Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 1.5 +0.3 1–2 -6.4
2 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.7 -0.5 1–3 -6.1
3 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 7.8 +2.0 4–20 -2.0
4 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 9.7 -0.5 6–14 -5.1
5 James Cook III RB BUF 10.3 +0.3 6–15 -4.5
6 Chase Brown RB CIN 12.2 +1.5 9–16 -5.0
7 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 14.7 -0.3 13–18 -6.5
8 De'Von Achane RB MIA 16.0 +0.0 11–18 -5.5
9 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 16.2 -5.0 9–31 -0.4
10 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 21.2 -1.5 12–37 +0.0
11 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 23.2 -4.8 13–44 +2.3
12 Derrick Henry RB BAL 25.8 -4.0 16–48 +1.3
13 Breece Hall RB NYJ 27.2 +2.5 24–36 -5.3
14 Javonte Williams RB DAL 28.2 -0.3 19–39 -3.0
15 Kyren Williams RB LAR 32.7 +4.2 20–45 -0.8
16 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 37.0 -7.2 23–57 +0.8
17 Josh Jacobs RB GB 41.7 +4.3 24–56 +1.0
18 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 45.0 -5.2 33–64 -0.1
19 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 53.2 +1.8 37–86 +5.2 CONTENTIOUS
20 David Montgomery RB HOU 55.3 -1.7 45–65 -5.8
21 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 56.0 -0.2 49–75 -3.6
22 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 58.7 +0.3 49–72 -5.4
23 Bucky Irving RB TB 59.2 -5.3 51–80 -3.0
24 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 61.2 +2.7 43–109 +9.4 CONTENTIOUS
25 Jadarian Price RB SEA 63.7 +6.5 35–85 +1.5
26 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 64.7 -1.8 47–91 +0.6
27 Tony Pollard RB TEN 78.2 +0.8 55–105 +2.2
28 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 78.7 +3.3 70–85 -8.4
29 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 85.5 +0.8 72–111 -3.0
30 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 90.0 +19.7 76–107 -5.0
31 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 93.2 -9.3 73–117 -2.8
32 RJ Harvey RB DEN 93.5 -7.0 81–126 -0.7
33 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 94.3 +0.3 66–119 -0.6
34 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 105.7 -4.2 96–116 -10.6
35 Blake Corum RB LAR 110.5 +2.7 92–144 -0.6
36 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 112.0 +4.5 72–171 +17.1 CONTENTIOUS
37 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 112.5 -6.0 82–131 -2.8
38 Rachaad White RB WAS 113.5 +0.7 72–152 +5.7 CONTENTIOUS
39 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 117.5 +8.5 87–159 +3.4
40 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 124.3 -2.7 92–138 -3.9
41 Jordan Mason RB MIN 127.5 +0.3 103–182 +5.8 CONTENTIOUS
42 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 148.7 -2.2 130–188 -2.4
43 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 151.6 -12.8 121–211 +13.9 CONTENTIOUS
44 Woody Marks RB HOU 152.0 -4.0 115–184 +0.4
45 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 154.5 +0.8 121–229 +12.0 CONTENTIOUS
46 Alvin Kamara RB NO 157.5 +20.1 129–199 -1.5
47 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 157.7 +7.3 140–192 -4.6
48 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 159.3 +5.0 122–285 +33.8 CONTENTIOUS
49 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 159.8 +0.3 121–200 +2.8
50 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 164.0 -9.0 137–239 +11.0 CONTENTIOUS
51 Isiah Pacheco RB DET 167.3 -7.3 149–189 -9.9
52 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 168.8 -3.8 142–196 -6.7
53 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 174.5 +4.5 131–219 +7.8 CONTENTIOUS
54 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 181.2 +6.8 145–224 +4.0
55 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 187.2 +5.6 122–238 +12.7 CONTENTIOUS
56 Emmett Johnson RB KC 192.0 -12.2 148–275 +19.1 CONTENTIOUS
57 MarShawn Lloyd RB GB 195.2 +30.2 147–278 +16.9 CONTENTIOUS
58 Kaytron Allen RB WAS 195.4 -13.1 151–282 +18.6 CONTENTIOUS
59 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 195.8 -2.2 134–230 +8.7 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.7 + 0.1035 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.