Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3.2 | +0.0 | 2–4 | -6.3 | |
| 2 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 3.8 | +0.0 | 3–5 | -6.4 | |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 5.7 | -0.2 | 5–7 | -6.5 | |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 7.2 | +0.5 | 6–8 | -6.7 | |
| 5 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 12.0 | -0.3 | 9–17 | -4.7 | |
| 6 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 14.5 | -0.5 | 8–30 | -1.0 | |
| 7 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 17.0 | +1.2 | 12–27 | -3.4 | |
| 8 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 20.7 | -1.0 | 13–25 | -4.5 | |
| 9 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 21.3 | -2.8 | 9–38 | +1.2 | |
| 10 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 22.7 | +1.3 | 19–27 | -5.7 | |
| 11 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 27.2 | +1.2 | 16–35 | -3.5 | |
| 12 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 28.3 | +3.3 | 8–49 | +5.5 | |
| 13 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 30.0 | -0.7 | 18–39 | -2.7 | |
| 14 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 32.3 | -1.3 | 21–49 | -0.6 | |
| 15 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 34.7 | +4.0 | 21–54 | -0.0 | |
| 16 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 36.7 | +3.5 | 24–48 | -2.6 | |
| 17 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 37.7 | +4.3 | 22–50 | -1.3 | |
| 18 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 38.0 | +0.0 | 30–47 | -4.0 | |
| 19 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 39.3 | -1.8 | 25–45 | -4.1 | |
| 20 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 40.5 | -3.0 | 33–51 | -5.3 | |
| 21 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 41.5 | -2.3 | 30–61 | +0.9 | |
| 22 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 42.5 | +2.0 | 33–52 | -5.3 | |
| 23 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 46.3 | -1.2 | 38–52 | -6.6 | |
| 24 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 49.7 | +1.5 | 40–59 | -5.2 | |
| 25 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 49.8 | -1.2 | 43–57 | -6.5 | |
| 26 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 51.2 | +5.3 | 19–74 | +6.1 | |
| 27 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 55.7 | -1.3 | 43–79 | -0.4 | |
| 28 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 55.8 | -0.8 | 46–70 | -3.8 | |
| 29 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 58.5 | -2.5 | 41–78 | -0.6 | |
| 30 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 67.0 | +0.2 | 62–74 | -9.3 | |
| 31 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 72.5 | -5.8 | 47–93 | +1.8 | |
| 32 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 74.5 | +0.0 | 36–99 | +5.4 | |
| 33 | Parker Washington | WR | JAC | 74.7 | +6.3 | 58–101 | +1.2 | |
| 34 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 77.3 | -5.3 | 65–114 | +2.0 | |
| 35 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 77.7 | -2.2 | 54–90 | -2.4 | |
| 36 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAC | 78.8 | -1.3 | 55–106 | +6.1 | |
| 37 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 84.0 | -0.2 | 53–110 | +3.6 | |
| 38 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 86.8 | -0.5 | 66–110 | -2.2 | |
| 39 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 88.5 | -6.2 | 72–126 | +3.0 | |
| 40 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 88.7 | +31.0 | 45–126 | +9.3 | |
| 41 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 93.0 | +0.5 | 78–113 | -3.3 | |
| 42 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 93.5 | -3.7 | 70–127 | +2.8 | |
| 43 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | PIT | 95.2 | +0.8 | 62–125 | +2.9 | |
| 44 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 96.7 | +2.0 | 68–129 | +6.0 | |
| 45 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 98.2 | -3.5 | 56–119 | +5.7 | |
| 46 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 102.0 | -5.8 | 91–120 | -5.8 | |
| 47 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAC | 103.8 | -3.3 | 71–137 | +5.4 | |
| 48 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 105.3 | +2.3 | 61–149 | +12.6 | |
| 49 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 112.2 | -3.2 | 79–136 | +0.4 | |
| 50 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 113.2 | -2.7 | 81–136 | +1.1 | |
| 51 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 117.5 | +0.8 | 101–134 | -9.1 | |
| 52 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 124.0 | +16.7 | 98–135 | -7.1 | |
| 53 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 131.5 | +0.2 | 101–145 | -5.5 | |
| 54 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 133.0 | +16.3 | 94–163 | +1.8 | |
| 55 | Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 134.2 | +67.0 | 102–163 | +5.3 | |
| 56 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 135.3 | -5.0 | 112–162 | -1.8 | |
| 57 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 137.6 | -10.4 | 122–153 | -10.8 | |
| 58 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 142.5 | +2.0 | 118–183 | -0.4 | |
| 59 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 144.7 | -2.5 | 122–153 | -10.9 | |
| 60 | Tutu Atwell | WR | MIA | 147.0 | -3.0 | 147–147 | — | |
| 61 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 155.6 | +40.4 | 108–198 | +8.1 | |
| 62 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 160.4 | +2.3 | 117–208 | +5.7 | |
| 63 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 163.2 | -7.0 | 131–178 | -6.9 | |
| 64 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 169.2 | -3.4 | 147–206 | -4.2 | |
| 65 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 170.0 | +6.5 | 144–194 | -9.3 | |
| 66 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 175.8 | +10.3 | 110–295 | +36.3 | |
| 67 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAC | 176.4 | +0.3 | 143–243 | +14.2 | |
| 68 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 182.8 | -9.3 | 141–207 | -0.7 | |
| 69 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 184.2 | +5.0 | 170–217 | -8.6 | |
| 70 | Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | 184.4 | +1.1 | 145–209 | -1.9 | |
| 71 | Tre' Harris | WR | LAC | 184.6 | -8.3 | 148–230 | +5.2 | |
| 72 | Tank Dell | WR | HOU | 184.7 | +11.8 | 180–189 | -22.1 | |
| 73 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 185.8 | -3.8 | 162–226 | -4.1 | |
| 74 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | 186.5 | +9.0 | 175–198 | -14.5 | |
| 75 | KaVontae Turpin | WR | DAL | 190.0 | -2.0 | 190–190 | — | |
| 76 | Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 190.2 | -4.2 | 164–221 | -7.6 | |
| 77 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 195.2 | -0.7 | 179–220 | -11.6 | |
| 78 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 196.2 | -6.9 | 173–206 | -14.9 | |
| 79 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | 196.8 | +1.5 | 150–219 | -2.4 | |
| 80 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 199.0 | -0.5 | 182–244 | -4.3 | |
| 81 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 199.8 | -3.2 | 139–330 | +40.1 | |
| 82 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 200.0 | +37.5 | 200–200 | — | |
| 83 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | MIA | 201.0 | +0.0 | 201–201 | — | |
| 84 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 202.2 | +1.0 | 135–285 | +18.6 | |
| 85 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 204.2 | +17.0 | 148–225 | +0.9 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.7 + 0.1035 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.