 12 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 26.7 | -13.8 | 20–45 | -0.8 | |
| 13 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 29.2 | +5.6 | 12–35 | -2.5 | |
| 14 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 29.7 | +33.6 | 16–49 | +3.4 | |
| 15 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 30.0 | -5.5 | 26–34 | -7.9 | |
| 16 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 33.2 | -3.6 | 31–40 | -7.5 | |
| 17 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 36.3 | +0.6 | 33–40 | -8.0 | |
| 18 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 36.8 | +20.8 | 29–45 | -5.0 | |
| 19 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 38.2 | -2.6 | 33–44 | -6.6 | |
| 20 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 39.8 | +1.0 | 35–46 | -6.0 | |
| 21 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 43.2 | -8.3 | 36–50 | -6.2 | |
| 22 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 43.7 | -19.0 | 33–58 | -2.3 | |
| 23 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 45.0 | +7.1 | 33–49 | -5.6 | |
| 24 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 46.7 | +9.5 | 36–58 | -4.8 | |
| 25 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 49.5 | +0.6 | 32–61 | -0.4 | |
| 26 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 54.0 | -39.8 | 34–72 | +0.7 | |
| 27 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 56.7 | -9.7 | 50–60 | -7.1 | |
| 28 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 57.3 | -10.2 | 50–67 | -6.0 | |
| 29 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 59.0 | -4.3 | 48–65 | -6.3 | |
| 30 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 62.7 | +62.0 | 50–84 | +0.1 | |
| 31 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 64.3 | +22.9 | 48–83 | +0.5 | |
| 32 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 66.2 | -8.7 | 61–77 | -7.2 | |
| 33 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 66.7 | +29.8 | 49–76 | -3.3 | |
| 34 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 67.3 | +9.2 | 53–77 | -4.6 | |
| 35 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 70.0 | +8.9 | 64–82 | -5.6 | |
| 36 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 74.0 | -5.7 | 53–103 | +3.6 | |
| 37 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 74.5 | +54.3 | 61–91 | -0.7 | |
| 38 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 77.8 | +60.7 | 68–87 | -7.0 | |
| 39 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 78.8 | +4.5 | 67–102 | -0.2 | |
| 40 | KC Concepcion Jr. | WR | CLE | 80.7 | — | 71–97 | -3.9 | |
| 41 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 83.3 | +67.3 | 65–116 | +5.8 | |
| 42 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 86.0 | -6.0 | 72–112 | -0.4 | |
| 43 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 86.7 | -1.1 | 76–97 | -6.1 | |
| 44 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 88.5 | +7.2 | 75–112 | -1.9 | |
| 45 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 89.3 | +38.0 | 77–112 | -0.2 | |
| 46 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 89.8 | -1.5 | 68–110 | +1.5 | |
| 47 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 93.7 | +10.8 | 90–99 | -9.9 | |
| 48 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 93.7 | +16.0 | 71–117 | +4.2 | |
| 49 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 99.5 | +6.1 | 84–117 | -4.3 | |
| 50 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 101.5 | +21.9 | 83–110 | -5.2 | |
| 51 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 103.7 | -35.1 | 68–169 | +21.6 | |
| 52 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 104.5 | -24.1 | 71–140 | +12.1 | |
| 53 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 104.5 | +62.3 | 81–132 | +6.8 | |
| 54 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 106.3 | +23.0 | 78–138 | +6.5 | |
| 55 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 108.8 | -8.5 | 81–155 | +13.8 | |
| 56 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 109.2 | +77.6 | 76–131 | +7.0 | |
| 57 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 118.3 | +16.8 | 93–142 | +0.6 | |
| 58 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | HOU | 130.3 | +49.1 | 116–138 | -8.9 | |
| 59 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 133.2 | +78.0 | 110–169 | +3.2 | |
| 60 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 135.3 | +27.6 | 90–247 | +37.1 | |
| 61 | Keenan Allen | WR | IND | 140.2 | +53.5 | 112–182 | +9.5 | |
| 62 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 144.0 | +4.8 | 122–210 | +13.7 | |
| 63 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 146.0 | +35.2 | 131–195 | +5.7 | |
| 64 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 147.5 | +101.1 | 87–238 | +43.2 | |
| 65 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 151.8 | -47.6 | 93–208 | +31.2 | |
| 66 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 152.2 | +38.5 | 99–221 | +19.2 | |
| 67 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 152.7 | +73.4 | 110–208 | +15.0 | |
| 68 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 164.8 | +71.2 | 138–210 | +6.8 | |
| 69 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 169.0 | -36.0 | 102–257 | +34.5 | |
| 70 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 178.0 | +12.6 | 162–209 | +0.1 | |
| 71 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 187.0 | +13.4 | 166–202 | -6.8 | |
| 72 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 188.0 | +56.0 | 132–234 | +12.7 | |
| 73 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 188.8 | +45.1 | 141–210 | +6.9 | |
| 74 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 190.7 | -22.7 | 142–234 | +8.6 | |
| 75 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 190.7 | -0.4 | 141–246 | +14.2 | |
| 76 | Ted Hurst III | WR | TB | 192.3 | +50.6 | 138–226 | +19.0 | |
| 77 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 205.2 | -24.3 | 162–243 | +5.7 | |
| 78 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 206.3 | -39.8 | 182–241 | +2.2 | |
| 79 | Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 213.3 | +9.6 | 178–226 | -3.3 | |
| 80 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 213.3 | -40.7 | 178–246 | +4.0 | |
| 81 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 216.3 | -31.5 | 142–322 | +34.8 | |
| 82 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 216.8 | +5.8 | 195–231 | -8.1 | |
| 83 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 220.2 | +69.5 | 126–240 | +21.7 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.