MLB Slate
2026-08-10 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
10
First pitch
7:07 PM
Final
10
Moneyline model win rate 55.8% vs market close 56.7%.
Today's slate
10 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:07 PM |
Boston Red Sox 64-53
@ Toronto Blue Jays 56-63
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
1–2
|
-162 / +149 | 8.5 | 39% | 47% | model leans home |
| 7:15 PM |
New York Mets 52-67
@ Atlanta Braves 71-47
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
8–5
|
+126 / -137 | 8.5 | 57% | 60% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Baltimore Orioles 57-61
@ Minnesota Twins 58-61
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
5–9
|
-102 / -106 | 8.5 | 50% | 51% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 7:45 PM |
Philadelphia Phillies 63-56
@ St. Louis Cardinals 59-59
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
6–5
|
-115 / +106 | 9 | 48% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:38 PM |
Texas Rangers 59-59
@ Los Angeles Angels 45-73
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
4–1
|
-106 / -102 | 7.5 | 50% | 46% | model leans away |
| 9:40 PM |
Colorado Rockies 46-72
@ Arizona Diamondbacks 63-56
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
0–9
|
+185 / -204 | 8.5 | 66% | 68% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Milwaukee Brewers 74-44
@ San Diego Padres 62-57
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
2–3
|
-117 / +109 | 7 | 47% | 46% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:40 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 71-46
@ Athletics 47-71
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
10–6
|
-155 / +142 | 10 | 40% | 43% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 9:45 PM |
Houston Astros 60-59
@ San Francisco Giants 49-69
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final/10
6–3
|
-143 / +131 | 8 | 42% | 50% | model leans home |
| 10:10 PM |
Kansas City Royals 49-70
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 70-48
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
5–6
|
+242 / -272 | 7 | 72% | 68% | model leans away |