MLB Slate
2026-08-09 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
15
First pitch
12:15 PM
Final
15
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
15 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 56-60
@ Washington Nationals 58-61
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
1–7
|
-102 / -106 | 9 | 50% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Athletics 46-71
@ Boston Red Sox 64-52
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–3
|
+197 / -218 | 9.5 | 67% | 69% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Atlanta Braves 70-47
@ New York Yankees 66-51
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
2–1
|
+128 / -139 | 8.5 | 57% | 53% | model leans away |
| 1:35 PM |
New York Mets 51-67
@ Pittsburgh Pirates 58-61
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
11–1
|
+129 / -140 | 8.5 | 57% | 55% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 1:35 PM |
Toronto Blue Jays 56-62
@ Philadelphia Phillies 62-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/12
6–7
|
+211 / -234 | 8.5 | 69% | 56% | model leans away |
| 1:40 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 45-72
@ Miami Marlins 59-59
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
3–12
|
+130 / -141 | 8.5 | 58% | 61% | model leans home |
| 2:10 PM |
Chicago Cubs 68-50
@ Kansas City Royals 49-69
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
10–2
|
-165 / +151 | 10.5 | 39% | 42% | model leans home |
| 2:10 PM |
Cleveland Guardians 58-60
@ Chicago White Sox 60-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
3–5
|
-124 / +115 | 8.5 | 46% | 51% | model leans home |
| 2:10 PM |
Minnesota Twins 58-60
@ Milwaukee Brewers 73-44
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
3–4
|
+239 / -268 | 7 | 72% | 65% | model leans away |
| 2:15 PM |
Colorado Rockies 46-71
@ St. Louis Cardinals 58-59
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–7
|
+149 / -162 | 9 | 61% | 64% | model leans home |
| 2:35 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 56-61
@ Texas Rangers 59-58
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
10–5
|
+119 / -128 | 8 | 55% | 52% | model leans away |
| 4:05 PM |
Detroit Tigers 57-60
@ San Francisco Giants 49-68
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
3–1
|
-122 / +113 | 7.5 | 46% | 48% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Los Angeles Dodgers 70-47
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 62-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
2–4
|
-135 / +125 | 8.5 | 43% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 4:10 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 70-46
@ Seattle Mariners 56-62
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–1
|
-102 / -106 | 7 | 50% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:20 PM |
Houston Astros 60-58
@ San Diego Padres 61-57
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
2–7
|
+106 / -114 | 9 | 52% | 54% | agrees within 3 pts |