Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 3.2 +0.0 2–4 -6.3
2 Puka Nacua WR LAR 3.8 +0.0 3–5 -6.4
3 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 5.7 -0.2 5–7 -6.5
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 7.2 +0.5 6–8 -6.7
5 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 12.0 -0.3 9–17 -4.7
6 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 14.5 -0.5 8–30 -1.0
7 Drake London WR ATL 17.0 +1.2 12–27 -3.4
8 Nico Collins WR HOU 20.7 -1.0 13–25 -4.5
9 A.J. Brown WR NE 21.3 -2.8 9–38 +1.2
10 George Pickens WR DAL 22.7 +1.3 19–27 -5.7
11 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 27.2 +1.2 16–35 -3.5
12 Rashee Rice WR KC 28.3 +3.3 8–49 +5.5
13 Zay Flowers WR BAL 30.0 -0.7 18–39 -2.7
14 Chris Olave WR NO 32.3 -1.3 21–49 -0.6
15 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 34.7 +4.0 21–54 -0.0
16 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 36.7 +3.5 24–48 -2.6
17 Malik Nabers WR NYG 37.7 +4.3 22–50 -1.3
18 Tee Higgins WR CIN 38.0 +0.0 30–47 -4.0
19 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 39.3 -1.8 25–45 -4.1
20 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 40.5 -3.0 33–51 -5.3
21 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 41.5 -2.3 30–61 +0.9
22 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 42.5 +2.0 33–52 -5.3
23 Luther Burden III WR CHI 46.3 -1.2 38–52 -6.6
24 DJ Moore WR BUF 49.7 +1.5 40–59 -5.2
25 Mike Evans WR SF 49.8 -1.2 43–57 -6.5
26 Jameson Williams WR DET 51.2 +5.3 19–74 +6.1
27 Davante Adams WR LAR 55.7 -1.3 43–79 -0.4
28 Carnell Tate WR TEN 55.8 -0.8 46–70 -3.8
29 Christian Watson WR GB 58.5 -2.5 41–78 -0.6
30 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 67.0 +0.2 62–74 -9.3
31 Rome Odunze WR CHI 72.5 -5.8 47–93 +1.8
32 Alec Pierce WR IND 74.5 +0.0 36–99 +5.4
33 Parker Washington WR JAC 74.7 +6.3 58–101 +1.2
34 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 77.3 -5.3 65–114 +2.0
35 DK Metcalf WR PIT 77.7 -2.2 54–90 -2.4
36 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 78.8 -1.3 55–106 +6.1
37 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 84.0 -0.2 53–110 +3.6
38 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 86.8 -0.5 66–110 -2.2
39 Makai Lemon WR PHI 88.5 -6.2 72–126 +3.0
40 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 88.7 +31.0 45–126 +9.3
41 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 93.0 +0.5 78–113 -3.3
42 Josh Downs WR IND 93.5 -3.7 70–127 +2.8
43 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 95.2 +0.8 62–125 +2.9
44 Michael Wilson WR ARI 96.7 +2.0 68–129 +6.0
45 Jordan Addison WR MIN 98.2 -3.5 56–119 +5.7
46 KC Concepcion WR CLE 102.0 -5.8 91–120 -5.8
47 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 103.8 -3.3 71–137 +5.4
48 Xavier Worthy WR KC 105.3 +2.3 61–149 +12.6
49 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 112.2 -3.2 79–136 +0.4
50 Jayden Reed WR GB 113.2 -2.7 81–136 +1.1
51 Romeo Doubs WR NE 117.5 +0.8 101–134 -9.1
52 Jalen Coker WR CAR 124.0 +16.7 98–135 -7.1
53 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 131.5 +0.2 101–145 -5.5
54 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 133.0 +16.3 94–163 +1.8
55 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 134.2 +67.0 102–163 +5.3
56 Matthew Golden WR GB 135.3 -5.0 112–162 -1.8
57 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 137.6 -10.4 122–153 -10.8
58 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 142.5 +2.0 118–183 -0.4
59 Denzel Boston WR CLE 144.7 -2.5 122–153 -10.9
60 Tutu Atwell WR MIA 147.0 -3.0 147–147
61 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 155.6 +40.4 108–198 +8.1
62 Jalen Nailor WR LV 160.4 +2.3 117–208 +5.7
63 Antonio Williams WR WAS 163.2 -7.0 131–178 -6.9
64 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 169.2 -3.4 147–206 -4.2
65 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 170.0 +6.5 144–194 -9.3
66 Tre Tucker WR LV 175.8 +10.3 110–295 +36.3
67 Travis Hunter WR JAC 176.4 +0.3 143–243 +14.2
68 Jalen McMillan WR TB 182.8 -9.3 141–207 -0.7
69 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 184.2 +5.0 170–217 -8.6
70 Darnell Mooney WR NYG 184.4 +1.1 145–209 -1.9
71 Tre' Harris WR LAC 184.6 -8.3 148–230 +5.2
72 Tank Dell WR HOU 184.7 +11.8 180–189 -22.1
73 Germie Bernard WR PIT 185.8 -3.8 162–226 -4.1
74 Chris Brazzell II WR CAR 186.5 +9.0 175–198 -14.5
75 KaVontae Turpin WR DAL 190.0 -2.0 190–190
76 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 190.2 -4.2 164–221 -7.6
77 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 195.2 -0.7 179–220 -11.6
78 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 196.2 -6.9 173–206 -14.9
79 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 196.8 +1.5 150–219 -2.4
80 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 199.0 -0.5 182–244 -4.3
81 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 199.8 -3.2 139–330 +40.1
82 Kalif Raymond WR CHI 200.0 +37.5 200–200
83 Kevin Coleman Jr. WR MIA 201.0 +0.0 201–201
84 Malik Washington WR MIA 202.2 +1.0 135–285 +18.6
85 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 204.2 +17.0 148–225 +0.9

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.7 + 0.1035 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.