MLB Slate
2026-07-03 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
13
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
13 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 40-48
@ Cincinnati Reds 40-46
|
Trevor Rogers
· 4.27 · 7.3
Brady Singer
· 4.35 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 51% | — |
| — |
Chicago White Sox 45-41
@ Cleveland Guardians 46-42
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.11 · 7.8
Gavin Williams
· 3.56 · 11.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 58% | — |
| — |
Minnesota Twins 42-46
@ New York Yankees 48-38
|
Mike Paredes
· 4.50 · 4.5
Gerrit Cole
· 3.42 · 9.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 67% | — |
| — |
New York Mets 36-51
@ Atlanta Braves 50-35
|
Christian Scott
· 2.99 · 11.0
Grant Holmes
· 4.04 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 59% | — |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates 44-44
@ Washington Nationals 45-43
|
Mitch Keller
· 5.29 · 6.9
Foster Griffin
· 3.06 · 8.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 57% | — |
| — |
St. Louis Cardinals 45-39
@ Chicago Cubs 49-38
|
Andre Pallante
· 3.72 · 6.5
David Peterson
· 6.14 · 7.7
|
Scheduled | +112 / -122 | 11 | 54% | 59% | model leans home |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 51-33
@ Houston Astros 43-46
|
Nick Martinez
· 2.77 · 5.0
Spencer Arrighetti
· 4.60 · 8.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 50% | — |
| — |
San Francisco Giants 36-50
@ Colorado Rockies 35-53
|
Logan Webb
· 3.74 · 7.3
Ryan Feltner
· 5.75 · 6.7
|
Scheduled | -142 / +131 | 11.5 | 42% | 39% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
Boston Red Sox 37-48
@ Los Angeles Angels 36-52
|
Jake Bennett
· 2.68 · 6.2
Reid Detmers
· 4.03 · 10.4
|
Scheduled | +101 / -109 | 8 | 51% | 48% | model leans away |
| — |
Miami Marlins 46-42
@ Athletics 41-46
|
Tyler Phillips
· 4.61 · 5.9
Jack Perkins
· 7.38 · 11.4
|
Scheduled | +123 / -133 | 11 | 56% | 51% | model leans away |
| — |
Milwaukee Brewers 53-32
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 43-43
|
Kyle Harrison
· 3.01 · 10.9
Jose Cabrera
· 5.60 · 6.1
|
Scheduled | -129 / +119 | 8.5 | 45% | 42% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
San Diego Padres 43-43
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 57-31
|
Michael King
· 3.45 · 7.9
Shohei Ohtani
· 1.79 · 10.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 63% | — |
| — |
Toronto Blue Jays 41-46
@ Seattle Mariners 45-43
|
Dylan Cease
· 2.39 · 13.2
Luis Castillo
· 4.99 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |