MLB Slate
2026-10-04 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
2
First pitch
4:00 PM
Final
2
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
2 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4:00 PM |
San Diego Padres 91-71
@ Milwaukee Brewers 103-59
|
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
|
Final
3–4
|
+117 / -127 | 7 | 55% | 59% | model leans home |
| 8:00 PM |
Atlanta Braves 94-68
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 100-62
|
TBD
Blake Snell
· 1.90 · 11.6
|
Final
3–2
|
— | 8 | — | 61% | — |