Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.8 -0.2 1–4 -7.4
2 Puka Nacua WR LAR 3.1 +0.1 1–7 -7.4
3 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 4.5 -0.3 1–9 -7.4
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 5.9 +0.2 4–9 -7.6
5 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 8.8 -0.0 6–17 -7.3
6 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 9.2 -0.1 4–20 -6.9
7 Drake London WR ATL 12.9 -1.0 8–28 -5.2
8 A.J. Brown WR NE 15.2 +1.0 8–36 -4.0
9 Nico Collins WR HOU 16.6 -1.7 12–38 -5.2
10 George Pickens WR DAL 19.1 -1.0 9–40 -4.7
11 Rashee Rice WR KC 20.1 +2.6 8–45 -1.9
12 Chris Olave WR NO 21.7 -2.4 11–44 -3.0
13 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 24.4 +1.6 11–44 -3.2
14 Zay Flowers WR BAL 29.9 +3.8 12–49 -1.3
15 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 30.7 -1.0 15–52 -3.3
16 Malik Nabers WR NYG 33.4 -1.2 11–64 +1.3
17 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 33.5 -3.7 15–51 -2.7
18 Tee Higgins WR CIN 35.3 -2.1 19–52 -3.7
19 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 35.9 +0.1 15–51 -3.4
20 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 37.4 +2.1 18–62 -3.2
21 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 37.7 +4.3 14–60 -2.8
22 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 43.7 +0.1 28–62 -5.8
23 Luther Burden III WR CHI 45.3 -0.6 29–69 -5.2
24 Davante Adams WR LAR 49.1 -0.4 34–81 -5.4
25 Mike Evans WR SF 51.7 +1.2 28–91 -2.3
26 DJ Moore WR BUF 53.6 -0.3 19–100 +0.4
27 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.4 -2.9 42–91 -4.2
28 Christian Watson WR GB 57.6 -0.8 40–110 -1.5
29 Rome Odunze WR CHI 59.4 +0.4 42–96 -3.3
30 Carnell Tate WR TEN 66.8 -4.1 42–192 +8.8
31 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 70.2 -0.1 45–115 +0.2
32 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 77.3 +5.7 49–116 -0.4
33 DK Metcalf WR PIT 78.0 -3.2 51–109 -2.3
34 Parker Washington WR JAC 78.3 +13.7 48–123 +3.2
35 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 79.7 +1.1 42–109 -2.1
36 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 82.5 +0.7 42–117 -1.1
37 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 82.7 -6.2 49–110 -0.4
38 Alec Pierce WR IND 82.7 -8.8 51–121 +1.4
39 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 87.3 +1.0 45–136 +0.3
40 Josh Downs WR IND 87.8 +10.9 51–128 +1.2
41 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 88.8 -3.3 51–241 +12.1
42 Michael Wilson WR ARI 89.2 -3.1 53–128 -1.4
43 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 99.5 -6.7 62–149 +1.3
44 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 100.2 +7.7 64–133 -1.8
45 Makai Lemon WR PHI 101.9 -7.6 64–232 +7.7
46 Jordan Addison WR MIN 106.3 +2.0 69–170 -2.2
47 Jayden Reed WR GB 108.2 +3.6 81–142 -3.5
48 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 120.8 +0.1 90–163 -5.1
49 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 122.0 -3.9 88–163 -3.4
50 Xavier Worthy WR KC 123.3 +1.9 86–163 -5.2
51 Jalen Coker WR CAR 128.0 +6.9 96–178 -4.1
52 Romeo Doubs WR NE 129.1 +0.7 91–174 -4.5
53 KC Concepcion WR CLE 133.0 -3.5 82–298 +15.4
54 Matthew Golden WR GB 136.1 +5.4 90–197 -0.7
55 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 144.4 +18.3 76–302 +31.2
56 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 147.4 +6.8 117–178 -7.5
57 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 148.9 +34.6 71–239 +17.3
58 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 154.8 -1.8 91–276 +6.3
59 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 159.6 -3.6 126–247 +1.1
60 Denzel Boston WR CLE 159.9 -5.1 116–309 +11.0
61 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 164.4 -7.8 128–299 +9.8
62 Jalen McMillan WR TB 167.7 +3.5 126–291 +6.1
63 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 168.6 +5.6 126–284 +5.6
64 Travis Hunter WR JAC 170.8 +2.0 96–289 +9.3
65 Tre Tucker WR LV 173.8 +3.6 119–287 +7.2
66 Tre' Harris WR LAC 182.2 +0.2 136–293 +5.1
67 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 184.8 +5.9 149–319 +3.5
68 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 192.3 -5.0 133–270 +3.8
69 Jalen Nailor WR LV 195.2 +11.7 110–305 +17.1
70 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 195.3 +1.4 128–298 +8.9
71 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 195.5 +39.4 121–391 +30.4
72 Troy Franklin WR DEN 195.6 -8.7 126–319 +13.0
73 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 200.7 +0.9 137–323 +9.0
74 Malik Washington WR MIA 201.0 +19.1 133–297 +13.6
75 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 201.3 +3.0 161–293 +0.4
76 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 202.4 +15.3 140–268 +1.1
77 Antonio Williams WR WAS 203.8 -10.6 128–318 +19.9
78 Darnell Mooney WR NYG 207.3 +1.0 149–297 +0.2
79 Pat Bryant WR DEN 208.6 -0.9 165–291 +1.3
80 Tank Dell WR HOU 220.8 +11.2 165–312 +2.5
81 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 222.3 +7.4 140–298 +4.0
82 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 223.4 +15.7 165–295 +2.4

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.