Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 36 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-04 00:00 (23 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.4 +0.3 1–2 -0.6
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 1.6 -0.1 1–2 -0.6
3 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 6.4 +1.4 5–9 -0.2
4 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 7.6 +2.1 7–8 -1.2
5 James Cook III RB BUF 9.4 +0.9 7–13 +0.4
6 Chase Brown RB CIN 12.4 -0.2 9–16 +0.5
7 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 14.8 +8.4 12–22 +1.4
8 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 14.8 +1.4 9–23 +2.5
9 De'Von Achane RB MIA 15.0 +1.0 13–18 -0.3
10 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 17.6 -2.9 16–19 -1.6
11 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 18.2 +3.0 14–20 -0.6
12 Derrick Henry RB BAL 18.8 +7.0 14–23 +0.7
13 Javonte Williams RB DAL 28.8 -0.6 24–37 +1.6
14 Breece Hall RB NYJ 28.8 -1.6 25–32 -0.5
15 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 32.2 +4.8 26–41 +2.4
16 Kyren Williams RB LAR 36.2 -3.5 32–39 -1.9
17 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 39.2 +5.8 36–43 -1.9
18 Bucky Irving RB TB 53.6 +5.6 51–58 -3.4
19 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 54.6 +4.1 45–62 +0.4
20 David Montgomery RB HOU 55.6 -0.3 48–63 -1.3
21 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 55.6 +0.4 53–60 -3.8
22 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 56.0 +5.2 52–60 -2.8
23 Josh Jacobs RB GB 59.0 -17.3 42–100 +14.8 CONTENTIOUS
24 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 60.6 +4.1 50–68 -0.6
25 Jadarian Price RB SEA 65.0 -1.3 60–69 -4.2
26 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 67.4 -14.2 49–86 +4.9
27 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 78.8 +6.7 74–85 -4.3
28 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 78.8 -0.1 74–86 -4.4
29 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 85.2 +4.8 67–104 +4.0
30 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 90.6 +2.6 85–99 -4.8
31 Tony Pollard RB TEN 94.8 -16.6 82–109 +1.2
32 RJ Harvey RB DEN 95.4 -1.9 81–111 +2.3
33 Blake Corum RB LAR 99.8 +10.7 88–117 -0.7
34 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 103.6 +8.4 89–137 +6.5 CONTENTIOUS
35 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 110.8 +1.7 101–118 -5.8
36 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 111.6 -17.3 91–130 +2.7
37 Jordan Mason RB MIN 112.4 +15.1 93–127 +1.0
38 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 114.6 +9.7 105–130 -3.1
39 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 116.0 -10.3 107–122 -6.5
40 Rachaad White RB WAS 116.4 -2.9 106–133 -2.8
41 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 130.4 -12.9 119–136 -6.9
42 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 139.4 +19.9 125–154 -3.0
43 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 139.6 +12.0 123–175 +6.0 CONTENTIOUS
44 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 142.4 +12.1 130–164 -2.8
45 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 144.0 +20.0 133–156 -6.5
46 Woody Marks RB HOU 148.6 +3.4 139–158 -7.7
47 MarShawn Lloyd RB GB 150.6 +44.6 131–165 -2.5
48 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 154.6 -5.9 147–164 -8.8
49 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 155.6 +2.1 143–190 +2.1
50 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 160.2 +14.3 137–174 -3.1
51 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 163.4 -3.6 150–194 -0.5
52 Alvin Kamara RB NO 169.2 -11.7 154–183 -4.3
53 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 173.2 -4.4 160–190 -6.7
54 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 178.8 +17.0 148–222 +6.6 CONTENTIOUS
55 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 179.2 +2.0 156–211 +3.2
56 Emmett Johnson RB KC 186.0 +6.0 157–244 +14.7 CONTENTIOUS
57 Kaelon Black RB SF 198.4 +14.3 153–232 +8.1 CONTENTIOUS
58 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 199.4 -12.2 174–212 -6.5
59 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 205.0 +4.8 169–270 +16.0 CONTENTIOUS
60 Isiah Pacheco RB DET 212.8 -45.5 160–295 +24.7 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 0.98 + 0.094 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.