MLB Slate
2026-07-17 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Chicago White Sox 50-45
@ Toronto Blue Jays 45-51
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.11 · 7.8
Spencer Miles
· 9.00 · 5.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
Los Angeles Dodgers 61-36
@ New York Yankees 54-42
|
Roki Sasaki
· 4.64 · 9.2
Gerrit Cole
· 3.42 · 9.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates 50-47
@ Cleveland Guardians 51-46
|
Jared Jones
· 3.81 · 10.0
Gavin Williams
· 3.56 · 11.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-38
@ Boston Red Sox 46-48
|
Griffin Jax
· 3.70 · 9.9
TBD
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |
| — |
Texas Rangers 49-47
@ Atlanta Braves 55-40
|
Cal Quantrill
· 3.34 · 6.4
Chris Sale
· 2.08 · 11.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 69% | — |
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 46-51
@ Houston Astros 47-51
|
Dean Kremer
· 6.50 · 9.5
Peter Lambert
· 3.06 · 8.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 52% | — |
| — |
Miami Marlins 52-45
@ Milwaukee Brewers 59-37
|
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.68 · 6.9
Logan Henderson
· 2.66 · 11.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 65% | — |
| — |
Minnesota Twins 48-49
@ Chicago Cubs 54-42
|
Bailey Ober
· 4.45 · 6.5
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 58% | — |
| — |
San Diego Padres 48-48
@ Kansas City Royals 38-59
|
Michael King
· 3.45 · 7.9
Seth Lugo
· 4.41 · 6.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 45% | — |
| — |
Cincinnati Reds 43-52
@ Colorado Rockies 39-59
|
Brady Singer
· 4.35 · 7.6
Gabriel Hughes
· 3.80 · 8.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 47% | — |
| — |
Detroit Tigers 44-52
@ Los Angeles Angels 38-59
|
Troy Melton
· 1.75 · 8.1
Reid Detmers
· 4.03 · 10.4
|
Scheduled | -110 / +102 | 8 | 49% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
San Francisco Giants 41-55
@ Seattle Mariners 48-49
|
Landen Roupp
· 4.34 · 9.1
Bryce Miller
· 2.74 · 9.1
|
Scheduled | +163 / -178 | 7 | 63% | 58% | model leans away |
| — |
St. Louis Cardinals 50-45
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 49-47
|
TBD
Merrill Kelly
· 5.04 · 6.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |
| — |
Washington Nationals 48-49
@ Athletics 41-55
|
Cade Cavalli
· 3.52 · 9.8
Gage Jump
· 4.72 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | -124 / +115 | 10 | 45% | 51% | model leans home |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-38
@ Boston Red Sox 46-48
|
Griffin Jax
· 3.70 · 9.9
Jake Bennett
· 2.68 · 6.2
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |