Draft Board
Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.
Consensus board may be stale.
Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the
48h expected refresh.
Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | ECR | Move | Range | Excess | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 3.8 | +0.1 | 1–6 | -5.5 | |
| 2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 4.5 | +0.4 | 3–6 | -6.0 | |
| 3 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 9.5 | +0.3 | 8–13 | -6.1 | |
| 4 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 12.3 | +2.7 | 9–16 | -5.9 | |
| 5 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 15.1 | +0.9 | 11–22 | -5.0 | |
| 6 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 16.1 | +1.1 | 11–24 | -4.4 | |
| 7 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | 19.4 | +2.1 | 15–29 | -3.5 | |
| 8 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 21.6 | -1.8 | 10–37 | -2.1 | |
| 9 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 27.1 | +3.6 | 21–49 | -2.6 | |
| 10 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 35.1 | -4.5 | 22–52 | -0.6 | |
| 11 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 38.5 | +4.0 | 24–50 | -4.1 | |
| 12 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 50.2 | +3.4 | 39–68 | -1.5 | |
| 13 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 53.0 | -1.1 | 34–66 | -1.4 | |
| 14 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 53.8 | -1.4 | 32–77 | +0.1 | |
| 15 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 55.2 | -0.8 | 31–68 | -0.5 | |
| 16 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 59.7 | -1.4 | 46–74 | -3.8 | |
| 17 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB | NO | 63.7 | +1.2 | 50–75 | -4.9 | |
| 18 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 67.1 | +0.2 | 52–81 | -5.6 | |
| 19 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 68.2 | +5.1 | 54–80 | -3.2 | |
| 20 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 68.8 | -0.3 | 52–86 | -2.6 | |
| 21 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 69.8 | -4.7 | 45–87 | +0.2 | |
| 22 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 80.6 | -2.5 | 58–90 | -4.8 | |
| 23 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAC | 82.7 | +3.5 | 61–98 | -2.7 | |
| 24 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 86.7 | -8.2 | 55–124 | +2.4 | |
| 25 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 88.8 | +2.0 | 80–98 | -8.7 | |
| 26 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 95.2 | +2.8 | 78–120 | -4.4 | |
| 27 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 108.1 | -0.8 | 74–139 | -0.3 | |
| 28 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 112.9 | +5.9 | 90–132 | -1.8 | |
| 29 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 116.5 | +8.9 | 96–146 | -0.5 | |
| 30 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 119.2 | +9.6 | 89–141 | -1.9 | |
| 31 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 122.8 | -0.0 | 87–156 | +1.0 | |
| 32 | Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | 124.5 | +16.9 | 88–165 | +6.4 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 33 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 127.8 | +2.3 | 95–154 | +0.3 | |
| 34 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 130.2 | -6.5 | 100–162 | +0.7 | |
| 35 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 135.4 | -2.1 | 108–156 | -7.0 | |
| 36 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 142.8 | +1.4 | 100–190 | +4.6 | |
| 37 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 143.1 | -5.0 | 123–164 | -6.1 | |
| 38 | Kenny Gainwell | RB | TB | 147.2 | +2.2 | 117–178 | -5.2 | |
| 39 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 154.1 | +7.0 | 127–168 | -7.3 | |
| 40 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 155.5 | -2.2 | 123–182 | -4.5 | |
| 41 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 160.9 | -3.4 | 128–185 | -4.1 | |
| 42 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 164.8 | -0.2 | 128–197 | -1.9 | |
| 43 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 165.5 | +1.8 | 135–200 | -2.1 | |
| 44 | Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | 170.2 | +3.2 | 132–226 | +2.5 | |
| 45 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 171.0 | -4.4 | 143–203 | -4.5 | |
| 46 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 171.4 | +3.2 | 146–197 | -4.2 | |
| 47 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 179.4 | +5.9 | 140–200 | -5.9 | |
| 48 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 181.5 | +0.2 | 160–252 | +1.4 | |
| 49 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAC | 183.0 | +1.1 | 130–220 | +3.2 | |
| 50 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | MIN | 192.5 | -8.3 | 157–223 | -2.9 | |
| 51 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 200.3 | -3.6 | 136–274 | +6.2 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 52 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 201.9 | +7.5 | 165–298 | +7.0 | CONTENTIOUS |
| 53 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 202.9 | -7.2 | 173–271 | +3.8 |
Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.
- Move — no predictive value
- Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
- Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
- Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
- Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
-
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat
their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At
WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so
they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution
everyone roughly agrees on.
Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.