MLB Slate
2026-07-28 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
16
First pitch
1:40 PM
Final
16
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
16 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:40 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 54-53
@ Cincinnati Reds 49-55
|
Slade Cecconi
· 4.78 · 7.0
Chase Burns
· 2.86 · 10.8
|
Final
6–5
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 55-52
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 55-52
|
Brandon Pfaadt
· 3.38 · 5.8
Mitch Keller
· 5.29 · 6.9
|
Final/12
8–7
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 52-55
@ Detroit Tigers 50-57
|
Dean Kremer
· 4.85 · 8.9
Troy Melton
· 2.93 · 7.5
|
Final
0–14
|
— | — | — | 54% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 57-50
@ Miami Marlins 53-54
|
Aaron Nola
· 4.67 · 9.1
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.92 · 6.5
|
Final
0–1
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Texas Rangers 54-52
@ Tampa Bay Rays 62-43
|
Cal Quantrill
· 2.47 · 7.2
Griffin Jax
· 3.32 · 9.3
|
Final
4–1
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 6:45 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 49-58
@ Washington Nationals 54-53
|
Shane Bieber
· 4.37 · 7.1
Cade Cavalli
· 3.02 · 10.6
|
Final
6–8
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 62-44
@ New York Mets 45-62
|
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
|
Postponed
0–0
|
— | — | — | 42% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 54-53
@ Cincinnati Reds 49-55
|
Gavin Williams
· 3.76 · 12.1
Brady Singer
· 5.66 · 7.2
|
Final
0–2
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Kansas City Royals 45-62
@ Minnesota Twins 53-54
|
Seth Lugo
· 5.17 · 7.0
Kendry Rojas
· 2.19 · 10.2
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 53% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
New York Yankees 60-46
@ Chicago White Sox 55-50
|
Max Fried
· 2.80 · 8.3
Anthony Kay
· 4.53 · 7.6
|
Final
3–2
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 7:45 PM |
Chicago Cubs 60-46
@ St. Louis Cardinals 53-53
|
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
Michael McGreevy
· 3.95 · 6.1
|
Final
10–2
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
Houston Astros 53-55
@ Los Angeles Angels 42-65
|
Peter Lambert
· 3.82 · 8.9
Reid Detmers
· 3.28 · 10.2
|
Final
3–2
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Boston Red Sox 55-50
@ Athletics 44-62
|
Jake Bennett
· 3.58 · 7.2
Gage Jump
· 5.56 · 9.9
|
Final
3–4
|
— | — | — | 43% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Colorado Rockies 42-65
@ San Diego Padres 53-53
|
Michael Lorenzen
· 7.30 · 6.4
Michael King
· 3.21 · 7.7
|
Final
7–8
|
— | — | — | 73% | — |
| 9:45 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 66-40
@ San Francisco Giants 45-61
|
Logan Henderson
· 2.44 · 9.9
Landen Roupp
· 4.01 · 8.3
|
Final
8–2
|
— | — | — | 40% | — |
| 10:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 52-55
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 67-39
|
Luis Castillo
· 5.37 · 7.6
Eric Lauer
· 4.90 · 6.3
|
Final
7–6
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |