MLB Slate
2026-07-21 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
6:40 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 63-38
@ Philadelphia Phillies 56-45
|
Eric Lauer
· 4.90 · 6.3
Zack Wheeler
· 3.00 · 10.7
|
Final
2–1
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Minnesota Twins 49-52
@ Cleveland Guardians 53-48
|
Kendry Rojas
· 2.19 · 10.2
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
|
Final
2–5
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-49
@ New York Yankees 56-44
|
Bubba Chandler
· 4.72 · 8.1
Will Warren
· 4.06 · 9.1
|
Postponed
0–0
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |
| 7:07 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 57-42
@ Toronto Blue Jays 46-54
|
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.67 · 9.1
Kevin Gausman
· 4.51 · 9.3
|
Final
12–2
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 49-52
@ Boston Red Sox 51-48
|
Kyle Bradish
· 4.12 · 8.2
Ranger Suarez
· 3.10 · 8.5
|
Postponed
0–0
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
San Diego Padres 49-51
@ Atlanta Braves 58-41
|
Walker Buehler
· 4.69 · 7.7
Reynaldo Lopez
· 4.47 · 8.9
|
Final
8–3
|
— | — | — | 62% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
New York Mets 42-59
@ Milwaukee Brewers 63-37
|
Zach Thornton
· 2.60 · 7.8
Brandon Sproat
· 5.20 · 9.5
|
Final
4–0
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
San Francisco Giants 42-58
@ Kansas City Royals 41-60
|
Tyler Mahle
· 3.99 · 8.3
Luinder Avila
· 6.10 · 7.8
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Chicago White Sox 53-46
@ Texas Rangers 50-50
|
Noah Schultz
· 6.41 · 8.2
Kumar Rocker
· 4.49 · 8.2
|
Final
0–10
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 8:05 PM |
Detroit Tigers 47-53
@ Chicago Cubs 56-44
|
Framber Valdez
· 4.20 · 7.0
Ethan Roberts
|
Final
2–11
|
— | — | — | 56% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 52-49
@ Houston Astros 48-54
|
Tyler Phillips
· 3.90 · 6.8
Tatsuya Imai
· 5.83 · 11.0
|
Final
3–5
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
Washington Nationals 51-50
@ Colorado Rockies 40-62
|
Miles Mikolas
· 8.06 · 5.4
Michael Lorenzen
· 7.30 · 6.4
|
Final
7–8
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 51-48
@ Los Angeles Angels 40-61
|
Matthew Liberatore
· 5.23 · 8.9
Walbert Urena
· 3.31 · 8.8
|
Final
1–5
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Athletics 43-57
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 51-49
|
Jack Perkins
· 6.75 · 10.5
TBD
|
Final/10
5–6
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 45-54
@ Seattle Mariners 51-50
|
Chase Burns
· 2.86 · 10.8
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
|
Final
4–2
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |