MLB Slate
2026-07-29 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
16
First pitch
12:10 PM
Final
16
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
16 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:10 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 57-51
@ Miami Marlins 54-54
|
Jesus Luzardo
· 3.18 · 11.1
Ryan Gusto
· 4.33 · 7.4
|
Final
6–8
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 12:35 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 56-52
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 55-53
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
· 2.74 · 6.8
Jared Jones
· 3.59 · 11.0
|
Final
3–0
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 1:05 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 49-59
@ Washington Nationals 55-53
|
Trey Yesavage
· 3.76 · 9.1
Zack Littell
· 6.18 · 5.5
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 1:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 62-44
@ New York Mets 45-62
|
Grant Holmes
· 3.73 · 6.9
Sean Manaea
· 5.05 · 8.1
|
Final
2–3
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 1:10 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 52-56
@ Detroit Tigers 51-57
|
Trevor Rogers
· 4.07 · 8.1
Tarik Skubal
· 2.71 · 10.6
|
Final/12
10–9
|
— | — | — | 63% | — |
| 3:45 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 67-40
@ San Francisco Giants 45-62
|
Shane Drohan
· 5.07 · 9.0
Logan Webb
· 4.31 · 7.5
|
Final
3–16
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 4:10 PM |
Colorado Rockies 42-66
@ San Diego Padres 54-53
|
Gabriel Hughes
· 6.47 · 7.8
Griffin Canning
· 6.79 · 9.1
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 64% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Texas Rangers 55-52
@ Tampa Bay Rays 62-44
|
MacKenzie Gore
· 4.74 · 9.2
Ian Seymour
· 4.44 · 11.8
|
Final
0–3
|
— | — | — | 56% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 55-54
@ Cincinnati Reds 50-56
|
Joey Cantillo
· 4.01 · 9.6
Rhett Lowder
· 6.13 · 7.3
|
Final
6–1
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Atlanta Braves 62-44
@ New York Mets 45-62
|
Chris Sale
· 2.16 · 11.1
Christian Scott
· 3.77 · 10.9
|
Final
1–0
|
— | — | — | 42% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
Kansas City Royals 45-63
@ Minnesota Twins 54-54
|
Randy Dobnak
· 3.92 · 6.6
Joe Ryan
· 4.07 · 10.1
|
Final
4–0
|
— | — | — | 59% | — |
| 7:40 PM |
New York Yankees 61-46
@ Chicago White Sox 55-51
|
Cam Schlittler
· 1.95 · 11.1
Davis Martin
· 3.58 · 8.0
|
Final/12
5–6
|
— | — | — | 42% | — |
| 7:45 PM |
Chicago Cubs 61-46
@ St. Louis Cardinals 53-54
|
Matthew Boyd
· 3.91 · 6.8
Dustin May
· 4.77 · 9.0
|
Final/10
2–3
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
Houston Astros 54-55
@ Los Angeles Angels 42-66
|
Hayden Wesneski
· 3.27 · 6.9
Grayson Rodriguez
· 6.28 · 7.8
|
Final
7–4
|
— | — | — | 47% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Boston Red Sox 55-51
@ Athletics 45-62
|
Patrick Sandoval
· 5.28 · 9.4
Jacob Lopez
· 5.50 · 7.8
|
Final/10
4–2
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 10:10 PM |
Seattle Mariners 53-55
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 67-40
|
Emerson Hancock
· 3.53 · 8.1
Justin Wrobleski
· 3.58 · 7.5
|
Final
2–4
|
— | — | — | 64% | — |