MLB Slate
2026-07-21 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 49-52
@ Boston Red Sox 51-48
|
Kyle Bradish
· 3.79 · 8.7
Ranger Suarez
· 3.15 · 9.4
|
Scheduled | +114 / -134 | 9 | 55% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
Los Angeles Dodgers 63-38
@ Philadelphia Phillies 56-45
|
Eric Lauer
· 4.38 · 5.8
Zack Wheeler
· 2.49 · 10.8
|
Scheduled | +114 / -134 | 8.5 | 55% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| — |
Minnesota Twins 49-52
@ Cleveland Guardians 53-48
|
Kendry Rojas
· 2.19 · 10.2
Parker Messick
· 2.57 · 8.9
|
Scheduled | -124 / +106 | 8 | 46% | 61% | model leans home |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-49
@ New York Yankees 56-44
|
Bubba Chandler
· 4.63 · 7.8
Will Warren
· 4.17 · 9.0
|
Scheduled | +110 / -130 | 8 | 55% | 60% | model leans home |
| — |
San Diego Padres 49-51
@ Atlanta Braves 58-41
|
Walker Buehler
· 5.18 · 7.9
Reynaldo Lopez
· 3.63 · 8.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 62% | — |
| — |
Tampa Bay Rays 57-42
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-54
|
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.91 · 9.4
Kevin Gausman
· 4.38 · 9.0
|
Scheduled | +126 / -148 | 7.5 | 58% | 50% | model leans away |
| — |
Chicago White Sox 53-46
@ Texas Rangers 50-50
|
Noah Schultz
· 6.15 · 8.1
Kumar Rocker
· 4.44 · 7.7
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 51% | — |
| — |
Detroit Tigers 47-53
@ Chicago Cubs 56-44
|
Framber Valdez
· 4.41 · 7.3
Ethan Roberts
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 56% | — |
| — |
Miami Marlins 52-49
@ Houston Astros 48-54
|
Tyler Phillips
· 4.61 · 5.9
Tatsuya Imai
· 5.83 · 11.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
New York Mets 42-59
@ Milwaukee Brewers 63-37
|
Zach Thornton
· 2.60 · 7.8
Brandon Sproat
· 5.20 · 9.5
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 65% | — |
| — |
San Francisco Giants 42-58
@ Kansas City Royals 41-60
|
Tyler Mahle
· 5.13 · 8.5
Luinder Avila
· 6.10 · 7.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 49% | — |
| — |
Washington Nationals 51-50
@ Colorado Rockies 40-62
|
Miles Mikolas
· 8.06 · 5.4
Michael Lorenzen
· 7.17 · 6.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 46% | — |
| — |
Athletics 43-57
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 51-49
|
Jack Perkins
· 7.38 · 11.4
TBD
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 61% | — |
| — |
Cincinnati Reds 45-54
@ Seattle Mariners 51-50
|
Chase Burns
· 2.35 · 10.4
Luis Castillo
· 4.99 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |
| — |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-48
@ Los Angeles Angels 40-61
|
Matthew Liberatore
· 4.97 · 8.9
Walbert Urena
· 2.69 · 8.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 48% | — |