Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 3.5 -1.9 2–7 -6.8
2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 5.0 -0.3 2–7 -6.9
3 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.8 -1.4 6–8 -8.5
4 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 9.7 -0.7 9–13 -7.8
5 Puka Nacua WR LAR 10.2 -7.0 6–13 -6.4
6 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 12.0 -2.6 8–22 -4.6
7 Chris Olave WR NO 12.0 +6.0 8–16 -7.1
8 George Pickens WR DAL 19.8 +0.6 16–26 -5.5
9 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 21.3 +2.7 16–29 -5.2
10 Zay Flowers WR BAL 21.8 +8.5 16–29 -5.2
11 Nico Collins WR HOU 22.0 -6.0 13–31 -3.6
12 Drake London WR ATL 26.7 -13.8 20–45 -0.8
13 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 29.2 +5.6 12–35 -2.5
14 Parker Washington WR JAC 29.7 +33.6 16–49 +3.4
15 Malik Nabers WR NYG 30.0 -5.5 26–34 -7.9
16 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 33.2 -3.6 31–40 -7.5
17 Tee Higgins WR CIN 36.3 +0.6 33–40 -8.0
18 Christian Watson WR GB 36.8 +20.8 29–45 -5.0
19 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 38.2 -2.6 33–44 -6.6
20 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 39.8 +1.0 35–46 -6.0
21 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 43.2 -8.3 36–50 -6.2
22 Rashee Rice WR KC 43.7 -19.0 33–58 -2.3
23 DJ Moore WR BUF 45.0 +7.1 33–49 -5.6
24 Mike Evans WR SF 46.7 +9.5 36–58 -4.8
25 Davante Adams WR LAR 49.5 +0.6 32–61 -0.4
26 A.J. Brown WR NE 54.0 -39.8 34–72 +0.7
27 Luther Burden III WR CHI 56.7 -9.7 50–60 -7.1
28 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 57.3 -10.2 50–67 -6.0
29 Jameson Williams WR DET 59.0 -4.3 48–65 -6.3
30 Jalen Coker WR CAR 62.7 +62.0 50–84 +0.1
31 Josh Downs WR IND 64.3 +22.9 48–83 +0.5
32 Rome Odunze WR CHI 66.2 -8.7 61–77 -7.2
33 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 66.7 +29.8 49–76 -3.3
34 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 67.3 +9.2 53–77 -4.6
35 DK Metcalf WR PIT 70.0 +8.9 64–82 -5.6
36 Carnell Tate WR TEN 74.0 -5.7 53–103 +3.6
37 Matthew Golden WR GB 74.5 +54.3 61–91 -0.7
38 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 77.8 +60.7 68–87 -7.0
39 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 78.8 +4.5 67–102 -0.2
40 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 80.7 — 71–97 -3.9
41 Denzel Boston WR CLE 83.3 +67.3 65–116 +5.8
42 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 86.0 -6.0 72–112 -0.4
43 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 86.7 -1.1 76–97 -6.1
44 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 88.5 +7.2 75–112 -1.9
45 Romeo Doubs WR NE 89.3 +38.0 77–112 -0.2
46 Michael Wilson WR ARI 89.8 -1.5 68–110 +1.5
47 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 93.7 +10.8 90–99 -9.9
48 Makai Lemon WR PHI 93.7 +16.0 71–117 +4.2
49 Jordan Addison WR MIN 99.5 +6.1 84–117 -4.3
50 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 101.5 +21.9 83–110 -5.2
51 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 103.7 -35.1 68–169 +21.6
52 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 104.5 -24.1 71–140 +12.1
53 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 104.5 +62.3 81–132 +6.8
54 Xavier Worthy WR KC 106.3 +23.0 78–138 +6.5
55 Alec Pierce WR IND 108.8 -8.5 81–155 +13.8
56 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 109.2 +77.6 76–131 +7.0
57 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 118.3 +16.8 93–142 +0.6
58 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 130.3 +49.1 116–138 -8.9
59 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 133.2 +78.0 110–169 +3.2
60 Tre Tucker WR LV 135.3 +27.6 90–247 +37.1
61 Keenan Allen WR IND 140.2 +53.5 112–182 +9.5
62 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 144.0 +4.8 122–210 +13.7
63 Tre' Harris WR LAC 146.0 +35.2 131–195 +5.7
64 Devaughn Vele WR NO 147.5 +101.1 87–238 +43.2
65 Jayden Reed WR GB 151.8 -47.6 93–208 +31.2
66 Pat Bryant WR DEN 152.2 +38.5 99–221 +19.2
67 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 152.7 +73.4 110–208 +15.0
68 Malachi Fields WR NYG 164.8 +71.2 138–210 +6.8
69 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 169.0 -36.0 102–257 +34.5
70 Malik Washington WR MIA 178.0 +12.6 162–209 +0.1
71 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 187.0 +13.4 166–202 -6.8
72 Chris Bell WR MIA 188.0 +56.0 132–234 +12.7
73 Antonio Williams WR WAS 188.8 +45.1 141–210 +6.9
74 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 190.7 -22.7 142–234 +8.6
75 Jalen Nailor WR LV 190.7 -0.4 141–246 +14.2
76 Ted Hurst III WR TB 192.3 +50.6 138–226 +19.0
77 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 205.2 -24.3 162–243 +5.7
78 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 206.3 -39.8 182–241 +2.2
79 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 213.3 +9.6 178–226 -3.3
80 Jalen McMillan WR TB 213.3 -40.7 178–246 +4.0
81 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 216.3 -31.5 142–322 +34.8
82 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 216.8 +5.8 195–231 -8.1
83 Bryce Lance WR NO 220.2 +69.5 126–240 +21.7

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.