Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.1 +0.0 1–2 -6.5
2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 3.1 +0.2 2–6 -5.5
3 Puka Nacua WR LAR 4.0 -0.3 2–7 -5.7
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.8 +0.7 4–10 -5.1
5 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 7.4 +0.0 4–13 -5.2
6 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 10.3 -1.3 7–27 -3.3
7 Malik Nabers WR NYG 10.3 -0.6 4–19 -3.5
8 Drake London WR ATL 12.1 -0.0 10–15 -6.1
9 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 17.6 +1.3 14–30 -3.9
10 Nico Collins WR HOU 20.1 -0.1 14–33 -2.8
11 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 22.0 +2.2 16–43 -2.4
12 George Pickens WR DAL 22.4 +1.4 14–39 -3.0
13 Chris Olave WR NO 27.2 -0.1 19–38 -3.9
14 Carnell Tate WR TEN 27.7 +1.4 20–39 -3.6
15 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 29.9 -2.1 20–40 -3.3
16 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 32.3 -0.3 25–47 -3.7
17 Luther Burden III WR CHI 33.5 +5.5 22–50 -3.3
18 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 33.6 +3.5 26–42 -4.0
19 Zay Flowers WR BAL 34.1 +3.2 24–54 -1.8
20 A.J. Brown WR NE 35.2 -2.9 20–49 -1.6
21 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 36.9 +1.4 22–67 -0.8
22 Makai Lemon WR PHI 41.8 +2.1 33–68 -2.6
23 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 43.0 +2.3 33–58 -2.9
24 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.1 -2.5 32–67 -2.2
25 Rashee Rice WR KC 44.2 -0.2 22–82 +4.9
26 Rome Odunze WR CHI 47.1 +0.2 33–70 -1.6
27 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 54.6 -0.6 39–72 -0.9
28 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.5 -2.4 41–75 -3.0
29 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 62.2 -6.7 42–76 -1.5
30 Christian Watson WR GB 65.2 +7.6 44–87 +0.3
31 KC Concepcion WR CLE 70.2 +0.4 42–88 -1.8
32 Alec Pierce WR IND 73.8 +2.8 57–99 -3.8
33 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 74.4 -1.9 68–83 -8.2
34 DJ Moore WR BUF 74.5 +1.8 57–93 -4.0
35 Jordan Addison WR MIN 80.8 +1.5 64–99 -3.1
36 Parker Washington WR JAC 83.3 +12.9 56–118 +1.6
37 DK Metcalf WR PIT 85.8 -5.8 71–99 -5.8
38 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 87.0 +1.5 70–115 -0.7
39 Michael Wilson WR ARI 88.7 +5.4 69–106 -4.0
40 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 92.5 +4.3 74–118 -4.4
41 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 96.0 +1.9 76–120 -3.1
42 Josh Downs WR IND 96.1 +2.8 78–132 -2.9
43 Denzel Boston WR CLE 97.7 +7.6 51–125 +2.3
44 Davante Adams WR LAR 97.8 -2.4 70–118 -1.6
45 Mike Evans WR SF 99.5 -4.5 84–115 -6.1
46 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 99.8 -0.3 82–112 -7.1
47 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 100.5 -1.2 79–118 -4.5
48 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 105.5 +8.4 82–122 -4.2
49 Xavier Worthy WR KC 106.8 -4.8 73–145 -0.7
50 Jayden Reed WR GB 107.8 +1.8 85–126 -3.7
51 Matthew Golden WR GB 108.2 +0.7 75–128 -2.6
52 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 110.3 -0.1 96–133 -5.1
53 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 111.3 -18.0 76–169 +9.1
54 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 113.8 -7.5 92–138 -4.8
55 Antonio Williams WR WAS 123.3 +7.8 106–148 -4.9
56 Travis Hunter WR JAC 124.7 -10.3 87–160 +2.6
57 Jalen Coker WR CAR 124.7 +7.0 101–152 -3.9
58 Romeo Doubs WR NE 125.0 -0.7 97–174 +2.6
59 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 129.4 -3.6 107–157 -5.5
60 Chris Bell WR MIA 135.1 +5.9 115–172 -1.6
61 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 137.1 +24.7 99–172 +0.1
62 Tre' Harris WR LAC 144.1 +3.1 112–196 +2.8
63 Jalen McMillan WR TB 145.2 +3.2 122–214 +4.7
64 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 145.6 +2.2 118–173 -4.3
65 Germie Bernard WR PIT 146.3 +5.1 104–179 +1.4
66 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 156.9 +0.6 130–209 +0.1
67 Ted Hurst III WR TB 161.7 +0.2 114–232 +9.0
68 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 162.9 +5.8 128–208 +3.9
69 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 163.0 -1.3 118–241 +7.0
70 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 166.3 -0.9 131–237 +3.5
71 Zachariah Branch WR ATL 172.9 +18.3 143–276 +10.3
72 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 175.7 -7.3 168–199 -11.9
73 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 179.8 -1.2 129–243 +2.5
74 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 179.8 +4.0 161–208 -8.4
75 Troy Franklin WR DEN 183.9 +2.3 145–237 +4.8
76 Pat Bryant WR DEN 185.6 +10.4 152–266 +7.0
77 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 185.9 +11.8 146–236 +0.1
78 Malachi Fields WR NYG 186.2 +5.0 144–278 +8.8
79 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 189.1 -2.2 134–260 +10.1
80 Jalen Nailor WR LV 189.7 +13.3 148–277 +9.6
81 Skyler Bell WR BUF 190.1 -2.0 156–236 +2.7
82 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 192.3 -47.9 151–232 +2.9
83 Chris Brazzell II WR CAR 194.7 -21.8 131–302 +13.7
84 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 196.7 -8.6 143–272 +9.4
85 Jack Bech WR LV 199.6 +1.0 176–244 -1.7

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.72 + 0.0774 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.