MLB Slate
2026-10-05 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
2
First pitch
5:00 PM
Final
2
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
2 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 PM |
Chicago White Sox 84-78
@ Cleveland Guardians 85-77
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
|
Final
4–3
|
+136 / -148 | 6.5 | 59% | 55% | model leans away |
| 8:00 PM |
New York Yankees 93-68
@ Tampa Bay Rays 98-64
|
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
|
Final
2–5
|
-117 / +108 | 6.5 | 47% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |