MLB Slate
2026-07-17 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
1:35 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:35 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-38
@ Boston Red Sox 46-48
|
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
|
Final
0–10
|
+106 / -115 | 8.5 | 52% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:05 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 61-36
@ New York Yankees 54-42
|
Roki Sasaki
· 4.60 · 8.8
Gerrit Cole
· 3.61 · 9.3
|
Final
2–1
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 50-47
@ Cleveland Guardians 51-46
|
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
|
Postponed
0–0
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 56-38
@ Boston Red Sox 46-48
|
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
TBD
|
Final
3–5
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Chicago White Sox 50-45
@ Toronto Blue Jays 45-51
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
Spencer Miles
· 5.73 · 7.8
|
Final
12–4
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Texas Rangers 49-47
@ Atlanta Braves 55-40
|
Cal Quantrill
· 2.47 · 7.2
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
|
Final
1–15
|
— | — | — | 69% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Miami Marlins 52-45
@ Milwaukee Brewers 59-37
|
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
|
Final/10
1–2
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Minnesota Twins 48-49
@ Chicago Cubs 54-42
|
Bailey Ober
· 4.57 · 6.9
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
|
Final
5–2
|
+129 / -140 | 11 | 57% | 58% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 46-51
@ Houston Astros 47-51
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Peter Lambert
· 3.82 · 8.9
|
Final
3–2
|
+104 / -113 | 9 | 52% | 52% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:10 PM |
San Diego Padres 48-48
@ Kansas City Royals 38-59
|
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
Seth Lugo
· 5.17 · 7.0
|
Final/10
6–7
|
-119 / +110 | 10 | 47% | 45% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:40 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 43-52
@ Colorado Rockies 39-59
|
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
|
Final
7–2
|
+102 / -110 | 12 | 51% | 47% | model leans away |
| 9:38 PM |
Detroit Tigers 44-52
@ Los Angeles Angels 38-59
|
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
Reid Detmers
· 3.28 · 10.2
|
Final
2–1
|
-110 / +102 | 8 | 49% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 50-45
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 49-47
|
TBD
Merrill Kelly
· 4.94 · 6.3
|
Final
5–4
|
-101 / -107 | 9 | 51% | 55% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 48-49
@ Athletics 41-55
|
Cade Cavalli
· 3.02 · 10.6
Gage Jump
· 5.56 · 9.9
|
Final
23–4
|
-124 / +115 | 10 | 46% | 51% | model leans home |
| 10:10 PM |
San Francisco Giants 41-55
@ Seattle Mariners 48-49
|
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
Bryce Miller
· 4.06 · 9.1
|
Final
7–0
|
+163 / -178 | 7 | 63% | 58% | model leans away |