Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 1.8 | -0.2 | 1–4 | -7.4 | |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 3.1 | +0.1 | 1–7 | -7.4 | |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 4.5 | -0.3 | 1–9 | -7.4 | |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 5.9 | +0.2 | 4–9 | -7.6 | |
| 5 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 8.8 | -0.0 | 6–17 | -7.3 | |
| 6 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 9.2 | -0.1 | 4–20 | -6.9 | |
| 7 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 12.9 | -1.0 | 8–28 | -5.2 | |
| 8 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 15.2 | +1.0 | 8–36 | -4.0 | |
| 9 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 16.6 | -1.7 | 12–38 | -5.2 | |
| 10 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 19.1 | -1.0 | 9–40 | -4.7 | |
| 11 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 20.1 | +2.6 | 8–45 | -1.9 | |
| 12 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 21.7 | -2.4 | 11–44 | -3.0 | |
| 13 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 24.4 | +1.6 | 11–44 | -3.2 | |
| 14 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 29.9 | +3.8 | 12–49 | -1.3 | |
| 15 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 30.7 | -1.0 | 15–52 | -3.3 | |
| 16 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 33.4 | -1.2 | 11–64 | +1.3 | |
| 17 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 33.5 | -3.7 | 15–51 | -2.7 | |
| 18 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 35.3 | -2.1 | 19–52 | -3.7 | |
| 19 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 35.9 | +0.1 | 15–51 | -3.4 | |
| 20 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 37.4 | +2.1 | 18–62 | -3.2 | |
| 21 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 37.7 | +4.3 | 14–60 | -2.8 | |
| 22 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 43.7 | +0.1 | 28–62 | -5.8 | |
| 23 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 45.3 | -0.6 | 29–69 | -5.2 | |
| 24 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 49.1 | -0.4 | 34–81 | -5.4 | |
| 25 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 51.7 | +1.2 | 28–91 | -2.3 | |
| 26 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 53.6 | -0.3 | 19–100 | +0.4 | |
| 27 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 55.4 | -2.9 | 42–91 | -4.2 | |
| 28 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 57.6 | -0.8 | 40–110 | -1.5 | |
| 29 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 59.4 | +0.4 | 42–96 | -3.3 | |
| 30 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 66.8 | -4.1 | 42–192 | +8.8 | |
| 31 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 70.2 | -0.1 | 45–115 | +0.2 | |
| 32 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 77.3 | +5.7 | 49–116 | -0.4 | |
| 33 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 78.0 | -3.2 | 51–109 | -2.3 | |
| 34 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 78.3 | +13.7 | 48–123 | +3.2 | |
| 35 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 79.7 | +1.1 | 42–109 | -2.1 | |
| 36 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 82.5 | +0.7 | 42–117 | -1.1 | |
| 37 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 82.7 | -6.2 | 49–110 | -0.4 | |
| 38 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 82.7 | -8.8 | 51–121 | +1.4 | |
| 39 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 87.3 | +1.0 | 45–136 | +0.3 | |
| 40 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 87.8 | +10.9 | 51–128 | +1.2 | |
| 41 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 88.8 | -3.3 | 51–241 | +12.1 | |
| 42 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 89.2 | -3.1 | 53–128 | -1.4 | |
| 43 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 99.5 | -6.7 | 62–149 | +1.3 | |
| 44 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 100.2 | +7.7 | 64–133 | -1.8 | |
| 45 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 101.9 | -7.6 | 64–232 | +7.7 | |
| 46 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 106.3 | +2.0 | 69–170 | -2.2 | |
| 47 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 108.2 | +3.6 | 81–142 | -3.5 | |
| 48 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 120.8 | +0.1 | 90–163 | -5.1 | |
| 49 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 122.0 | -3.9 | 88–163 | -3.4 | |
| 50 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 123.3 | +1.9 | 86–163 | -5.2 | |
| 51 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 128.0 | +6.9 | 96–178 | -4.1 | |
| 52 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 129.1 | +0.7 | 91–174 | -4.5 | |
| 53 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 133.0 | -3.5 | 82–298 | +15.4 | |
| 54 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 136.1 | +5.4 | 90–197 | -0.7 | |
| 55 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 144.4 | +18.3 | 76–302 | +31.2 | |
| 56 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 147.4 | +6.8 | 117–178 | -7.5 | |
| 57 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 148.9 | +34.6 | 71–239 | +17.3 | |
| 58 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 154.8 | -1.8 | 91–276 | +6.3 | |
| 59 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 159.6 | -3.6 | 126–247 | +1.1 | |
| 60 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 159.9 | -5.1 | 116–309 | +11.0 | |
| 61 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 164.4 | -7.8 | 128–299 | +9.8 | |
| 62 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 167.7 | +3.5 | 126–291 | +6.1 | |
| 63 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 168.6 | +5.6 | 126–284 | +5.6 | |
| 64 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAC | 170.8 | +2.0 | 96–289 | +9.3 | |
| 65 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 173.8 | +3.6 | 119–287 | +7.2 | |
| 66 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 182.2 | +0.2 | 136–293 | +5.1 | |
| 67 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 184.8 | +5.9 | 149–319 | +3.5 | |
| 68 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | 192.3 | -5.0 | 133–270 | +3.8 | |
| 69 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 195.2 | +11.7 | 110–305 | +17.1 | |
| 70 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 195.3 | +1.4 | 128–298 | +8.9 | |
| 71 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 195.5 | +39.4 | 121–391 | +30.4 | |
| 72 | Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 195.6 | -8.7 | 126–319 | +13.0 | |
| 73 | Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 200.7 | +0.9 | 137–323 | +9.0 | |
| 74 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 201.0 | +19.1 | 133–297 | +13.6 | |
| 75 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 201.3 | +3.0 | 161–293 | +0.4 | |
| 76 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 202.4 | +15.3 | 140–268 | +1.1 | |
| 77 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 203.8 | -10.6 | 128–318 | +19.9 | |
| 78 | Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | 207.3 | +1.0 | 149–297 | +0.2 | |
| 79 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 208.6 | -0.9 | 165–291 | +1.3 | |
| 80 | Tank Dell | WR | HOU | 220.8 | +11.2 | 165–312 | +2.5 | |
| 81 | Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 222.3 | +7.4 | 140–298 | +4.0 | |
| 82 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 223.4 | +15.7 | 165–295 | +2.4 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.