MLB Slate
2026-08-01 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
3:07 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:07 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 54-56
@ Toronto Blue Jays 51-59
|
Matthew Liberatore
· 5.23 · 8.9
Kevin Gausman
· 4.51 · 9.3
|
Final
1–5
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 4:10 PM |
Chicago White Sox 58-51
@ Tampa Bay Rays 64-45
|
Noah Schultz
· 6.41 · 8.2
Drew Rasmussen
· 2.67 · 9.1
|
Final
0–1
|
— | — | — | 61% | — |
| 4:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 56-55
@ New York Mets 47-64
|
Tyler Phillips
· 3.90 · 6.8
Zac Thornton
· 3.63 · 6.4
|
Final
6–2
|
— | — | — | 52% | — |
| 4:10 PM |
Minnesota Twins 56-55
@ Seattle Mariners 53-58
|
Connor Prielipp
· 5.09 · 9.1
Logan Gilbert
· 3.73 · 9.9
|
Final
3–4
|
— | — | — | 60% | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 55-56
@ Cincinnati Reds 52-57
|
Mitch Keller
· 5.29 · 6.9
Andrew Abbott
· 4.69 · 7.2
|
Final
4–1
|
— | — | — | 51% | — |
| 7:05 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 57-53
@ Baltimore Orioles 54-56
|
Cristopher Sanchez
· 2.60 · 10.4
Shane Baz
· 4.11 · 7.7
|
Final
5–0
|
— | — | — | 48% | — |
| 7:10 PM |
Texas Rangers 55-55
@ Houston Astros 56-55
|
Kumar Rocker
· 4.49 · 8.2
Ronel Blanco
· 5.79 · 7.7
|
Final
4–5
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Arizona Diamondbacks 58-52
@ Cleveland Guardians 56-55
|
Kohl Drake
· 6.35 · 8.5
Parker Messick
· 2.56 · 9.3
|
Final
12–8
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
Washington Nationals 55-56
@ Atlanta Braves 65-45
|
Miles Mikolas
· 8.06 · 5.4
Reynaldo Lopez
· 4.47 · 8.9
|
Final
3–8
|
— | — | — | 66% | — |
| 7:15 PM |
New York Yankees 62-48
@ Chicago Cubs 62-48
|
Max Fried
· 2.80 · 8.3
David Peterson
· 5.17 · 8.7
|
Final
2–5
|
— | — | — | 50% | — |
| 8:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 46-65
@ Colorado Rockies 43-67
|
Luinder Avila
· 6.10 · 7.8
Ryan Feltner
· 6.19 · 6.4
|
Final
6–12
|
— | — | — | 46% | — |
| 8:40 PM |
San Francisco Giants 47-63
@ San Diego Padres 56-54
|
Tyler Mahle
· 3.99 · 8.3
Walker Buehler
· 4.69 · 7.7
|
Final
5–6
|
— | — | — | 55% | — |
| 9:10 PM |
Boston Red Sox 58-51
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 69-41
|
Payton Tolle
· 3.03 · 10.4
Emmet Sheehan
· 4.79 · 10.3
|
Final
3–2
|
— | — | — | 57% | — |
| 9:38 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 68-41
@ Los Angeles Angels 42-68
|
Jacob Misiorowski
· 1.88 · 13.0
Jose Soriano
· 3.76 · 9.2
|
Final
3–1
|
— | — | — | 36% | — |
| 9:40 PM |
Detroit Tigers 52-58
@ Athletics 45-65
|
Framber Valdez
· 4.20 · 7.0
Jack Perkins
· 6.75 · 10.5
|
Final
8–6
|
— | — | — | 44% | — |