Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 36 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-04 00:00 (23 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Brock Bowers TE LV 19.6 -1.3 17–24 -0.2
2 Trey McBride TE ARI 26.6 +0.9 24–29 -1.9
3 Colston Loveland TE CHI 38.4 +12.6 31–42 -0.5
4 Tyler Warren TE IND 59.8 +2.9 56–66 -1.9
5 Tucker Kraft TE GB 67.4 -1.9 64–73 -4.2
6 Sam LaPorta TE DET 82.0 +2.8 77–86 -5.3
7 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 86.6 +10.7 76–93 -2.3
8 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 89.6 +4.4 85–98 -5.0
9 George Kittle TE SF 98.8 +1.2 87–110 -1.5
10 Travis Kelce TE KC 109.2 -11.7 97–122 -2.9
11 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 111.6 -3.9 99–120 -4.6
12 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 111.8 +19.0 96–140 +5.0
13 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 118.6 +1.1 110–125 -5.5
14 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 122.2 +2.6 106–136 +0.3
15 Juwan Johnson TE NO 124.8 +21.9 107–137 -2.6
16 Mark Andrews TE BAL 135.2 -7.4 121–155 -1.3
17 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 146.6 +18.2 141–154 -10.0
18 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 151.2 +4.3 129–176 +2.2
19 Brenton Strange TE JAC 151.4 +4.3 144–159 -10.3
20 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 154.8 -2.6 143–173 -5.1
21 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 159.0 +15.8 131–196 +5.4
22 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 164.2 +0.5 156–174 -8.6
23 Hunter Henry TE NE 169.2 -6.5 153–184 -5.7
24 AJ Barner TE SEA 170.6 +8.4 157–189 -3.3
25 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 178.0 +26.3 159–185 -7.6
26 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 179.8 -16.0 147–225 +12.0
27 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 193.0 +12.0 178–214 -5.8
28 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 196.2 +19.1 180–217 -4.4
29 Cade Otton TE TB 198.2 -4.7 187–221 -6.5

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 0.98 + 0.094 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.