MLB Slate
2026-08-04 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:35 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:35 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 43-69
@ Baltimore Orioles 54-58
|
Reid Detmers
· 3.28 · 10.2
TBD
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 58% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Athletics 45-67
@ Cincinnati Reds 53-58
|
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
|
Final
4–5
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
New York Mets 47-66
@ Cleveland Guardians 57-56
|
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
Slade Cecconi
· 4.78 · 7.0
|
Final
6–2
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 55-59
@ Philadelphia Phillies 60-53
|
Jake Irvin
· 5.52 · 9.4
Jesus Luzardo
· 3.18 · 11.1
|
Final
0–5
|
— | — | — | 64% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 56-57
@ New York Yankees 63-50
|
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
Ryan Weathers
· 3.77 · 9.4
|
Final
0–2
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Chicago White Sox 59-52
@ Boston Red Sox 60-51
|
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
Patrick Sandoval
· 5.28 · 9.4
|
Final
2–14
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Miami Marlins 58-55
@ Atlanta Braves 67-45
|
Ryan Gusto
· 4.33 · 7.4
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
|
Final
2–4
|
— | — | — | 67% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 56-57
@ Kansas City Royals 46-67
|
Joe Ryan
· 4.07 · 10.1
Randy Dobnak
· 3.92 · 6.6
|
Final
2–8
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 57-57
@ Milwaukee Brewers 69-43
|
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
|
Final
2–4
|
— | — | — | 66% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 69-44
@ Chicago Cubs 64-49
|
Eric Lauer
· 4.90 · 6.3
Javier Assad
· 3.71 · 6.2
|
Final
1–5
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
San Francisco Giants 48-65
@ Texas Rangers 55-58
|
Robbie Ray
· 3.73 · 7.5
MacKenzie Gore
· 4.74 · 9.2
|
Final
4–5
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 53-60
@ Houston Astros 58-56
|
Trey Yesavage
· 3.76 · 9.1
Hayden Wesneski
· 3.27 · 6.9
|
Final
2–7
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 66-46
@ Colorado Rockies 45-68
|
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
|
Final/11
9–7
|
— | — | — | 41% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 54-58
@ Seattle Mariners 55-58
|
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
|
Final
8–0
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
San Diego Padres 58-55
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 60-53
|
Randy Vasquez
· 3.89 · 5.7
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
|
Final
9–4
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |