MLB Slate
2026-10-03 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
4
First pitch
1:00 PM
Final
4
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
4 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM |
Chicago White Sox 84-78
@ Cleveland Guardians 85-77
|
Hagen Smith
· 0.00 · 13.5
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
|
Final
3–0
|
+131 / -142 | 6.5 | 58% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:00 PM |
Atlanta Braves 94-68
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 100-62
|
TBD
Tarik Skubal
· 2.71 · 10.6
|
Final
3–5
|
+194 / -214 | 8 | 67% | 65% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 6:30 PM |
New York Yankees 93-68
@ Tampa Bay Rays 98-64
|
Gerrit Cole
· 3.61 · 9.3
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.67 · 9.1
|
Final
0–1
|
+122 / -132 | 7 | 56% | 50% | model leans away |
| 8:30 PM |
San Diego Padres 91-71
@ Milwaukee Brewers 103-59
|
Robbie Ray
· 3.73 · 7.5
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
|
Final
2–3
|
+178 / -195 | 7 | 65% | 66% | agrees within 3 pts |