MLB Slate
2026-07-22 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
17
First pitch
1:05 PM
Final
17
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
17 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:05 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-49
@ New York Yankees 56-44
|
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
Gerrit Cole
· 3.61 · 9.3
|
Final/10
5–3
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 1:35 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 49-52
@ Boston Red Sox 51-48
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
|
Final
3–6
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 2:10 PM |
New York Mets 43-59
@ Milwaukee Brewers 63-38
|
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
|
Final
3–4
|
— | — | — | 69% | — |
| 2:10 PM |
San Francisco Giants 42-59
@ Kansas City Royals 42-60
|
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
Seth Lugo
· 5.17 · 7.0
|
Final
4–5
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 3:10 PM |
Washington Nationals 51-51
@ Colorado Rockies 41-62
|
Cade Cavalli
· 3.02 · 10.6
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
|
Final
8–0
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 3:40 PM |
Athletics 43-58
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 52-49
|
Gage Jump
· 5.56 · 9.9
Merrill Kelly
· 4.94 · 6.3
|
Final
5–15
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 3:40 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 46-54
@ Seattle Mariners 51-51
|
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
Emerson Hancock
· 3.53 · 8.1
|
Final
5–3
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 4:07 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-49
@ Los Angeles Angels 41-61
|
Michael McGreevy
· 3.95 · 6.1
Reid Detmers
· 3.28 · 10.2
|
Final
1–0
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 64-38
@ Philadelphia Phillies 56-46
|
Roki Sasaki
· 4.60 · 8.8
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
|
Final
9–5
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 49-53
@ Cleveland Guardians 54-48
|
Bailey Ober
· 4.57 · 6.9
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
|
Final
10–6
|
— | — | — | 58% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-49
@ New York Yankees 56-44
|
Bubba Chandler
· 4.72 · 8.1
Max Fried
· 2.80 · 8.3
|
Final
0–2
|
— | — | — | 63% | — |
| 7:07 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 58-42
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-55
|
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
Spencer Miles
· 5.73 · 7.8
|
Final
4–2
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 49-52
@ Boston Red Sox 51-48
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
|
Final
5–1
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
San Diego Padres 50-51
@ Atlanta Braves 58-42
|
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
|
Final
6–7
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 8:00 PM |
Detroit Tigers 47-54
@ Chicago Cubs 57-44
|
Keider Montero
· 3.69 · 5.7
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
|
Final
5–1
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Chicago White Sox 53-47
@ Texas Rangers 51-50
|
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
Cal Quantrill
· 2.47 · 7.2
|
Final
4–2
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 52-50
@ Houston Astros 49-54
|
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
Peter Lambert
· 3.82 · 8.9
|
Final
2–5
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |