Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 36 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-04 00:00 (23 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 3.2 -0.0 3–4 -0.9
2 Puka Nacua WR LAR 3.8 +0.0 3–4 -0.9
3 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 6.0 -0.3 5–8 -0.4
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 7.2 -0.0 6–8 -0.9
5 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 11.0 +1.0 10–14 -0.5
6 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 13.4 +1.1 11–16 -0.4
7 A.J. Brown WR NE 16.8 +4.5 11–24 +1.8
8 Drake London WR ATL 17.6 -0.6 15–22 -0.1
9 Nico Collins WR HOU 21.0 -0.3 20–22 -2.3
10 George Pickens WR DAL 23.4 -0.7 17–27 +0.5
11 Chris Olave WR NO 24.6 +7.7 18–32 +1.5
12 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 29.0 -1.8 27–30 -2.6
13 Zay Flowers WR BAL 29.0 +1.0 28–30 -2.8
14 Malik Nabers WR NYG 29.2 +8.5 23–32 -0.5
15 Rashee Rice WR KC 32.4 -4.1 24–48 +4.6
16 Tee Higgins WR CIN 36.6 +1.4 31–44 +0.3
17 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 36.6 +2.7 33–42 -1.2
18 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 37.8 -3.1 33–43 -0.8
19 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 38.4 +2.1 36–43 -2.2
20 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 38.4 +3.1 32–48 +1.1
21 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 39.0 -2.3 35–44 -1.0
22 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 46.4 -3.9 44–51 -2.8
23 Mike Evans WR SF 47.8 +2.0 46–54 -2.4
24 DJ Moore WR BUF 48.4 +1.3 43–52 -2.4
25 Christian Watson WR GB 50.0 +8.5 45–56 -1.5
26 Davante Adams WR LAR 51.2 +4.5 47–55 -3.2
27 Luther Burden III WR CHI 52.0 -5.7 44–69 +2.9
28 Jameson Williams WR DET 52.2 -1.0 33–64 +4.8
29 Carnell Tate WR TEN 54.2 +1.6 48–63 -0.2
30 Rome Odunze WR CHI 62.2 +10.3 50–75 +1.2
31 Parker Washington WR JAC 63.2 +11.5 57–69 -2.3
32 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 68.6 +8.7 65–71 -5.1
33 DK Metcalf WR PIT 76.8 +0.9 72–80 -4.9
34 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 79.8 -1.0 59–108 +10.3
35 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 82.0 +2.0 65–97 +3.5
36 Alec Pierce WR IND 83.0 -8.5 70–101 +2.2
37 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 84.0 +2.8 78–93 -2.6
38 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 87.4 +7.8 79–99 -1.1
39 Makai Lemon WR PHI 89.8 -1.3 77–116 +4.3
40 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 92.2 +0.8 88–96 -6.5
41 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 95.4 -6.7 76–117 +5.1
42 Jordan Addison WR MIN 98.4 -0.2 86–116 +0.8
43 KC Concepcion WR CLE 100.4 +1.6 91–109 -4.2
44 Josh Downs WR IND 100.6 -7.1 83–118 +1.6
45 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 100.6 -33.6 71–136 +13.1
46 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 100.8 +3.0 90–110 -3.6
47 Michael Wilson WR ARI 105.2 -8.5 84–133 +7.9
48 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 110.0 +23.0 92–131 +3.9
49 Jayden Reed WR GB 113.6 -0.4 94–127 +1.3
50 Xavier Worthy WR KC 113.8 -8.5 97–139 +6.6
51 Jalen Coker WR CAR 120.8 +3.2 115–131 -7.0
52 Romeo Doubs WR NE 122.0 -4.5 109–128 -4.7
53 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 125.2 +9.0 110–151 +1.3
54 Denzel Boston WR CLE 132.2 +12.5 124–140 -6.5
55 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 132.4 -0.9 127–142 -7.8
56 Matthew Golden WR GB 133.0 +2.3 114–160 +3.1
57 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 137.0 +5.5 133–141 -10.7
58 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 145.0 +10.6 132–171 -1.1
59 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 160.6 -23.0 131–186 +7.0
60 Jalen Nailor WR LV 164.6 -4.2 153–178 -7.9
61 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 169.2 +15.0 161–178 -9.8
62 Tre' Harris WR LAC 172.6 +12.0 152–204 +0.3
63 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 174.0 -4.8 149–205 +0.8
64 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 175.4 +19.8 163–202 -3.5
65 Travis Hunter WR JAC 176.4 +0.0 151–209 +1.8
66 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 184.2 -14.2 152–201 -0.0
67 Tre Tucker WR LV 184.6 -8.8 150–209 +3.3
68 Keenan Allen WR IND 184.8 +66.7 146–227 +8.9
69 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 187.0 +9.8 163–213 +0.9
70 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 187.0 +9.2 163–212 +0.7
71 Pat Bryant WR DEN 189.0 +23.6 181–203 -11.3
72 Germie Bernard WR PIT 189.4 -3.6 169–220 -0.6
73 Jalen McMillan WR TB 190.0 -7.2 162–233 +6.5
74 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 190.6 +33.4 171–211 -2.2
75 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 193.4 +6.4 175–223 -2.4
76 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 193.8 +5.2 161–225 +2.8
77 Ted Hurst III WR TB 196.4 +15.2 190–207 -13.5
78 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 198.8 -8.6 179–228 -0.0
79 Malik Washington WR MIA 201.0 +1.2 189–231 -3.7
80 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 210.8 +55.5 152–259 +15.6
81 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 211.6 -0.8 195–240 -5.4
82 Antonio Williams WR WAS 212.0 -48.8 173–253 +11.8

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 0.98 + 0.094 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.