MLB Slate
2026-08-07 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
New York Mets 50-66
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 57-60
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
6–4
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 54-62
@ Philadelphia Phillies 62-54
|
Max Scherzer
· 5.74 · 7.2
Zack Wheeler
· 3.00 · 10.7
|
Final
5–4
|
+183 / -201 | 7.5 | 66% | 62% | model leans away |
| 6:45 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 56-58
@ Washington Nationals 56-61
|
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
Cade Cavalli
· 3.02 · 10.6
|
Final
3–5
|
+112 / -121 | 8.5 | 54% | 53% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:05 PM |
Atlanta Braves 70-45
@ New York Yankees 64-51
|
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
Max Fried
· 2.80 · 8.3
|
Final/10
2–3
|
+113 / -122 | 8 | 54% | 47% | model leans away |
| 7:10 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 44-71
@ Miami Marlins 58-58
|
TBD
Tyler Phillips
· 3.90 · 6.8
|
Final
4–3
|
+130 / -141 | 9 | 58% | 58% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:10 PM |
Athletics 45-70
@ Boston Red Sox 63-51
|
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.97 · 6.9
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
|
Final
1–13
|
+260 / -293 | 8 | 73% | 70% | model leans away |
| 7:40 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 57-59
@ Chicago White Sox 59-55
|
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
Noah Schultz
· 6.41 · 8.2
|
Final
8–2
|
-141 / +130 | 7.5 | 42% | 48% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 57-59
@ Milwaukee Brewers 72-43
|
Connor Prielipp
· 5.09 · 9.1
Robert Gasser
· 4.11 · 8.7
|
Final
8–6
|
+155 / -169 | 8 | 62% | 65% | model leans home |
| 8:10 PM |
Chicago Cubs 67-49
@ Kansas City Royals 48-68
|
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
TBD
|
Final
6–4
|
-162 / +149 | 9 | 39% | 43% | model leans home |
| 8:15 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 56-59
@ Texas Rangers 57-58
|
Shane Baz
· 4.11 · 7.7
Nathan Eovaldi
· 4.14 · 9.2
|
Final
1–2
|
+130 / -141 | 7.5 | 58% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:15 PM |
Colorado Rockies 45-70
@ St. Louis Cardinals 57-58
|
Ryan Feltner
· 6.19 · 6.4
Kyle Leahy
· 3.66 · 8.5
|
Final
2–3
|
+150 / -164 | 8.5 | 61% | 66% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Houston Astros 59-57
@ San Diego Padres 60-56
|
Ronel Blanco
· 5.79 · 7.7
TBD
|
Final
6–3
|
-101 / -107 | 8.5 | 51% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 69-46
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 61-55
|
Roki Sasaki
· 4.60 · 8.8
Merrill Kelly
· 4.94 · 6.3
|
Final
3–4
|
-166 / +152 | 9 | 39% | 49% | model leans home |
| 9:45 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 68-46
@ Seattle Mariners 56-60
|
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.67 · 9.1
Logan Gilbert
· 3.73 · 9.9
|
Final
2–1
|
+103 / -112 | 6.5 | 52% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 10:15 PM |
Detroit Tigers 56-59
@ San Francisco Giants 48-67
|
Framber Valdez
· 4.20 · 7.0
TBD
|
Final
2–5
|
-140 / +129 | 8.5 | 43% | 49% | model leans home |