Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Josh Allen QB BUF 25.0 +0.8 25–25 —
2 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 27.5 +4.6 27–30 -9.1
3 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 34.3 +22.2 27–59 +0.5
4 Drake Maye QB NE 51.2 -13.5 30–79 +6.7 CONTENTIOUS
5 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 51.5 +26.3 37–63 -0.9
6 Joe Burrow QB CIN 56.2 -10.4 37–74 -0.9
7 Brock Purdy QB SF 65.2 +31.3 37–79 +1.9
8 Dak Prescott QB DAL 71.3 +6.9 54–92 -0.0
9 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 79.0 +22.5 63–98 +0.2
10 Caleb Williams QB CHI 84.2 -17.1 54–114 +9.0 CONTENTIOUS
11 Jared Goff QB DET 87.3 +19.1 70–98 -2.2
12 Justin Herbert QB LAC 89.7 -18.0 70–104 +0.8
13 Jordan Love QB GB 104.5 +14.5 98–108 -11.0
14 Tyler Shough QB NO 104.8 +19.5 98–113 -9.5
15 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 105.3 -1.0 98–114 -8.2
16 Bo Nix QB DEN 110.7 -11.4 101–119 -7.7
17 Bryce Young QB CAR 115.0 +57.1 105–139 -3.5
18 Malik Willis QB MIA 115.5 +14.5 105–129 -7.0
19 Kyler Murray QB MIN 124.2 -11.4 114–139 -7.2
20 Baker Mayfield QB TB 126.3 -7.9 125–129 -13.6
21 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 134.5 +10.8 129–147 -9.9
22 Daniel Jones QB IND 143.3 +4.7 134–159 -7.6
23 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 149.8 -96.6 104–281 +44.1 CONTENTIOUS
24 Sam Darnold QB SEA 171.7 -31.7 139–285 +33.1 CONTENTIOUS
25 Geno Smith QB NYJ 173.2 +49.2 139–241 +21.8 CONTENTIOUS
26 Cam Ward QB TEN 183.3 -26.8 147–242 +15.4 CONTENTIOUS
27 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 197.8 +18.9 159–242 +8.7 CONTENTIOUS
28 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 218.0 -23.6 179–242 +2.7

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.