Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 1.5 | +0.3 | 1–2 | -6.4 | |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 1.7 | -0.5 | 1–3 | -6.1 | |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 7.8 | +2.0 | 4–20 | -2.0 | |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 9.7 | -0.5 | 6–14 | -5.1 | |
| 5 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 10.3 | +0.3 | 6–15 | -4.5 | |
| 6 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 12.2 | +1.5 | 9–16 | -5.0 | |
| 7 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 14.7 | -0.3 | 13–18 | -6.5 | |
| 8 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 16.0 | +0.0 | 11–18 | -5.5 | |
| 9 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 16.2 | -5.0 | 9–31 | -0.4 | |
| 10 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 21.2 | -1.5 | 12–37 | +0.0 | |
| 11 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 23.2 | -4.8 | 13–44 | +2.3 | |
| 12 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 25.8 | -4.0 | 16–48 | +1.3 | |
| 13 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 27.2 | +2.5 | 24–36 | -5.3 | |
| 14 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 28.2 | -0.3 | 19–39 | -3.0 | |
| 15 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 32.7 | +4.2 | 20–45 | -0.8 | |
| 16 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 37.0 | -7.2 | 23–57 | +0.8 | |
| 17 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 41.7 | +4.3 | 24–56 | +1.0 | |
| 18 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 45.0 | -5.2 | 33–64 | -0.1 | |
| 19 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 53.2 | +1.8 | 37–86 | +5.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 20 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 55.3 | -1.7 | 45–65 | -5.8 | |
| 21 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 56.0 | -0.2 | 49–75 | -3.6 | |
| 22 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 58.7 | +0.3 | 49–72 | -5.4 | |
| 23 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 59.2 | -5.3 | 51–80 | -3.0 | |
| 24 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 61.2 | +2.7 | 43–109 | +9.4 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 25 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 63.7 | +6.5 | 35–85 | +1.5 | |
| 26 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 64.7 | -1.8 | 47–91 | +0.6 | |
| 27 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 78.2 | +0.8 | 55–105 | +2.2 | |
| 28 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 78.7 | +3.3 | 70–85 | -8.4 | |
| 29 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 85.5 | +0.8 | 72–111 | -3.0 | |
| 30 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 90.0 | +19.7 | 76–107 | -5.0 | |
| 31 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 93.2 | -9.3 | 73–117 | -2.8 | |
| 32 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 93.5 | -7.0 | 81–126 | -0.7 | |
| 33 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 94.3 | +0.3 | 66–119 | -0.6 | |
| 34 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 105.7 | -4.2 | 96–116 | -10.6 | |
| 35 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 110.5 | +2.7 | 92–144 | -0.6 | |
| 36 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 112.0 | +4.5 | 72–171 | +17.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 37 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 112.5 | -6.0 | 82–131 | -2.8 | |
| 38 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 113.5 | +0.7 | 72–152 | +5.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 39 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 117.5 | +8.5 | 87–159 | +3.4 | |
| 40 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 124.3 | -2.7 | 92–138 | -3.9 | |
| 41 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 127.5 | +0.3 | 103–182 | +5.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 42 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 148.7 | -2.2 | 130–188 | -2.4 | |
| 43 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 151.6 | -12.8 | 121–211 | +13.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 44 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 152.0 | -4.0 | 115–184 | +0.4 | |
| 45 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 154.5 | +0.8 | 121–229 | +12.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 46 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 157.5 | +20.1 | 129–199 | -1.5 | |
| 47 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 157.7 | +7.3 | 140–192 | -4.6 | |
| 48 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 159.3 | +5.0 | 122–285 | +33.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 49 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 159.8 | +0.3 | 121–200 | +2.8 | |
| 50 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 164.0 | -9.0 | 137–239 | +11.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 51 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | 167.3 | -7.3 | 149–189 | -9.9 | |
| 52 | Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | ATL | 168.8 | -3.8 | 142–196 | -6.7 | |
| 53 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | 174.5 | +4.5 | 131–219 | +7.8 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 54 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 181.2 | +6.8 | 145–224 | +4.0 | |
| 55 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 187.2 | +5.6 | 122–238 | +12.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 56 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 192.0 | -12.2 | 148–275 | +19.1 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 57 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 195.2 | +30.2 | 147–278 | +16.9 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 58 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 195.4 | -13.1 | 151–282 | +18.6 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 59 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 195.8 | -2.2 | 134–230 | +8.7 | CONTENTIOUS |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.7 + 0.1035 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.