MLB Slate
2026-07-28 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
16
First pitch
—
Final
0
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
16 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — |
Arizona Diamondbacks 55-52
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 55-52
|
Brandon Pfaadt
· 2.83 · 5.0
Mitch Keller
· 5.29 · 6.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 50% | — |
| — |
Atlanta Braves 62-44
@ New York Mets 45-62
|
Chris Sale
· 2.08 · 11.0
Christian Scott
· 2.99 · 11.0
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 42% | — |
| — |
Baltimore Orioles 52-55
@ Detroit Tigers 50-57
|
Dean Kremer
· 6.50 · 9.5
Troy Melton
· 1.75 · 8.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 54% | — |
| — |
Cleveland Guardians 54-53
@ Cincinnati Reds 49-55
|
Gavin Williams
· 3.56 · 11.5
Brady Singer
· 4.35 · 7.6
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 48% | — |
| — |
Philadelphia Phillies 57-50
@ Miami Marlins 53-54
|
Aaron Nola
· 5.55 · 9.1
Sandy Alcantara
· 3.68 · 6.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 48% | — |
| — |
Texas Rangers 54-52
@ Tampa Bay Rays 62-43
|
Cal Quantrill
· 3.34 · 6.4
Griffin Jax
· 3.70 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 61% | — |
| — |
Toronto Blue Jays 49-58
@ Washington Nationals 54-53
|
Shane Bieber
· 5.11 · 6.8
Cade Cavalli
· 3.52 · 9.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 52% | — |
| — |
Chicago Cubs 60-46
@ St. Louis Cardinals 53-53
|
Colin Rea
· 4.47 · 6.7
Michael McGreevy
· 3.59 · 6.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 47% | — |
| — |
Kansas City Royals 45-62
@ Minnesota Twins 53-54
|
Seth Lugo
· 4.41 · 6.9
Kendry Rojas
· 2.19 · 10.2
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 53% | — |
| — |
New York Yankees 60-46
@ Chicago White Sox 55-50
|
Max Fried
· 3.12 · 8.2
Anthony Kay
· 4.11 · 7.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 45% | — |
| — |
Boston Red Sox 55-50
@ Athletics 44-62
|
Jake Bennett
· 2.68 · 6.2
Gage Jump
· 4.72 · 9.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 43% | — |
| — |
Colorado Rockies 42-65
@ San Diego Padres 53-53
|
Michael Lorenzen
· 7.17 · 6.8
Michael King
· 3.45 · 7.9
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 73% | — |
| — |
Houston Astros 53-55
@ Los Angeles Angels 42-65
|
Peter Lambert
· 3.06 · 8.9
Reid Detmers
· 4.03 · 10.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 48% | — |
| — |
Milwaukee Brewers 66-40
@ San Francisco Giants 45-61
|
Logan Henderson
· 2.66 · 11.0
Landen Roupp
· 4.34 · 9.1
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 40% | — |
| — |
Seattle Mariners 52-55
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 67-39
|
Luis Castillo
· 4.99 · 7.6
Eric Lauer
· 4.38 · 5.8
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 60% | — |
| — |
Cleveland Guardians 54-53
@ Cincinnati Reds 49-55
|
Slade Cecconi
· 4.78 · 7.0
Chase Burns
· 2.35 · 10.4
|
Scheduled | — | — | — | 55% | — |