MLB Slate
2026-07-31 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
2:20 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:20 PM |
New York Yankees 61-48
@ Chicago Cubs 62-47
|
Will Warren
· 4.06 · 9.1
Shota Imanaga
· 3.83 · 8.9
|
Final
2–0
|
— | — | — | 58% | — |
| 6:10 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 55-55
@ Cincinnati Reds 51-57
|
Braxton Ashcraft
· 3.59 · 9.4
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
|
Final
7–8
|
— | — | — | 49% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 57-52
@ Baltimore Orioles 53-56
|
TBD
Brandon Young
· 3.49 · 7.6
|
Final
4–6
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 7:07 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 54-55
@ Toronto Blue Jays 50-59
|
Kyle Leahy
· 3.66 · 8.5
Dylan Cease
· 2.48 · 12.8
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 57-52
@ Cleveland Guardians 56-54
|
Mitch Bratt
· 5.59 · 5.1
Tanner Bibee
· 4.34 · 6.8
|
Final
4–1
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Chicago White Sox 57-51
@ Tampa Bay Rays 64-44
|
Erick Fedde
· 3.86 · 6.7
Nick Martinez
· 3.20 · 5.4
|
Final
6–1
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 55-55
@ New York Mets 47-63
|
Janson Junk
· 4.21 · 6.6
Freddy Peralta
· 4.14 · 8.3
|
Final
5–2
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Washington Nationals 55-55
@ Atlanta Braves 64-45
|
Miles Mikolas
· 8.06 · 5.4
Reynaldo Lopez
· 4.47 · 8.9
|
Final
2–6
|
— | — | — | 65% | — |
| 8:15 PM |
Texas Rangers 55-54
@ Houston Astros 55-55
|
Jacob deGrom
· 4.20 · 11.1
Hunter Brown
· 3.11 · 10.3
|
Final
2–11
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
Kansas City Royals 46-64
@ Colorado Rockies 42-67
|
Michael Wacha
· 3.37 · 7.2
Tomoyuki Sugano
· 5.36 · 5.6
|
Final
1–3
|
— | — | — | 44% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 67-41
@ Los Angeles Angels 42-67
|
Robert Gasser
· 4.11 · 8.7
Ryan Johnson
· 4.68 · 7.5
|
Final
6–2
|
— | — | — | 39% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 51-58
@ Athletics 45-64
|
Casey Mize
· 3.87 · 7.7
Jeffrey Springs
· 5.97 · 6.9
|
Final
13–1
|
— | — | — | 45% | — |
| 9:45 PM |
San Francisco Giants 47-62
@ San Diego Padres 55-54
|
Carson Whisenhunt
· 6.03 · 6.3
JP Sears
· 4.76 · 7.0
|
Final
0–7
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |
| 10:10 PM |
Boston Red Sox 57-51
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 69-40
|
Ranger Suarez
· 3.10 · 8.5
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
· 2.53 · 8.9
|
Final
9–4
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 10:10 PM |
Minnesota Twins 55-55
@ Seattle Mariners 53-57
|
Zebby Matthews
· 4.90 · 8.0
Bryan Woo
· 4.17 · 9.2
|
Final
5–3
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |