Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
Redraft Dynasty Best ball All QB RB WR TE
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.4 -0.2 1–2 -6.1
2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 1.6 +1.3 1–2 -6.1
3 Puka Nacua WR LAR 4.8 -1.1 3–7 -5.6
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.0 +0.3 3–8 -5.3
5 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 8.8 +0.8 4–12 -4.0
6 Drake London WR ATL 11.4 +0.2 9–14 -5.4
7 Malik Nabers WR NYG 11.4 +0.0 7–18 -3.9
8 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 12.2 -3.8 7–23 -1.9
9 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 19.6 -1.6 16–22 -5.7
10 Chris Olave WR NO 21.8 +3.4 12–30 -2.5
11 Nico Collins WR HOU 22.0 -3.6 14–30 -2.3
12 George Pickens WR DAL 22.0 -1.1 15–30 -3.2
13 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 23.2 +0.7 13–34 -0.6
14 Carnell Tate WR TEN 27.2 +4.2 13–37 -1.1
15 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 30.0 -1.1 24–41 -2.6
16 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 33.8 +0.8 24–41 -3.8
17 Zay Flowers WR BAL 36.4 -4.0 26–59 +2.3
18 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 43.0 -8.4 29–69 +3.5
19 Rashee Rice WR KC 43.4 +1.7 22–85 +12.1
20 Tee Higgins WR CIN 43.8 -5.2 32–59 -0.1
21 Luther Burden III WR CHI 43.8 -8.1 32–64 +0.8
22 A.J. Brown WR NE 44.8 -9.3 20–71 +11.3
23 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 45.2 -2.7 32–60 +0.9
24 Makai Lemon WR PHI 45.8 -1.8 34–57 -2.9
25 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 47.8 -0.0 33–76 +5.7
26 Rome Odunze WR CHI 51.8 -2.4 37–76 +2.5
27 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.8 -2.0 35–73 +0.9
28 Christian Watson WR GB 56.8 +5.3 36–76 +4.8
29 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 60.8 -1.6 40–92 +7.2
30 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 65.0 +0.1 48–82 -1.2
31 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 66.0 — 34–94 +6.8
32 Parker Washington WR JAC 67.8 +8.6 43–93 +6.2
33 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 73.6 -3.2 40–92 +4.8
34 Alec Pierce WR IND 73.6 +0.8 52–100 +3.9
35 DJ Moore WR BUF 77.4 -1.0 70–92 -6.0
36 Jordan Addison WR MIN 84.2 +0.1 71–97 -4.9
37 DK Metcalf WR PIT 87.0 -4.2 75–96 -7.3
38 Denzel Boston WR CLE 88.2 +6.5 39–125 +14.2
39 Davante Adams WR LAR 90.4 +0.6 42–122 +12.3
40 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 96.4 +0.5 83–109 -7.1
41 Michael Wilson WR ARI 96.6 -2.4 83–131 +2.1
42 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 100.6 -0.5 85–107 -7.7
43 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 103.8 -1.9 95–122 -6.5
44 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 105.0 -5.4 95–112 -9.3
45 Mike Evans WR SF 105.4 -7.0 99–117 -10.0
46 Josh Downs WR IND 106.0 -4.6 85–138 +1.4
47 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 107.2 -9.2 75–145 +11.2
48 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 108.6 +3.0 96–121 -7.9
49 Xavier Worthy WR KC 109.8 -9.8 73–152 +8.8
50 Jayden Reed WR GB 110.8 -3.0 82–135 +1.5
51 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 111.4 -13.0 79–143 +6.5
52 Jalen Coker WR CAR 114.0 +10.7 94–119 -7.1
53 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 116.6 -7.6 100–145 -2.0
54 Matthew Golden WR GB 116.6 -4.2 101–128 -7.8
55 Romeo Doubs WR NE 118.8 +1.1 91–170 +14.2
56 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 122.6 +16.0 79–180 +15.6
57 Ricky Pearsall WR SF 123.2 +3.5 99–176 +13.5
58 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 125.2 -2.8 95–152 +0.7
59 Antonio Williams WR WAS 130.4 +8.4 113–171 +2.8
60 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 135.7 +8.4 116–148 -5.0
61 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 139.2 +9.0 115–161 -1.2
62 Chris Bell WR MIA 139.4 +8.8 105–238 +30.3
63 Ted Hurst III WR TB 142.0 +26.5 105–196 +19.4
64 Jalen McMillan WR TB 145.4 +8.0 131–173 -4.4
65 Tre' Harris WR LAC 154.0 -12.5 106–174 +7.0
66 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 157.5 +78.8 103–212 +33.4
67 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 157.7 +6.5 145–169 -11.3
68 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 157.8 +11.1 125–180 +0.7
69 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 158.0 +13.6 125–235 +23.5
70 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 159.2 +16.2 134–172 -5.8
71 Pat Bryant WR DEN 161.5 +6.1 135–194 +2.3
72 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 162.5 +0.6 145–183 -6.3
73 Travis Hunter WR JAC 162.8 -12.5 114–209 +13.4
74 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 165.8 -6.3 138–192 -2.4
75 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 167.8 +13.2 135–183 -2.8
76 Troy Franklin WR DEN 167.8 +8.2 148–201 -0.1
77 Bryce Lance WR NO 168.0 +37.5 124–212 +21.9
78 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 169.5 +36.1 133–209 +13.4
79 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 177.3 +25.4 151–211 +2.1
80 Germie Bernard WR PIT 179.5 -22.9 134–225 +9.0
81 Jalen Nailor WR LV 181.0 +22.1 171–193 -14.2
82 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 182.2 +16.9 122–227 +16.6
83 Chris Brazzell II WR CAR 188.7 +10.6 148–226 +7.9
84 Elijah Sarratt WR BAL 190.7 -13.1 170–226 +0.9
85 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 196.0 -12.8 161–231 +0.1

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 6.46 + 0.0931 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.