Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Brock Bowers TE LV 16.4 +1.5 6–31 +0.2
2 Trey McBride TE ARI 20.2 +4.4 9–33 -0.5
3 Colston Loveland TE CHI 34.2 +1.7 18–47 +3.6
4 Tyler Warren TE IND 43.0 -1.0 28–63 +1.5
5 Tucker Kraft TE GB 49.0 +0.0 43–58 -5.4
6 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 57.8 +30.5 44–75 +0.6
7 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 59.2 +2.2 39–75 +1.7
8 Sam LaPorta TE DET 64.6 -3.4 59–70 -8.2
9 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 68.4 -12.3 58–89 -2.0
10 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 75.2 +8.4 62–82 -6.2
11 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 75.2 +4.5 66–80 -8.5
12 George Kittle TE SF 97.6 -2.9 68–177 +24.5
13 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 111.6 +0.3 93–121 -7.2
14 Eli Stowers TE PHI 112.4 -5.6 81–155 +8.8
15 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 114.2 +9.3 81–124 -0.4
16 Brenton Strange TE JAC 120.2 -6.6 113–133 -10.8
17 Mark Andrews TE BAL 126.8 -2.3 93–146 +1.0
18 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 134.0 -14.3 104–207 +18.2
19 Juwan Johnson TE NO 143.0 +18.8 122–155 -4.9
20 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 144.6 +8.3 79–199 +24.4
21 Travis Kelce TE KC 146.0 +8.4 89–177 +9.8
22 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 146.6 -12.1 129–186 +0.6
23 Eli Raridon TE NE 148.0 +43.4 116–187 +9.2
24 Matt Hibner TE BAL 157.0 +116.5 157–157 —
25 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 161.2 +7.2 153–186 -8.8
26 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 161.8 +24.3 116–184 +6.3
27 Hunter Henry TE NE 164.0 +11.9 144–184 -9.0
28 Oscar Delp TE NO 173.3 +23.6 114–218 +21.1
29 AJ Barner TE SEA 174.4 -20.4 157–187 -10.6
30 Max Klare TE LAR 183.8 +18.3 150–218 +5.3
31 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 184.0 +3.6 163–207 -7.1
32 Elijah Arroyo TE SEA 188.0 +14.1 188–188 —
33 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 191.0 +1.2 189–195 -21.4

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.46 + 0.0931 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.